NRL Week 18

NRL YTD 79-66 +19.93 units

Well we have week 18 and almost done with byes. finally. So what do we all like?

For me it is the Titans +9.5 and the eels Su over the tigers?

Thoughts?

If its dry, take the over in the Warriors game......

If Benji is back, take the tigs

Yea titans with the points looks good to me. So far this is what i have for tonight.

Titans +9.5 5 units @ $1.92 ( Changed to Centrebet )

Well they have been crap. very very crap. But making this play is on the weather more than the teams and i expect the warriors to play a close game and grind out a win after 4 very bad weeks in a row. Will have stats later on very busy atm.

BOL

And yea like the Eels tonight as long as benji doesnt come through and play. with him playing the play has to be on the Tigers.

Greg Bird is OUT

well have been busy but here the the write ups for both my plays so far tonight.

FNF Stats:

Favs: 15-13-1 SU

Dogs: 16-13 ATS

Totals: 11-18

Picks:

Titans +9.5 5 units @ $1.92

Well the titans have been very bad all year really but i think the return of matt rogers will be big for this team. They know just how good he was last year for them and will bring alot to the back line. So far this year the Titans are 4-11 Su and ATS. So weak very weak. The Warriors are 7-8 SU and 6-9-0 ATS so are just below .500 SU but have struggled coving the points at times. Think this line should maybe higher but the waether should be a big factor and keep this game low scoring. Also as said before just feel this will be a grind out win for the warroirs rather than blow them off the field. ALso on FNF dogs are 6-4-0 ATS in this point range of 5.5-9.5. So just feel the titans may have enough.

Warriors/Titians under 37.5 5 units @ $1.90

Well there has been alot of bad weather in Auckland of late and another bad day again today. So dont expect to see a good game tonight and have already said that i expect the warriors to try grind the win and get backon track for the season. The Warriors are 8-7 on totals this year and the titans are 7-8. As have already said FNF totals are 11-18 so will go with the under on this game

Lean: Eels +2.5 5 units @ $1.92

Well this play is really based on weather Benji is going to turn out tonight or not. Think the eels have been solid of late just not winning. Benji is massive for the Tigers and the really struggle without him. So far this season the Eels are 4-10-1 SU and 6-9-0 ATS so have been able to cover a few starts. The Tigers are 7-8 SU and 6-9-0 ATS this year so have been an average team just doing enough to stay in and around the top 8. On FNF dogs are 10-9-0 ATS in this point range of 0.5-5.5. So not alot there just going to wait on weather benji plays.

BOL all thats what i have on the card tonight.

And we have line movement on the Eels game. They just went out to +3.5 so i would gues that will move further to +4.5 by kick off if ppl want to hold off.

BOL all.

NRL YTD 80-67 +19.43 units

Titans

under

Well was an ok night. Wasnt home in time to lock in my eels play so just the 2 for tonight.

Hope we all killed it

Well this is what i have so far. Coments are more than welcome will have write ups later on

Leans:

Raiders +2.5 5 units @ $1.91

Raiders/Sharks over ? ( Dont have a total up yet but like this to be high scoring).

Storm -5.5 5 units @ $1.85

All coments welcome just what i like atm.

Good to see we are on the same page

Well going to lock down these plays,

Picks:

Raiders +2.5 5 units @ $1.92

Well the raiders have been on a roll atm and think they will continue that tonight. The Raiders are 5-10 SU and 6-9-0 ATS so far this season and MNF fav that wins is 9-3 SU and 10-2-0 ATS the next week. The Sharks are 6-9 SU and 8-7-0 ATS so far this year and have also been very good of late. Many of those covers have been when they where dogs and kept the game close. Just cant look past the Raiders here with Gallon being very tired after another monster performance in Origin and the let down of losing.

Raiders/ Sharkies over 40.5 5 units @ $1.90

Well imo this is going to be high scoring. Both teams have been putting up alot of points of late and both have good records on totals. The Raiders are 9-5 on totals and the Sharkies are 8-7. It is a little higher than had hoped but just cant hold back on the play. Looking for alot of points with teams lacking in D.

Storm/Doggies under 35.5 5 units @ $1.90

Well i expect to see a low scoring game in this one. Both these teams have been under teams all year and have struggled at times to put up points, while have good D. The Storm are 5-10 on totals and the Doggies are 5-9. So will take the good value and hope for a game with little points in it.

Thats all for now may have another play on the Storm doggies game later on.

BOL to us all.

Well have this for my last play,

Pick:

Doggies +3.5 4 units @ $2.15

Well think this is a big game for the Doggies and they should have enough against the Storm tonight to keep the game close imo. They have been ok this year and are 7-7 SU and ATS this year so .500 record. The Storm have been their usual good selfs going 12-3 SU and 11-4-0 ATS. Just think that the Storm key players will be bit tired and the Doggies will take advantage of that and the fact that the game is being played in Adeliade which isnt a good combo for the Storm.

BOL all and lets hope for a perfect night.

yea i see what you mean but just feel the Doggies will have enough and the Storm will struggle.

4 units