Teasersystem

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created a topic Teaser System week 16 in NFL Betting Dont have a lot of time with the holidays but will share the teams I'm playing this week. Had a very bad week in all sports including going unbelievably heavy on Redskins Monday night. Lost over $4k on them and it's sent me in a tailspin. Fade if you like. I'm only playing a few teams this week. Pittsburgh Tennessee New England Buffalo Detroit Green Bay I'll be playing 4 or 5 at $500 per using just these teams. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	3	December 24, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser system Week 15- 63% posted in NFL Betting Going into tomorrow I feel good about putting the plays out there. There's been some slight changes and I'm glad I held off putting plays in as early as I have in past weeks so I could bring the best girls to the party! Rankings are.... Giants Atlanta Baltimore Houston Minnesota Tennessee Tampa Bay Oakland Buffalo Washington Chicago Denver Top 9 are as rock solid of teaser teams as I've seen all year. I'm heavily invested in each of these as you'll see in my plays. The top 5 are unreal in terms of strength in the numbers and situations. All bets this week are 650 to win 500 unless noted. 1. Seattle -2.5/ Atlanta -.5/ Baltimore 7.5/ Oakland 10.5 2. Seattle -2.5/ giants8.5/ Baltimore 7.5/ Houston 9.5 3. Seattle -2.5/ Tampa 20/ Tennessee 18.5/ Denver 16 for 390-300 4. Atlanta -.5/ giants 9/ Baltimore 7.5/ Houston 9.5 for 1300-1000 5. Atlanta-.5/ giants 9/ Minnesota 8.5/ buffalo 3 6. Houston 7/ Minnesota 8.5/ Oakland 10.5/ Tennessee 19 7. Minnesota 8.5/ Tampa 19.5/ Oakland 10.5/ Washington (waiting) 8. Tennessee 18.5/ Chicago 18.5/ buffalo 3/ Denver 16 9. Chicago (waiting)/ buffalo 3/ Tennessee 18.5/ Tampa 20 for 390-300 10. Minnesota 9/ buffalo 3/ Washington 7.5/ Oakland 10.5 for 390-300 11. Arizona 10.5/ Minnesota 8.5/ Chicago 18.5/ Detroit 17 for 130-100 Feel free to shoot questions and regardless of how you play them good luck! View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	16	December 18, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser system Week 15- 63% posted in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Spreadbusters: I'm leaning towards using these teams with 6 point teasers ( Denver,Baltimore,Dallas,Green Bay,Detroit ) Let me know which 4 of 5 you like best....Thanks Teaser According to the numbers the best 6-7 point teasers would be in this order. Cincinnati, Denver, Baltimore, Houston, Detroit, Washington, Green Bay. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	16	December 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser system Week 15- 63% posted in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by csuslog: I'm really liking the Falcons (-1 already), and Giants +9. I also like the Raiders +10, Lions +17 and Chiefs +8 (Why are u low on Chiefs and Lions?) Kinda like Packers +7 too. But we gotta see what weather will be like and Rodgers looks like he needs a wheelchair. Bears are really bad tho. Idk about Texans or Vikings tho. Too iffy. And garbage, what about the Pats +10. No way in hell they lose by 10. Not this year. Totally staying away from Colts/Vikings and Saints/Cardinals Those feel like games that can go either way. Eagles/Ravens too. Both have been really good, and really bad this year. Don't trust them lol. Just my thoughts. Your opinion is always welcomed. Thx. Chiefs have been so reliant on special teams and D scores having them give that many points to a good team worries me. Their historical numbers are good though and would be a definite play any other week but this week there's just so many other better options. Lions are another good play based on numbers. What worries me here is Staffords hand so I'm making this a small play only. Numbers don't support Pats, it's a Denver play or nothing. They're undefeated at home as underdog. NE doesn't have a great defense and I think with Denvers corners they can contain NE offense enough to stay within 10. Id rather take the 16 points. Love the Vikings. Still playing for a shot at playoffs against Colts team beat to garbage and now out of it. Numbers are crazy strong too. Lov Baltimore. All you need to know is they are 28-0 as a home favorit covering teaser. Also, haven't lost a teaser once this year for any game. Getting 7.5 with teaser is gold. Texans are great play at home. Playing a Jags team that is beat up and throwing inth towel. Playing for a playoff spot at home and I need to stay within 6 on a loss. I'll take that all day. And Jags beat home favorite 5% of time last 5 years. Numbers are really strong on Cardinals but I may lay off due to so many other options. At most they will be in 1-2. