Tormiod

No, not at the moment. Any suggestions?

Congratulations!

1-4 on the day.

Just gotta keep refining this process.....

My calcs picked these plays as well. BOL!!

Strongest Play Tonight:

BOS/NYK Under 211.5

4 different methods of analysis all in consensus.

BOL 

This game could honestly go either way. Tough game to make your last stand on.

I've got it capped:

[Calculated] GSW: 124.96

[Calculated] OKC: 114.48

[Calculated] Total: 239.44

GSW -10.48 / Total: Over 232

Median Analysis: However, teams with a line of +9.5 cover by 0.5 points 50% of the time, giving a 0.5 point edge to OKC. Also, games with a total of 232 have a median cover of -3, giving a 3 point advantage to the under.

I wouldn't bet this one to make up for losses.

I would take ORL/PHI Under 216.5 today. 10.5 point advantage for the under.

BOL 

Today's Consensus Picks:

ORL +9.5 / Under 216.5

MIA -8.5

NYL +5 / Under 211.5

Night's Results:

*******************

Handicapping Method Picks: 14-7 [17-16 YTD] 51.5% 

Historical Line Data Standalone Picks: 11-9-2 [19-11-2 YTD] 63.3% 

Handicapping + Historical Data Consensus Picks: 7-4 [9-6 YTD] 60.0% 

Better tonight. Changed 2 variables with the handicapping. Will continue to update and track record. Combining with consensus data seems to be a strong improvement.

On this one. Let's Get it!!

Sick call on CHA too. How did you do that?!?

Let's Get It!!!

Let's get it!!!

Thanks NevadaBet!

Yeah, I'm still trying to find the right mix of factors. I'm testing a theory that the consensus picks between handicapping and the median line history is a long term winner. This is definitely a work in progress lol

Today's Consensus Picks:

ATL +7.5 / Under 211.5

CHA +3.5

BOS -2

MIL +7.5

CLE / MEM Over 214

MIA +2.5

HOU -8.5

UTA -4.5 / Under 207

DAL / LAL Under 223

Let's get it Dan!!

Night's Results

**********************

Handicapping Method Picks: [3-9] 

Handicapping + Historical Data Consensus Picks: [2-2]

Historical Line Data Standalone Picks: [8-3-1]

Looks like I've got more work to do....

 BOL 

Thanks for the input rivermonsterz!

My formula made the following picks for tonight:

BKY +8 / Over 215.5

PHI -6.5 / Under 213.5

ORL -3.5 / Under 215.5

OKC -7.5 / Over 214

CLE -5.5 / Over 220.5

LAC +10 / Over 234

********************

Then, I took the calculations and compared them to historical performance afgainst the lines posted. Only the following picks were "double verified" by both parts of the analysis:

BKY/CHA Over 215.5

PHI/CHI: Under 213.5

OKC/SAC: Over 214

LAC/GSW: LAC+10

Cheers

I've added in some median data versus the line to my stats analysis of the games.

New Method Picks:

BKY/CHA: Over 215.5 (4 point adv)

PHI/CHI: Under 213.5 (0.5 point adv)

OKC/SAC: Over 214 (3.5 point adv)

LAC/GSW: LAC+10 (3 point adv)

BOL 

Ah, might as well.

Tailed tulsa, drake and s illinois. 

When you determine a team is likely to play slow, are you looking at recent scores, pace, 4 factors, etc?