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He is hitting over 60% last 3 years since posting picks. His picks have been solid.
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SavageJourney | 8 |
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Record (15-12)
Seattle +4.5 (-110) *took yesterday - may jump on 6.5 also New England -16 (-110) GL
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tytn4lyfe | 1 |
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National Championship game:
Here we are again, the final game of the season. It just seems like yesterday the season just started. But as most would agree after its all said and done, the best 2 teams in college football are playing for it all. It should be another great one... The analysis: Although the names on the jerseys are the same, the teams are different in many ways and I just don't see this game being anything like last year. By the numbers: Alabama is 10-4 ATS while Clemson is 7-7. Bama comes in undefeated and virtually untested and Clemson comes in having only one loss to Pitt late in the season. Both teams are better than this time last year and Clemson is probably playing their best football at this point in the season. They completely took apart Ohio State. While I don't believe that Ohio State was that good of a football team this season, they were better than the whipping that Clemson gave them. Washington would probably have beat Ohio State and showed their toughness against Alabama. Clemson Averages 503 yards of offense/game while Bama only gives up 244 yards/game. Clemson rushes for 175 yards/game and Bama only gives up 63 yards/game. Bama rushes for 249 yards/game and Clemson D allows 123 yards/game. Bama comes in with the #1 Defense in the Nation and has 15 total Non-Offensive TD's while only giving up 15 total TD's all year. They only give up 11 points per game. The defense is far and away better and is good enough to win this game on their own. This game comes down to who wants it more and who will be at their bests in the spotlight. I don't believe that Lane leaving and Sark taking over will have any effect and in fact I think it will help the offense. Saban doesn't do anything without serious consideration to the process. The Bama D will be the difference in this game. Their speed and toughness will take over the game. I don't see Clemson being able to run the ball. Clemson is by far the best team that Bama will face all year and they have arguably the best QB. Watson will be tough and will make plays but this Bama D is designed to stop Watson and his strengths. The fact Bama can rush 4 and get to the QB is huge. They will double Williams on the outside and shut down a very potent Clemson Offense. With Clemson not being able to run the ball, they will be one dimensional and that will spell doom for them. On offense for Bama, they will continue to do what they have all year. Run the ball, play conservatively and wait to take their chances as the opportunities present themselves. I would look for Hurts to play better in this game. Bama will again run the ball and look for their playmakers on the outside to make plays when they are called on. It's going to be a solid game between 2 well coached teams. Both Teams will be ready but in the end, I think the team that has played the best all year in all 3 phases of the game will be standing as National Champions. I'm not sure it will be close when the final seconds tick off. Look for the game to be close in the first half as both teams feel each other out. The game could be tied or a slight lead by Bama at the half. In the second half, Bama will begin to squeeze the life out of Clemson and the speed and suffocating Defense will be good enough to win the game. I see another Non-offensive TD by the defense late and carrying the Alabama Crimson Tide to the National Championship. Final Score: Alabama 27 Clemson 13 My pick: Alabama -6.5 (-110) 2.5U UNDER 50.5 (-110) 1U Good Luck to all and either way it will be a great game...
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tytn4lyfe | 2 |
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Record (13-10)
2-1 on Saturday Sunday Wild Card games: MIAMI +11.5 (-110) Pittsburgh / Miami UNDER 47 (-110) GREEN BAY -5.5 (-110) Green Bay / NY Giants UNDER 46 (-110) GL
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tytn4lyfe | 1 |
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Adding:
SEATTLE / DETROIT UNDER 46.5 (-110) GL
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tytn4lyfe | 2 |
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Record (11-9)
Saturday: OAKLAND +4 (-110) SEATTLE -8 (-110) GL
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tytn4lyfe | 2 |
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Boom - Great points. I'd like to offer my thoughts...