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	16	December 15, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Teaser system Week 15- 63% posted in NFL Betting Been in a funk last few weeks, making some mistakes when I'm locking my plays in too early. Good news this week is the plays look like the strongest I've seen all year betting teasers. I'm also slightly revising how I'm doing my combinations to reduce the risk of lower ranked teams blowing up my week. I'm going to list my rankings now and the two teasers I will be playing with Seattle but not listing the rest of the plays until Sunday. All plays are 650-500 unless stated otherwise 1. Seattle -2/ Atlanta-.5/ Baltimore 7.5/ open 2. Seattle-2/ NYG 8.5/ Baltimore 7.5/ open I would bet the mortgage on Giants, Falcons, Ravens, Texans and Minnesota. A combination of the historical stats and situational plays this week make these fantastic. These will max bets for me which is to win $2k. The next tier (these would normally be top ranked plays in any other week) are Buffalo, Washington and Oakland. These will be to win $1,900. The next tier is GB by itself and will be to win $1,300. The last tier is a bunch of teams I really like but will only be playing in one big teaser of $500 and one smaller teaser at the most. I'll be waiting until the last minute to plug these in. Arizona, TB, Cincinnati, Detroit, Tennessee, Denver, Chicago, KC, Pittsburgh. I haven't felt this good about a week all year. It might not be a good thing but I'm confident this will be my biggest winning week of the year. Good luck on whatever you play! View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	16	December 14, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser System Week 14- YTD posted 48-24 (66%) in NFL Betting I love the Ravens in a teaser tonight. It's possible NE covers spread but it's going to be hard for them to win big with no Gronk or Amendola. I added a few more plays late yesterday prior to Giants game myself with Ravens, Dallas, Giants and under in game last night. If Ravens lose by less than 13 I'll get back a lot of the losses from yesterday. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	15	December 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser System Week 14- YTD posted 48-24 (66%) in NFL Betting Not that it matters much but I put the Bears in the open spot. Still a big losing weekend which is becoming more of a trend. The Rams were a play because they've actually played competitive football in every game but against the Saints. Atlanta didn't have their top two WRs and were traveling to west coast. Rams defense has actually been really good and would have kept this close enough for the win. I wasn't expecting rams offense and special teams to give up 21 points. While I would have still played Rams right up until kickoff, I would not have played Seattle. With all the people on GB healthy enough to play I was worried about that one. Next week I'm not making any bets until right before kickoff when I have complete picture of injury report. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	15	December 12, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser System Week 14- YTD posted 48-24 (66%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by RangerUSA: Minnesota is 2-4 as a road favorite WITH a the extra 13 points so they were immediately removed from a consideration. The next worst road fav is well over 50%. Just look at two games this year, philly and Chicago, they lost both of these teasers as road favorites. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	15	December 11, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Teaser System Week 14- YTD posted 48-24 (66%) in NFL Betting Here's updates for tomorrow. Everything is pretty much set with the exception of Denver. If the good QB starts and the line is available at +1 then all plays will stand. I'm still waiting to lock in a few teams for the line to hopefully move in my direction. Rankings Dallas- Kansas City- Baltimore- Buffalo- Detroit- San Diego - Seattle - Denver - Washington - Indy- Rams- The plays below that have spreads listed next to each team mean they are LOCKED. If no spread by team its subject to change before kickoff. 1. Dallas 9.5/ KC 10/ Detroit 5.5/ Seattle 10.5 650-500 2. Indy 7.5/ KC 10/ Seattle 10.5/ San Diego 14.5. 390-300 3. Indy 7.5/ Dallas 9.5/ Washington 12/ Buffalo 520-400 4. Indy 7.5/ Detroit 5.5/ Baltimore 19.5/ KC 9.5 650-500 5. SAN Diego 14.5/ Baltimore 20/ Seattle 10.5/ Dallas 9.5. 520-400 6. Baltimore 19.5/ rams 18.5/ buffalo / Denver 520-400 7. KC 9.5/ Dallas 9.5/ Baltimore 20/ Rams 19.5 260-200 8. Detroit 5.5/ buffalo 15.5/ Seattle 10.5/ Rams 19.5 130-100 9. San Diego/ buffalo/ Denver/ OPEN 260/200 10. Detroit 5.5Washington 13/ KC 9.5/ SAN Diego 390-300 11. Washington/ San Diego/ Rams/ Denver 520-400 12. Washington13/ buffalo 15.5/ Oakland/ 16.5/ Denver 130-100 FYI- I added another book so I'm not limited by a $1500 max anymore. I'm playing a few 6.5 and 7 point teasers and have used mainly the same teams. For those I really like San Diego, Denver, Dallas, Baltimore and I added a couple with Chicago, cincy, Houston and Atlanta just on the 7 pointers. Not putting those in here for my official record though. Just sharing for those that have asked about them before. Good luck! View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	15	December 11, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by mashup: I wondered that myself. Only three times since 2002 were pats home dogs. The last was in 2013 against Denver. The time before that was in 2005. Not sure where you're getting your info but NE was a home dog twice in 2014, to Denver and Cincy. They smashed both those teams for easy straight up wins. I get that you don't like playing to such a small sample size but that the sample size is so small also tells you a lot. