Yungkuch

Mavs -3.5 (-115)

- The Knicks have managed to win games despite being down 3 starters. But I don't see how they keep up with Luka & Kyrie and a Mavs team that shoots the 2nd most threes per game.

- Dallas beat New York at home by 4 last month. But they had 51 points from Randle, Anunoby & Grimes who are all OUT tonight. AND the Mavs didn't have Luka that night

- Jalen Brunson rolled his ankle 2 days ago and left the game early vs Memphis. He's questionable tonight and reports say he was walking slowly with a limp Tuesday night. If he doesn't play, this game will be a blowout

@smellybunty

 Yeah I wouldn't bet them if they both sit but I'm expected them to play

Pistons +13.5 (-110)

- Detroit has been playing better basketball recently but they are at their best when double digit underdogs. They have covered 10 games out of the last 11 as double digit underdogs (5-1 at HOME / 5-0 on ROAD) - Yes that one loss came against the Kings last month but that's exactly why this spread is so big

- Sacramento is back home after a very long 7 game road trip where they went 5-2. I like fading teams coming off long road trips. This will also be the Kings 4th game in 6 nights

@ThaFazz

 2nd time all season where Miami's had a back to back where both games are played at home. First time was Jan 24th & 25th during their 7 game losing streak.

Miami also as 3 days of rest after tonight while San Antonio is starting a rough 9 game road trip 

Heat -8.5 (-110)

- The back to back doesn't scare me for Miami because the starters played under their average minutes in a blowout win last night. The Heat are only 2-4 on the second leg of a B2B but both those wins came at home

- Spurs are atrocious on the road. They average 115PPG at HOME vs 110PPG on the ROAD. SAS is also 3-12 last 15 road games with wins against BOTTOM 5 teams (Wizards, Pistons, Blazers). The Spurs have the 5th worst margin of victory on the road with -10.6 (meaning when they lose on the road, the average margin is 10.6 points)

- Miami won the first matchup by 5 at San Antonio early in the season when they were without Tyler Herro & Terry Rozier (and Caleb Martin who played well last night).

- If Jimmy doesn't play, I anticipate the line to drop to -4/5 but I still expect Miami to win and cover

Clippers -3.5 (-120)

- Hawks are 4-1 L5 since Trae Young came back from a minor injury. They are playing well offensively but their defense is still the worst in the league - giving up 129.8PPG during this 5 game stretch

- Clint Capela is ruled out tonight with an adductor strain and that's a HUGE loss for the Hawks. Capela is their leading rebounder and Atlanta is 7-12 in the last two years when he doesn't play

- Clippers are on the last leg of a 7 game road trip (5-1 on the trip). They are also 25-5 L30 and playing the best basketball in the league

- Atlanta is 10-20 vs teams above .500 while the Clippers are 17-4 vs teams with losing records

Kings ML +125

Warriors ML -115

- Golden State is 13-3 vs teams below .500. They are 3-3 since Draymond returned from suspension but their losses are by 1 to a hot SAC team, loss to the Lakers by 1 in double OT & loss to the Hawks by 7 in OT

- The Warriors are 9-6 vs Eastern Conference teams. The Nets are 6-14 vs Western Conference teams

- Golden State won the first matchup back in December by 4 at home without Draymond. Short road dogs is one of my favorite trends to bet on in NBA right now (they opened as dogs but now slightly the favorite)