verdman17

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Posts: 12

Member Since: January 2006

Last Activity: 21 January 2020

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created a topic Does anyone know what the AFC live betting... in NFL Betting Does anyone know what the AFC live betting moneyline odds were for the chiefs when the Titans were up 10-0 & then again at Titan 17-7? View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	1	January 20, 2020 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Hedge Bet Advice for WC Final in FIFA World Cup Quote Originally Posted by pdouble: Why hedge ? You are guaranteed a profit Just sit back enjoy the game and root for Croatia You are in possibly the best position imaginable Thanks for the help. I agree, however it doesn't taken account other lost wagers on the world cup. So if France does win, I would be slightly down still. Where as the hedge would get me back up either way. That's the only reason I was thinking about it. View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	10	July 13, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Hedge Bet Advice for WC Final in FIFA World Cup Quote Originally Posted by QAnon: "Go all the way" (Charles Buckowski) The gambling gods will not assist you unless you go all the way. They will ignore you if you hedge, or try collect both ways for a smaller sum. Thanks for the input. I should add that my only reasoning for trying to get some extra money back on a France win is because I am slightly down at the moment if they win. So I figured if I can guarantee myself to be back up, it would make sense. View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	10	July 13, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Hedge Bet Advice for WC Final in FIFA World Cup Am I looking at this right that if I am going to put a bit more on France, that my play is on France as well as the draw? 2 way play: France -220: -$660 + if France wins $960 + futures $420 = $720 Croatia wins: $2,170 - $660 = $1,510 --------------------------------------------------------- In 90 minutes play: France -110: -$330 + if France wins $630 + futures $420 = $720 Draw: -$300 + if draw hits $990 = $690 Croatia wins: $2,170 - $330 - $300 = $1,540 --------------------------------------------------------- would it be dumb if I didn't play the draw & therefore my only risk left open was if there was a draw in regulation & then France won in extra time or on PKs? That would be the only scenario in which I would lose some money on my France futures bet. View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	10	July 13, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Hedge Bet Advice for WC Final in FIFA World Cup Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil: Just leave it, you will be on the positive side anyway. Nice problem to have. Thanks for the info. I laid a few other bets in the group rounds & round of 16, so I am slightly below a break even if France wins. So I may ultimately lay a little on France to get back up, but leave a bulk on Croatia for the win. View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	10	July 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Hedge Bet Advice for WC Final in FIFA World Cup @vanzack, awesome thanks for the info. Is there a site that is easy to get money or off of? I haven't bet online in many years. If I did it live, I can easily do it in NJ or DE but not sure if France is around the -220 or higher. So not sure I would be getting my best value at any of those brick & mortar locations. More than likely if I do anything here, I probably won't go full down the middle. I'll leave it so that Croatia pays out a bit better. But like you said there is no magic answer here, so I just need to think it through fully. View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	10	July 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How to hedge my Croatia WC winner pick? in FIFA World Cup Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Assuming you bet 300 to win the 9,000.... I hate to tell you this but your bet is worth exactly 2,700 right now. So while you "want to get 4-5k out of this", the fair buy back for your bet is 2,700 - so to get 4-5k you are going to have to increase your risk and succeed doing so. In your situation, your Croatia bet has paid 8-1 on your original 300 dollar wager to make the final. The only true hedge here is to bet 6,600 to win 3,000 on France, and that gives you 2,700 either way. @vanzack, I know you have written about hedging before, so your thought is to not hedge? I have a similiar issue at post: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=30717&sub=103253423 but in my case, I had future tickets on both Croatia & France. And just trying to get maximum value if I did hedge, which I believe I covered correctly on my post. View Post \| View Thread	The_Closer	6	July 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How to hedge my Croatia WC winner pick? in FIFA World Cup @The_Closer, I actually have the same question. I have tickets on both Croatia & France winning it all, but win significantly more on Croatia. So was thinking about the hedge. I was also looking at the draw & France winning in 90 minutes since the -255 that I have seen to lift the trophy really limits the profits. Have you done the math, does going with the 2 regulation bets end up being better? View Post \| View Thread	The_Closer	6	July 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to How did I not win?? in FIFA World Cup @sandique is correct on this. Over/under bet is only for the first 90 minutes + injury time. View Post \| View Thread	Doubleadownon12	8	July 11, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Hedge Bet Advice for WC Final in FIFA World Cup I am hoping to get some advice from anyone that is savvy on the equity if a hedge is worth it. In May in Vegas I got: France at 5-1 for $70 to win $420 Croatia at 30-1 for $70 to win $2,170 France right now from what I seen is a -240 to lift the trophy. So I would need to put down $1,200 to get $1,700. So in that case If France lifts trophy I would profit $850 (-$70 original bet - $1,200 hedge bet + $420 + $1,700) If Croatia lifts trophy I would profit $900 (-$70 original bet - $1,200 hedge bet + $2,170) Is it worth it for me to hedge with France being such a big favorite? Or is my best option a no play? Or should I be doing something else here? Just want to make sure I get the best value on these futures bets. Thank you in advance for the advice. View Post \| View Thread	verdman17	10	July 11, 2018 View Post \| View Thread

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