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 09, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Teaser System Week 14- YTD posted 48-24 (66%) in NFL Betting Just like last week, I'm not locking in all my plays until Sunday but will list the current rankings (subject to change) and locked in teams because KC is near the top and included. Rankings Dallas- Max bet Kansas City- Max bet Detroit- Max bet Baltimore- Max bet Seattle Indy Washington Denver San Diego Rams Buffalo The plays below that have spreads listed next to each team mean they are LOCKED. If no spread by team its subject to change before kickoff. 1. Dallas 9.5/ KC 10/ Detroit 5.5/ Seattle 10.5 650-500 2. Indy 7.5/ KC 10/ Seattle 10.5/ San Diego 14.5. 390-300 3. Indy 7.5/ Dallas 9.5/ Washington 12/ Detroit 520-400 4. Indy 7.5/ Detroit 5.5/ Baltimore 19.5/ KC 9.5 650-500 5. SAN Diego 14.5/ Baltimore 20/ Seattle 10.5/ Dallas 9.5. 520-400 6. Baltimore/Washington/Denver/SAN Diego 520-400 7. KC 9.5/ Dallas 9.5/ Baltimore 20/ Indy 260-200 8. Detroit 5.5/ Denver/ Seattle 10.5/ Washington 130-100 9. Washington/ Seattle/ Denver/ Indy 260/200 10. Detroit 5.5/ Washington 13/ KC 9.5/ SAN Diego 390-300 FYI- I added another book so I'm not limited by a $1500 max anymore. Injury news on Atlanta will dictate if I plug in rams and add a few with them. Same with Buffalo and SAN Diego. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	15	December 08, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting I'm using the last 5 years of games and manually pulled the spreads from covers. I'm not going to share my spreadsheet though. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 08, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Spreadbusters: Thanks for your reply,I wish I had checked back in time to see these suggestions because you only missed one team,that being the Saints and wouldn't ya know that's the one I chose, lol,along with Green Bay on a 2 team teaser.You are right College football is just to unpredictable for teasers,and little more predictable using them in the NFL.That don't seem to stop me though as I'm a sucker for them and Parlay's. I've been gambling for 35 years and you would think by now I'd flip the script and start betting 90% of straight plays but since my bank roll to gamble with is so small I guess I feel like I need all the value in getting as many points as I can, failing to see the whole time that I'm reducing my odds to winning to like 25%, of winning instead of 50 %.I'd welcome any tips that you may have in using teasers in the NFL? tell me if I'm wrong but it seems to me like teasing up most road dogs of 7 points or more are better than teasing down 7point or less home favorites? thanks for your input Teasersystem! I haven't worked up the full numbers for 7 point teasers but last week I did on 6 point ones. Here's a few quick hitters on the results. Road dogs and road favs perform slightly better than home teams. The best bets appear to be teasing up road dogs getting up to 5.5 points, with up 0-2 being best (hits 80%). Teasing down road favs at -9.5 to 10.5 is also great at over 80%. Home favs at -6.5-7.5 are strong at 77%. I'd stay away from home dogs getting 6-8 as those are barely better at than 50%. Don't take GB, SF as road dogs because they're less than 50%. Take New England, Denver, Seattle and SD as they're above 90% as road dogs. Take KC, Dallas, Indy, TN as road favs as they're abov 80%. Don't take Vikings, rams, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Detroit, buffalo as road favs as they're at or below 57%. Take Cincy, Denver, NE, Seattle, Atlanta, Pitt, Miami, Minnesota as home dogs as they're all above 87%. Don't take Jacksonville, GB, Oakland, TN, TB, Giants as home dogs as they're below 55%. Take Carolina, Giants, Denver as home favs as they're above 82%. Don't take browns, Jacksonville, Atlanta, TB as home favs as they're below 47%. Hope that's helpful. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 06, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Teams went 10-1 and bets went 6-4 with hitting both big plays for +$1,130 this week. