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@smellybunty Pittsburgh and Ohio State imo. Seton Hall arguably. |
smellybunty | 55 |
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They had a bad starting lineup early in the season which cost them as they started out bad. Committee doesn't care about those details so it happens and those bad losses out of conference with the shitty lineup early in eason messed up their resume and how they are viewed. It was a fair assessment when considering those losses. |
Professor1258 | 53 |
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Auburn taking care of that ?? |
ICT_Finest | 24 |
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Wish you were my bookie if you think a team should get more pts on neutral than they got at their own home lol. Purdue either blows State out or loses outright but spread is correct. |
FredLeonard | 14 |
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Spread was 10.5 home so on road they would be 6.5-7.5 barring any over adjustment... neutral spread is typically around the same or slightly more than road. This opened at 5.5 so 7.5 is about right. Now whether one believes they cover or lose etc that's another story. |
Surfrancis123 | 12 |
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No way in hell. Already lost to Mississippi State. Not happening again. |
smellybunty | 15 |
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@Irishriot76 Very accurate imo. I believe many don't know how to read it to be frank. The percentages change throughout the day as money comes in. Not that it matters but I have spotted plenty of movement to be in perfect correlation to action network. This game in particular. Money has been on Ohio State moneyline pretty nicely and that is why the line is doing what it is doing. VSIN at one point showed about 5 percent tickets 40 percent handle on Ohio State moneyline. For myself I describe that as "big bets" because a low ticket percentage but high handle is a big bet. Again, none of that matters so not sure why people get caught up with it. I only use them to figure out what's the best number I can get. |
pjlvio | 23 |
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@Klaista22 Action network. It projects overall money. Vsin shows the money on draft kings. |
pjlvio | 23 |
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Im not sure at what point you looked at the splits but a good amount of money has been on Ohio State moneyline and that is why the line is not moving upwards. For what it's worth.. it's not a blowout win most likely anyway. This same Ohio State team was favored by 13.5 against them first meeting and was up the whole game won by 10. Nothing has changed except State doesn't shoot outside as well since then but that's it. |
pjlvio | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheWestbelfort:
@TheGreenTurtle So based on what you're saying those are your only options left for the remainder of season therefore DO NOT USE CHARGERS. They have two more spots/games they will more than likely win PARTICULARLY the revenge game vs Broncos. Atlanta will not beat bills on road and saints will be a tossup so you don't want to be stuck in that mess. Philly will be in a revenge spot against WFT which is dicey and facing Cowboys whom are outright the better team although it is a good revenge spot for them... I would play Atlanta to beat Detroit. Bad ass teams do not win two straight ESPECIALLY after pulling off a huge upset over a good team. Goff is not playing either so take the trash out ue Falcons becase the rest of season they will serve you no purpose.. this is a game they HIGH PERCENTAGE will win
Hope you listened "DO NOT TAKE CHARGERS" |
TheGreenTurtle | 11 |
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@TheGreenTurtle So based on what you're saying those are your only options left for the remainder of season therefore DO NOT USE CHARGERS. They have two more spots/games they will more than likely win PARTICULARLY the revenge game vs Broncos. Atlanta will not beat bills on road and saints will be a tossup so you don't want to be stuck in that mess. Philly will be in a revenge spot against WFT which is dicey and facing Cowboys whom are outright the better team although it is a good revenge spot for them... I would play Atlanta to beat Detroit. Bad ass teams do not win two straight ESPECIALLY after pulling off a huge upset over a good team. Goff is not playing either so take the trash out ue Falcons becase the rest of season they will serve you no purpose.. this is a game they HIGH PERCENTAGE will win |
TheGreenTurtle | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by rnunez91:
I think suns get it done tonight. No Harris or Simmons for Phili. What’s everyone’s thoughts? Embiid is the only need. He's going to abuse Ayton. |
rnunez91 | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ItchyPalm:
Even with all the players out for the Sixers? embiid is in. monster game coming up |
Mardyball | 19 |
