Wannatobet

**Green Bay -1…

***Southern Illinois +4…. What I see here is 2 team inside the top 30 in point distribution in which most of their points come from 2pt range (SIU = #12 @ Bradley = #28). SIU’s 2pt% offense rates far better than that of Bradley’s (SIU = #79 @ Bradley #227). That’s a huge reason right there that Bradley has lost 12 of their last 14 games all while playing a non conference schedule rank of #320 this year as 4 of their wins this year came in the 1st 4 games of the season vs the ranks of #304, #284, #285 & #271 & all home games. SIU meanwhile is coming off their best win of the season vs #73 Northern Iowa. SIU travels just 240 miles north here from Carbondale to Peoria in Illinois to get +4 in which most will consider a road game. Or in other words a place where the Braves have lost 4 of their last 5 games to 4 teams that are 35-32su(52%). Those 4 opponents have played sos ratings of #214, #299, #274 & #196. So when relating that to a 52% opponent win percentage in those 4 losses doesn’t do much justice for trying to speak in terms of Bradley being a strong basketball team. With Bradley being 14-45su(24%) in conference play since 2011, it’s hard for me to believe that fans are taking this Braves team serious right now as they have pretty much turned into the laughing stock of the Missouri Valley Conference. This game should be SIU -1 or better IMO as I feel strongly that there is value in the +4 right now that can be snagged to side with SIU…

***Canisius +7… #248 tempo is the slowest a Jim Baron coached team has been in the last 8 years. His previous 7 tempos = #154, #90, #156, #126, #72, #36, #107. I don’t know about others thought’s here, but when I take this in, it sort of preaches a bit of uncertainty of what type of team Canisius really is this year. But then I notice that Iona’s 8 wins and their opponents offensive ratings that are = #297, #229, #304, #296, #340, #236, #340 & #259 and then realize how important it is for high tempo teams like Iona to benefit from playing bad offenses. Here’s Iona’s losses and their opponents ranks on offense = #105, #14, #90, #27, #94, #86 & #77. So Iona’s wins = All teams with struggling offense’s and their losses all vs teams with significantly better offense’s than that of their wins. This is the true definition of playing vs fast teams like Iona who is #28 in tempo yet just #305 in overall defense. If you have higher efficiency ratings on offense you’re going to stand a chance at beating Iona in their fast paced offense. And Canisius has that with a #57 offensive rating including #15 fro 3pt%. Sign me up for those +7 points & small ML wager...