weGoinSizzla

1-0 all time.  I'm new.

Morehead St +2.5

Morehead St finds themselves in a revenge rematch game with SIU Edwardsville after losing the first meeting.  I typically gravitate towards the team who lost the first meeting, it's not easy beating the same team twice in one season!  (just ask temple and texas tech how that went over the last 2 days).  Morehead St is obviously a capable team with a winning record 9-7.  What's SUPER interesting is they are on a 5 game losing streak!  This is good for us because they're playing desperate which means high energy and bringing everything they got.   Not gonna lie, I have not watched either team play so blindly trusting Morehead St athletics department who have managed to secure the conference or tournament in 2021, 2023, and 2024 - Morehead St kinda runs that division for a while now.

BOL.

I'm beyond unfamiliar with both teams.  Haven't seen either team play this season.  Just asking for the basketball gods help on this one..

Temple money line -115.

Sharps are on SMU i've already seen 1 pt in line movement.  IDK if thats even good or bad at this point lol!  BOL!

Spreads on UAB and SMU seem too good to be true.  I think SMU seems a bit more "trappy".  Any significant injuries I should be aware of?

Spreads on UAB and SMU seem too good to be true.  I think SMU seems a bit more "trappy".  Any significant injuries I should be aware of?

Got the UConn money line at -110 during half time!

Cashing out!

Marquette -10.5 First Half

Typically I exercise caution in rematch games.  However, multiple teams have already beaten Seton Hall twice - they truly are a lesser team in a talented Big East.  I think we have a significant talent separation here - Marquettes a tournament team.  Marquette has lost 3 of their last 4 games so this is a get right game for them where they should come out with everything they got and high energy.  Seton Hall coming off a monster upset overtime win vs Uconn so I'm fading them with the expectation they are physically and mentally spent after leaving it all on the court this weekend.  In Marquette, we have a true favorite at home with one of the best home court advantages in the sport.  With monster spreads like this, I prefer taking first half.  In the event of a blowout a favorite could take their foot off the gas and allow a back door cover.  

@Moneymaker923

 i agree.  i like uconn but i don't think the spread is fair.  i might consider a live bet if uconn gets into trouble (and they prob will) and I can get a small spread 2.5 pts or better.  i'm sure part of the spread # is because uconn does have a very good home court (whether on campus or at the XL center).

@irw

 i mean memphis never covers IN CONFERNCE games.  i dont really count the pre season, do you?

I got Texas at 2.5 before noon.  Didn't know the line moved to 4.5!  I stayed away from illy I thought 6.5 wasnt fair.  Hey I said ALMOST always nothing's a lock it's called gambling.

@kings_duce

 1.  Memphis never covers.  2.  Wichita state lost the first meeting with Memphis and the hardest thing in sports is beating the same team twice.  3.  ESPN acknowledges the possibility of an upset as their broadcasting department picked this game out of all the others to be aired on ESPN (crazy games = ratings = advertising $$).  4.  Excellent home court advantage, they pack the building when ESPN is there.

From my sample size over the last few weeks I am noticing a trend that when an unranked team is favored vs a ranked team they almost always cover.  I saw it last night again in the Texas game.  Has anyone else noticed this trend on a larger sample size?

Taking Ohio State -2.5.

Is money line being too aggressive?

@umgmu

 sharp money is on texas.  line moved from 2.5 to 3.5.  but i can see why you would want kentucky they always get the best players.  last kentucky game i watched they were saying they dont start a point guard.  did i understand this wrong??

How can you argue BYU home court advantage when kstate just won @ iowa st?  Last i checked, iowa st a top home court advantage as well..

at the same time i feel like i'm late to the kstate party.  i'm afraid the trend won't continue..  i'm leaning towards a no play but don't feel good about it.

k state on a casual 6 game winning streak in the big 12, no big deal.  only managed to cover the last 9 games in a row.  upset wins this month include @ iowa state (+810, no big deal), kansas, and arizona.  

Can someone explain how this team is considered an under dog???  

lol i just assumed texas would be an underdog without looking at the spreads.  i just looked and they are in fact a favorite (my mistake), i still consider it a best bet

@sidthetallkid

 I think Texas is an obvious one.  Now, MLs are always a shot in the dark but I feel confident about the spread.  I've noticed the ESPN primetime games are often upsets.  I suppose the analytics/broadcasting departments at ESPN must be good at their jobs - they consistently pick out utterly wild games to schedule for this TV slot (better games > better ratings > $$ advertisements, right?).  Off the top of my head recently Clemson upset Duke in this time slot.  Arkansas upset Kentucky, Arkansas covered vs Alabama.  The same system worked for college football for me too.

In addition to my broadcast ratings theory, are you aware that Kentucky doesn't even play with a point guard?  Ole Miss made them pay for it.  Kentuckys always a bunch of one and done freshmen - you can't trust those groups on the road - remember the Kentucky Oakland upset last march?  

MD is extremely good, great bet.  They scored on almost every crunch time possession.  On the rd?  Wow.