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 06, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by csuslog: Again, how do you have cowboys on a card, with open plays that you decided on Sunday? Makes zero sense. If they play Thursday, u have to have 4 teams and make a bet. Right? Idk a book that lets you pick 1 game, and if it wins then u get to choose the other 3? I'm calling BS. Anyways, best of luck this week. Can someone else back me up on this or explain it better than I have? Cusa - you can absolutely lock in a teaser with 2 teams (requires minimum of 2 of the 4) and leave it open to fill in the last two teams at any future date. I have two different guys/sites and they both do it. I'm pretty sure this is common practice. Take a look at my original post and you'll see that all the teasers with Dallas have at least two lines posted next to them and those didn't change from the final card. I'm not sure what else to tell but I'm definitely not being dishonest. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 05, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by csuslog: Then why in your 1st post, it says 15 bets? Or 14 bets? You would've lost 14 bets on Saints today. Something just isn't adding up this week man. What about Cowboys on Thursday? How do you have them in some of your bets, but none of your teaser cards were confirmed until this morning? Maybe in wrong? Either way, I love the system. I got lazy this week and added N.O. to a couple cards because they were so high on your list. I knew Brees was in for a clunker soon lol. Until next week... I said pretty clearly in my first post that the majority of my plays were yet to be made but some were in with up to two open plays out of the four so I could play Dallas. The number of bets listed were my anticipated number but again, I clearly said I wasn't locking them in until Sunday. Sorry if there was some confusion. Looks like if Indy covers teaser they'll go 6-4 this week with both of my big bets hitting. Let's hope Indy comes through. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 04, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by betallwinners: Instead of making 30 different bets, why not pick you 9 favorite teams and place 3 LARGE Teaser bets. Outcome is the same. If one team craps their pants, you lose one bet and win 2. Also, you don't have to worry about the AZ Cardinals finally waking up and getting a 17 point win and losing 15 bets. I also bet 2 to 3 teasers in NFL a week and have made a nice profit. The 10 point teasers (ties lose), so that can hurt. I look for strong home teams laying 6 to 8.5 points and tease them 6 points down below a FG. Today I really like Green Bay (in the snow) -.5 point with Seattle -1 looking for revenge for getting knocked out of the playoffs last year. BOL! When I say 15 bets it means to win a total of $1500 as each of my units are $100. So if a team is in 15 bets they're only in 4-5 teasers at most. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 04, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Here's actual plays before games kick so record is valid. 1. Dallas 10/ Baltimore 10/ Atlanta 7.5/ New England pick 650-500 2. Dallas 10/ Baltimore 10/ Atlanta 9/ Washington 15.5 650-500 3. Dallas 10/ GB 6.5/ Seattle 5.5/ NE -.5 260-200 4. Dallas 10/ New Orleans 7/ Washington 16.5/ Seattle 5.5 390-300 5. Atlanta 8.5/ Washington 15.5/ Indianapolis 11/ Seattle 5.5 390-300 5. Atlanta 8.5/ GB 6.5/ New Or 7/ New Eng pick 260-200 6. New Eng -.5/ Baltimore 9.5/ Seattle 5.5/ Indy 11.5390-300 7. Baltimore 9.5/ Washington 15.5/ new Or 7/ Indy 11.5 260-200 8. GB 7/ Detroit 19/ New Eng -.5/ Indy 11.5 390-300 9. Washington 15.5/ giants 19.5/ Indy 11.5/ Jacksonville 16.5 260-200 10. Detroit 19.5/ new or 6.5/ giants 19.5/ Seattle 5.5 260-200 View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 04, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Eprince: I'm with you on your stronger picks, (I currently have Dal,NE,Ind, Nyg on my ticket) Liked nyg at +19.5 a lot and noticed you weren't as strong on that one, reasons for that? I personally like the giants a lot too but the numbers weren't as strong so I only sprinkled them in a few. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 04, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%) in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by csuslog: Not posting final picks? And question about the Cowboys 15 bets... Wouldn't u have had to place the bets before Thursday's game started? So u had 15 finalized cards before cowboys game? Sorry, I'm confused. Anyways, GL, and I hope you post your final picks before kickoff. I had placed Dallas in all those bets with some leaving 1-2 spots open to be filled later on. See my original post. My combos aren't as important for anyone to follow as much as just knowing who the best teams are so you can put them in some teasers. I don't have any specific method to match them up on her than trying to limit having two teams together for all of them. View Post \| View Thread	Teasersystem	42	December 04, 2016 View Post \| View Thread

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