I see this game being a great one against the 2 best teams this year. I don't believe this game will look anything like last years game. Bama's D is much better and wants to prove that last year was a fluke. Say what you will, Kirby Smart leaving had some effect on preparation but there is no doubt Watson is a great athlete and exposed the Bama D last year. Clemson is the best team Bama will face all year and especially on the offensive side of the ball. The biggest difference is the Bama D line can get to Deshaun without blitzing and is much faster. He won't run away from Anderson, Allen and Williams. I said in my write-up in the Washington game that Bama's speed on Defense will make the difference. While I will agree that the Clemson D is very good, they haven't played up to the level of the Bama D. Bama's offense will struggle but it all comes down to whether they can run the ball or not and let's face it, Bama has very capable playmakers on the outside to keep Clemson from packing 8 in the box. Ridley can get deep and Hurts has enough mobility and athleticism to find him. OJ Howard will be a huge factor again and I would look for Stewart to be a big factor as well. Quick screens and jet sweeps will open up the run game for Scarborough and Harris. If the Clemson D keys on the RB's, then Hurts will keep it and they have to factor that in as well. Last year Coker was a Statue back there and this season Hurts adds the mobility factor. I expect Alabama to be more balanced in this game and play better on offense than they have in several games. Williams is a beast for Clemson and I would be lying if I said that he wasn't a concern but the bigger factor for me is whether the Bama D can contain Watson and not allow him to scramble for first downs and continuing drives. Bama plays a lot of man to man and that may be an adjustment in this game to keep Watson in check, double team Williams over the top and rush with the front 4. I don't see Clemson running the ball, nobody has all year. This game comes down to who runs the ball better, gets turnovers, plays better D and is solid in special teams and for me, I have to look at the team that has been doing those things well all season. Bama has nearly as many non-offensive TD's this season as total number of TD's given up. I don't see that changing in this game. It will be a solid game between 2 well coached teams but Bama has too much on Defense and will do just enough on Offense to win this game in the second half. Most everyone I see and read is on Clemson and coming off their huge win and destruction of Ohio State, who can blame them. +7 looks like a gift right?....but when things look too good to be true, they usually are. I look for Bama to win and cover. I would also give the Under a solid lean... Good Luck to your boys and either way, college football is the greatest and the best 2 teams will play it out on the field. Roll Tide! BOOM |
Boom_Boom | 131 |
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Bowl Record: (18-19) (+1.4U) - UPDATED 3-0 today so far.... IOWA / Florida UNDER 40.5 (-110) 1.5U Penn State +7 (-110) 1U Penn State / USC OVER 60.5 (-110) 1.5U Pending: Oklahoma -3 (-110) 1U
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tytn4lyfe | 3 |
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Bowl Record: (15-19) (-2.6U) - UPDATED
New years Day Jan. 2nd bowls... IOWA / Florida UNDER 40.5 (-110) 1.5U Penn State +7 (-110) 1U Penn State / USC OVER 60.5 (-110) 1.5U Oklahoma -3 (-110) 1U GL
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tytn4lyfe | 3 |
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Bowl Record: (14-18) (-3.1U) - UPDATED New Years Eve Bowls: *Citrus Bowl* LSU -3 (-125) 1U LSU / Louisville OVER 58.5 (-110) 1.5 U *Taxslayer Bowl* Kentucky +3.5 (-110) 1U Kentucky / Georgia Tech OVER 63 (-110) 1 U *College Football Playoffs* Alabama -14 (-110) 2U Pending: Clemson +2.5 (-110) 1.5 U Clemson / Ohio State OVER 58 (-110) 1U GL
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tytn4lyfe | 2 |
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Good Luck sir!
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Macwestie1 | 31 |
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Full disclosure: As you can tell from my avatar that I am a Bama fan and huge one at that. But I have the ability to look at this game objectively and these are my thoughts....
Game breakdown: This game will be tough and as most games against 2 very good, well coached teams go it should be clean and close for 3 quarters. I expect several trick plays by Washington that are designed to get Bama's D off balance and slow their front 4. The biggest mismatch in this game is Alabama's D line vs. Washington's O-Line. I don't see Washington being able to run the ball and that will make Washington 1 dimensional, which spells doom for the Huskies. Alabama will play conservatively on Offense by establishing the run and look for Harris and Scarborough to have a big day. Jalen Hurts will be more effective running the ball and Alabama has Ridley on the outside and Howard at TE to keep the Washington D off balance. Washington's strength is their offense led by Browning and they will make some plays but I just don't see them sustaining any drives against Bama's D and it will be a long day for the Washington Offense. Speed is everywhere on the field for Bama and that will be the difference. Bama's D is #1 in the country for a reason. Washington may be the best Offense that the Tide has faced this season but giving Saban 4 weeks to prepare, they will be ready. As always, Turnovers and Special teams will play a huge roll and if Washington can eliminate any TO's and get a huge play on Special teams then they can hang around but as we have seen all year, Bama has been able to do this to perfection. Bama has 10 non-offensive touchdowns on the year while only giving up 14 all season. That's going to be huge today. Bama has a shaky FG kicker who scares the hell out me, even on PAT's but I don't see him being a factor as I don't see this being a FG game. Final Thoughts: I see the game being close at the half with Bama having a slight 3-7 point lead at half. In the second half, I see Bama's depth, speed and superior Defense taking over and pulling away for a 20-24 point victory and moving on to the College Football Playoff Championship. Final score: Alabama 34 Washington 14
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tytn4lyfe | 5 |
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Bowl Record: (12-15) (-2.6U)
New Years Eve Bowls: *Citrus Bowl* LSU -3 (-125) 1U LSU / Louisville OVER 58.5 (-110) 1.5 U *Taxslayer Bowl* Kentucky +3.5 (-110) 1U Kentucky / Georgia Tech OVER 63 (-110) 1 U *College Football Playoffs* Alabama -14 (-110) 2U Clemson +2.5 (-110) 1.5 U GL
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tytn4lyfe | 2 |
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Nice Work!
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Macwestie1 | 32 |
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2-0 today so far...
Adding: Florida State +7 (-110) 1U
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tytn4lyfe | 7 |
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Adding:
South Alabama +14 (-110) 1.5 U Tennessee -9.5 (-110) 1 U BOL
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tytn4lyfe | 7 |
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Good Luck. Picks look solid
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TREX1976 | 67 |
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Bowl Record: (9-13) (-3.1U)
Friday: Tennessee / Nebraska OVER 58 1U Michigan / Florida State UNDER 50.5 1U GL
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tytn4lyfe | 7 |
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Correction:
UNDER 66 Sorry. GL
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tytn4lyfe | 7 |
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Adding:
Oklahoma State / Colorado OVER 66 (-110) 1.5 1U GL
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tytn4lyfe | 7 |
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