wtfe

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replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football Quote Originally Posted by wtfe: 4u Texas A&M -22 2u North Carolina -24.5 3u Akron +18.5 4u Florida +8 1u Florida ML +255 4-1 +11.35u. There weren't any more system plays yesterday and today. There were a couple leans (which went 1-1) but just wasn't the right line movement. But a solid week for the system so I'll take it. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football Quote Originally Posted by wtfe: 3u Akron +18.5 Always good to start the week with a win. Adding another system plays: 4u Florida +8 1u Florida ML +255 I almost fell out of my chair when I saw that line open. This game should be a pick em, give me the points all day. Florida is playing for an outside chance at the BCS Title Game and FSU is playing for relevance. They couldn't move the ball against VaTech, don't see how it's gonna be any easier against that Gator defense. Think I'll ML the better team here. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football System play: 3u Akron +18.5 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 20, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football No. Plays are ON those teams. Just getting out ahead of line movement. On the A&M play the off shores opened below 20 and they quickly moved in A&M's direction. On Top 10 teams, according to the system, there is a greater than 60% chance the top 10 will cover in that situation. Add to the fact that there is no way Mizzou will be able to stop Manziel, who is now playing for a Heisman, and this could get ugly real fast. My only concern is a backdoor cover from Mizzou on that line, but I don't expect Sumlin to completely shut it down like he did against Sam Houston St. This line could be 24 by kickoff, just trying to get the best numbers I can. The UNC play is a fade on the Terps. There is no way to run an accurate system projection right now on Maryland because all the offensive stats are shot because they are on their 4th QB of the season, and the defensive stats are shot because so many of their starters are injured. UNC has been clicking on offense the last couple weeks, and they are at home. I'm not crazy about the number, that's why it's only a 2u play, but it's not gonna get any better so I'll just take it now. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 20, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football 2nd losing week in a row last week, system finished 3-3 -2u. Two of those losses were by one point...onto this week... Early system plays: 4u Texas A&M -22 2u North Carolina -24.5 Like always, system plays will be posted in this thread as they show up. Leans on twitter. BOL. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 19, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football No more system plays today but if Ohio St and Clemson can hold looking at a solid day. There is a strong system lean on Baylor +11.5, but I've made clear before my opinion about fading KSt; which is don't. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football System plays for afternoon games: 3u Wake Forest +24 3u Ohio St. ML -103 2u Clemson -15 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football Couple early system plays: 3u Northwestern +7 3u Mississippi St. -4 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football The system had an epic collapse on the late games Saturday and ended the week down 6 units. One early play this week: 5u Tennessee/Vandy Over 60 Wished I could've jumped on it when it was still 57, but damn my local. System lean for tonight: Toledo +10.5 and the Over BOL this week. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 14, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball 4u Young St/UGA Under 69.5 2h View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball System plays: 3u Lamar +23 2u Toledo +20.5 2u Robert Morris +2.5 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball System plays: 3u Buffalo +13 2u Fairfield +9 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball 2-2 +.4u yesterday. Gotta trust that these numbers will return to normal. On the system trend I'm tracking I've got the public picking at 80% right now on non Top 25 games...there is no way that lasts. Just gotta trust these numbers are gonna regress back to the mean. System plays: 3u Bowling Green +2.5 2u Fordam +21.5 BOL. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball 4u Duquense/GTown Under 69.5 2h View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball System play: 3u Loyola-MD +8.5 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball +14 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball System play: 3u Duquesne View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball Had a pretty rough debut for the system going 2-5 Friday. I misread the numbers on a couple games and two of those shouldn't have been plays. No plays showed up yesterday, the limited public action coupled with fewer lines this year is throwing off the system projections. System play: 3u Hofstra +18 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2ND HALF WAGERS in College Basketball View Post \| View Thread	nuggetmonster	70	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 11 (YTD: 70-49 +47.5u) in College Football I messed up on that NM St. play. It shouldn't have been a play, I overlooked at SJS's road record, which happens to be 5-0 ATS. I saw it, but it didn't register for some reason. Oh well. Here's the rest of the system plays: 5u Utah -1 4u La Tech -19 3u Tulane ML +105 3u Hawaii +28 System lean on TCU +6.5, but I'm not betting against a team that is 7-1 ATS. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	16	November 10, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football Quote Originally Posted by wtfe: 4u Texas A&M -22 2u North Carolina -24.5 3u Akron +18.5 4u Florida +8 1u Florida ML +255 4-1 +11.35u. There weren't any more system plays yesterday and today. There were a couple leans (which went 1-1) but just wasn't the right line movement. But a solid week for the system so I'll take it. