trendbet

home underdogs after 5+ road games are 60-34 ats vs teams after a home game. and those home dogs that were on 8+ road game trip are 3-0 su (and ats) against teams that played last game at home. interestingly enough this happened once this season and lakers beat these same bucks in this same situation (113-95 as 3 pts underdogs). the lakers covered 1st quarter, 1st half, and game spreads. their team total went over and milwaukee team total went under. i will go out on a limb and play all these:
 
brooklyn +.5 first qtr
brooklyn +1 first half
brooklyn +2 game
brooklyn team total over 102
milwaukee team total under 104.5

Unbeaten @ faves of less than 8 points are 3-18 straight up and 2-19 against the spread if they won on the road the day before.

The most recent example: 6-0 Memphis losing @ Milwaukee LY.

If opponent played at least 1 game, the unbeatens are 1-15 straight up and 0-16 ATS.

If opponent played at least one game and is winless, the unbeaten fave is 0-5 SU and ATS.

Taking New Orleans +5 Saturday.

Saturday plays in this thread tomorrow.

Lots of love for Houston here, not only today, but since the lines came out. Not sure that all those Houston lovers know that a 2-6 Tulane team went to Houston in week 11 last year and beat them 31-24 as 17 points underdogs. And actually Houston only had a short lived 3 pts lead in that game and needed a last minute TD to make that score more respectable on paper. By the way, Houston was on a 3-0 SU/ATS run before that game. According to Sagarin, the strength of schedule for Houston is no 132 in the nation while Tulanes stands at no 48. Obviously, much stronger opposition for Tulane this season. I know that people will come to my thread and tell me that Houston will kill, destroy, dominate Tulane, that they will cover the spread in the first quarter, that Tulane sucks, etc.....It happens all the time. But it also happens that those same people will never come back and say you were right, I was wrong. And when I post my system that supports this play, there will be people comming into this thread and saying that systems do not work, etc. Its all fine. I am trying to help people who have no time to do their own capping. Here is the system of year in NCAAF:

In weeks 6 or later, double digit home underdogs that beat this same opponent as 13+ pts road underdogs in weeks 10 or later are 13-0 ATS covering the spread by at least a TD every time, and by 2 TDs or more 10 times. The average margin of ATS win was over 17 points. Also, 9 of those 13 teams won the game outright. Remember, I am talking about double digit underdogs. And before you tell me that Houston is unbeaten, I will tell you that Oregon was unbeaten coming to Stanford in week 11 two years ago and Stanford beat them as 10 points underdogs in that game. And guess what, Stanford was fitting this same system.

TULANE +21 System play of the year.

Tennesse +3
Missouri +3.5
Miami Fl. +8.5

Cleve +7 buy half
Oakland +4.5
Detroit +3 buy half

7-4 NFL
5-2 NCAAF

Short rest (less than 5 days) after home OT game in which 24+ pts were scored with home team not losin ATS by a TD or more: 0-12 SU and 0-12 ATS.

HOUSTON -4

one system saturday, based on OT last week:

miami ohio +10.5
kansas +17.5

Rams +7
Lions +10

Dogs of 31 pts or less, after loss by 16 or less as dogs of 17 or less, in which they turned the ball over 6+ times (3 or less fumbles lost) are 6-0 SU/ATS if they allowed less than 30 pts in that loss. Two of those six dogs were 21+ pts underdogs and both won  outright. Play no 5 this season: Charlotte +21

4-2 NFL YTD
4-0 CFB YTD

0-2 favorites or small dogs of 2 pts or less are 0-15 ATS  if they lost last game by 3+ points, while scoring 16 or more, and if their opponent was favored or underdog of 5 or less points previous week without winning by 14+.

Plays for this week:

Bengals +3
Chicago +14.5
Teaser Bengals +10 and Chicago +21.5

4-0 NCAA

Also 4-2 in nfl.

Home dogs of +6 to +26 points avenging road loss of 26+ points from previous season in which opponent scored 69+ pts are 10-0 ATS if last meeting happened in weeks 4-10. Average margin of cover was 22 pts.

Texas Tech +7 (buy 1 point)

4-2 NFL
3-0 NCAAF

3-2 NFL System plays
3-0 NCAAF System plays

Easy to understand system: 3 days rest road teams after covering the spread by 5+ points as home dogs in previous game are 1-12 ATS.

Redskins in trouble. Play: NY Giants -3

Only one sys.play in NFL this week.
Buying 1 pt and taking SF +7.5

2-0 NCAA (3-1 NFL)

Home fave of 3-14 pts after 2 home fave wins in which favored by 64+ pts combined including by 25-48 pts last game are 0-16 ATS.PLAY ON STANFORD +10

Home underdogs after @ win as underdog of 7+ points, scoring 30+ in that game and trailing by 4+ after the first are 8-0 STRAIGHT UP and ats.PLAY ON: BOWLING GREEN +3

2-0 NCAA (3-1 NFL)

Home fave of 3-14 pts after 2 home fave wins in which favored by 64+ pts combined including by 25-48 pts last game are 0-16 ATS.PLAY ON STANFORD +10

Home underdogs after @ win as underdog of 7+ points, scoring 30+ in that game and trailing by 4+ after the first are 8-0 STRAIGHT UP and ats.PLAY ON: BOWLING GREEN +3

One Friday NCAAF system that is 8-0 (by 21 pts):

New Mexico +28.5 (I bought a pt).

3-1 NFL
1-0 NCAAF