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Quote Originally Posted by TheWestbelfort: Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: Warriors have been great in revenge spots against lesser teams. Not to mention they almost beat Boston and did beat Philly in revenge games. This is not only a revenge game but they also feel like they let one get away in losing to the Wiz at home. So it’s also an atonement game. But with Curry garnering so much attention lately, you have to think Westbrook (who absolutely hates Curry and the Warriors and has lots of history with them) and Beal (who is now behind Curry in scoring average) will be focused and ready for this one. My initial lean was Warriors, but this game could go down to the wire and sharps jumped on the Wiz at +3 yesterday. Get your popcorn ready. Warriors revenge = Warriors win.... that simple. "Sharps" jumped on wiz because of the "history" same way they jumped on Charlotte yesterday because of the "history". Wizards aren't good enough to do well in this spot and beat Warriors twice thus winning six in a row. End of the road for them and end of the road for Warriors vs Denver. I had the Warriors winning this one and losing to Denver as well. But we’ll see. The dynamics have changed because of all the recent publicity with Curry and the Warriors. Suddenly this is must see TV, even if it’s not nationally televised. Highlights will be all over sports center. And Beal and Westbrook will want to one up Curry. Motivated athletes are scary. I lean Warriors. But this won’t be easy. 'tough' game but easy result. Warriors win. Wizards are who they are. As a DC native I can certainly say that. Bookies finally have the Wizards backers right where they want them. Money coming in on them into a revenge game that 10/10 they don't or won't win. I will not be shocked at all if Wiz drop the revenge game to OKC as well. |
begginerboy | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Warriors have been great in revenge spots against lesser teams. Not to mention they almost beat Boston and did beat Philly in revenge games. This is not only a revenge game but they also feel like they let one get away in losing to the Wiz at home. So it’s also an atonement game. But with Curry garnering so much attention lately, you have to think Westbrook (who absolutely hates Curry and the Warriors and has lots of history with them) and Beal (who is now behind Curry in scoring average) will be focused and ready for this one. My initial lean was Warriors, but this game could go down to the wire and sharps jumped on the Wiz at +3 yesterday. Get your popcorn ready.
Warriors revenge = Warriors win.... that simple. "Sharps" jumped on wiz because of the "history" same way they jumped on Charlotte yesterday because of the "history". Wizards aren't good enough to do well in this spot and beat Warriors twice thus winning six in a row. End of the road for them and end of the road for Warriors vs Denver. |
begginerboy | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Atlanta has too much firepower. These guys are not the Hornets (lol). Knicks won’t be able to keep up with those tired legs on a back to back in this double revenge spot for Atlanta. Atlanta pulls away in the second half. This is a scheduled loss (IMO).
Spot on. People get too attached to streaks and runs. Double revenge is the only streak we need to care about. A large percentage of the time the other team has to be in a great spot of significantly better to defeat the other three straight in season. Atlanta's rotation is much more solid than when they previously played Knicks and their defense has improved as well. When looking at the threes that were allowed last night you could see that the knicks are starting to fatigue a bit. Capela downlow.. collins on Randle.. and the knicks having to chase around the three shooters in Huerter, Bag, and Trae... that's not the same atlanta team they could lock down. as you said ... good fight in beginning but Atlanta pulls away for the revenge. |
Force | 29 |
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@nostrami what book did you get knicks +3.5 at? |
nostrami | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jmoney214:
@TheWestbelfort theres no such things as loccs because nothing in gambling is promised... just saying I get what you're saying theoretically however These things I mentioned were guaranteed and promised lol. We have incredibly highly probable things for a reason... things that 10/10 play out the same way... certain revenge spots with certain teams etc... or just certain mismatches in sports... our job as bettors is to find them and maximize profit. Askren WOULD NEVER beat Jake Paul.. EVER... that was guaranteed... Golden State would have NEVER beat Lakers (with lebron) in the third and last game of series this year... just never would happen... usually these guarantees are blowouts etc lol. |
Jmoney214 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jmoney214:
as loccs in gambling.. you have small bets, medium bets, large bets, extra large bets.. but no such thing as loccs. anything can happen in the nba. People keep posting loccs and shit but still lose. so how tf is that a locc?? lol.. tf. Im not hating, just stating facts. So be careful when you want to use the word "locc" lol.. that's not true. There are plenty of locks in gambling. People may not like to use the word but is what it is. Jake Paul vs Ben Askren.. lock Jake Paul.... lakers vs Golden State tied up season series... Lock Lakers... boom blowout by Lakers... Utah vs Lakers the other night after losing the first meeting and Conley and Gobert coming back.. LOCK... there are situations, matchups, and scenarios that are locks. |
Jmoney214 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jmoney214:
is an underdog now?? wow! i like NY in the underdog role.i believe they continue to roll here. bro New York winning would be them sweeping Atlanta for the season series. All streaks in sports come to an end. New York has been a very long tough stretch with close physical games including close games in their losses as well. The probability of them sweeping Atlanta in this spot is low. One has to know when to hop off the ship before the iceberg comes. You're not just looking at a winning streak.. you're looking at a money streak of consistent covers etc... The score at end of game is not indicative of how competitive the Charlotte game was. Atlanta had breezy ass Orlando lol... New York more than likely starts solid and then fades as Atlanta wins. |
Jmoney214 | 10 |
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