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football Quote Originally Posted by wtfe: 3u Akron +18.5 Always good to start the week with a win. Adding another system plays: 4u Florida +8 1u Florida ML +255 I almost fell out of my chair when I saw that line open. This game should be a pick em, give me the points all day. Florida is playing for an outside chance at the BCS Title Game and FSU is playing for relevance. They couldn't move the ball against VaTech, don't see how it's gonna be any easier against that Gator defense. Think I'll ML the better team here. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football System play: 3u Akron +18.5 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 20, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football No. Plays are ON those teams. Just getting out ahead of line movement. On the A&M play the off shores opened below 20 and they quickly moved in A&M's direction. On Top 10 teams, according to the system, there is a greater than 60% chance the top 10 will cover in that situation. Add to the fact that there is no way Mizzou will be able to stop Manziel, who is now playing for a Heisman, and this could get ugly real fast. My only concern is a backdoor cover from Mizzou on that line, but I don't expect Sumlin to completely shut it down like he did against Sam Houston St. This line could be 24 by kickoff, just trying to get the best numbers I can. The UNC play is a fade on the Terps. There is no way to run an accurate system projection right now on Maryland because all the offensive stats are shot because they are on their 4th QB of the season, and the defensive stats are shot because so many of their starters are injured. UNC has been clicking on offense the last couple weeks, and they are at home. I'm not crazy about the number, that's why it's only a 2u play, but it's not gonna get any better so I'll just take it now. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 20, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem NCAAF Week 13 (YTD: 82-60 +39.45u) in College Football 2nd losing week in a row last week, system finished 3-3 -2u. Two of those losses were by one point...onto this week... Early system plays: 4u Texas A&M -22 2u North Carolina -24.5 Like always, system plays will be posted in this thread as they show up. Leans on twitter. BOL. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	6	November 19, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football No more system plays today but if Ohio St and Clemson can hold looking at a solid day. There is a strong system lean on Baylor +11.5, but I've made clear before my opinion about fading KSt; which is don't. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football System plays for afternoon games: 3u Wake Forest +24 3u Ohio St. ML -103 2u Clemson -15 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football Couple early system plays: 3u Northwestern +7 3u Mississippi St. -4 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 17, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem NCAAF Week 12 (YTD: 79-57 +41.45u) in College Football The system had an epic collapse on the late games Saturday and ended the week down 6 units. One early play this week: 5u Tennessee/Vandy Over 60 Wished I could've jumped on it when it was still 57, but damn my local. System lean for tonight: Toledo +10.5 and the Over BOL this week. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 14, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball 4u Young St/UGA Under 69.5 2h View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball System plays: 3u Lamar +23 2u Toledo +20.5 2u Robert Morris +2.5 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball System plays: 3u Buffalo +13 2u Fairfield +9 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem CBB 11/12 (YTD: 4-7 -12.2u) in College Basketball 2-2 +.4u yesterday. Gotta trust that these numbers will return to normal. On the system trend I'm tracking I've got the public picking at 80% right now on non Top 25 games...there is no way that lasts. Just gotta trust these numbers are gonna regress back to the mean. System plays: 3u Bowling Green +2.5 2u Fordam +21.5 BOL. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	4	November 12, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball 4u Duquense/GTown Under 69.5 2h View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball System play: 3u Loyola-MD +8.5 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball +14 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball System play: 3u Duquesne View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic FadeSystem CBB 11/11 (YTD: 2-5 -12.6u) in College Basketball Had a pretty rough debut for the system going 2-5 Friday. I misread the numbers on a couple games and two of those shouldn't have been plays. No plays showed up yesterday, the limited public action coupled with fewer lines this year is throwing off the system projections. System play: 3u Hofstra +18 View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	5	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 2ND HALF WAGERS in College Basketball View Post \| View Thread	nuggetmonster	70	November 11, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to FadeSystem NCAAF Week 11 (YTD: 70-49 +47.5u) in College Football I messed up on that NM St. play. It shouldn't have been a play, I overlooked at SJS's road record, which happens to be 5-0 ATS. I saw it, but it didn't register for some reason. Oh well. Here's the rest of the system plays: 5u Utah -1 4u La Tech -19 3u Tulane ML +105 3u Hawaii +28 System lean on TCU +6.5, but I'm not betting against a team that is 7-1 ATS. View Post \| View Thread	wtfe	16	November 10, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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