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RWC 2011 - It's Time!

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Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by phatmaori:

Thoughts on Samoa Namibia?



Hard to tell, especially since we haven't seen the Samoans yet.

The Namibians will match the physicality of the Samoans and will look to play a very tight match.  I had this match pegged at 28.5 and it looks like the spread is around 30.  I can't see any value in this match.  Samoa might get a few in in the second half for the cover or Namibia might play spoiler long enough to stay within the points.

If you fancy, I would stay off that game and play a small amount on Georgia TO WIN against Scotland.  You can get a minimum of $11.00, probably more, and the match should be competitive.  The line at 21 points is well off the 30+ it was before the tournament, but I would much rather dabble on this match than sniff Samoa and Namibia.

Good luck!  Let us know what you do!
 
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Posted: #152
Then again, after the first weekend of games, it has been a wacky affair.  The ball seems disagreeable to every team, the kicking has been atrocious, and the fields have been similar to ice rinks with the amount of lost-footing I have seen.

That really throws off what you expect the teams to do.

Then again, it throws the oddsmakers off as well.

Wacky! 
 
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Posted: #153
Still sad that i got robbed out of Wales ML,they dominated the Springboks
 
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Posted: #154
Cheers Head. Will have to wait for those games to come up on my shitty ass TAB! Only got a couple of games up atm so will see what I do later
 
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Posted: #155
YAY got my internet back and now with new and improved cable internet speeds :D up from 1.5m/bits to 30-60 so happy!! haha

Anyway, my bets for RWC have gone okay, 1u on Tonga +63.5 and 2u on RSA -12.5 but I'm thinking that Samoa Namibia is way to hard to tell, i'll look at the line still

The Georgia vs Scotland match is looking promising, depending on the line i might take Georgia plus the points. Let's have another great week of betting :)
 
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Posted: #156
By the way Headoverheart, you gotta thread for your college football threads? I'll have a punt on that, RWC, NFL and maybe NRL this weekend
 
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Posted: #157
TAB just put up the Scotland Georgia line tonight. Got in early at +19.5 which I thought was very good considering Romania got within a try of Scotland. Money in the bank!
 
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Posted: #158
Don't see the line on TAB... :( but i'll take your word for it, i'm sure the line will pop up soonish.

19.5 lookkks good! im thinking less than 7 or 8 maybe even an upset!
 
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Posted: #159

$9 for the head to head! Could be a goer

 
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Posted: #160

Found a pretty good option for the Samoa Namibia game... Halftime points start +16.5

Anyone else like the look of that?

 
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Posted: #161
Not me personally, haven't seen much from Namibia to take them on a +16.5. 

 
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Posted: #162

Mmm was gonna say they had a good 1st half against Fiji but then realised the 1st half margin was probably more than 16 and Samoa is a better team than Fiji

 
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Posted: #163
What are your thoughts on Russia - USA and NZ - Japan, i'm thinking Japan +58, but not sure about Russia - USA

know anywhere good where you can check the line ups for these games?
 
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Posted: #164

AB's team hasn't been announced yet I don't think. Maybe rugbyworldcup.com?

I was thinking about that Japan line too, started at +65.5 so has been beaten down a bit but still looks quite good. Unders in the NZ game looks good too at 70.5!

Not sure on Russia USA either, USA played well in their 1st game but no way to tell how the game will pan out without having seen Russia 1st!

 
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Posted: #165
Yeah I think i'll but 2u on Japan plus the points on the first half and 1u on Russia plus the points, USA played well last game but before that they were completely different, all over the place. So i'm hoping the pressure will get the better of them :P
 
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Posted: #166
Quote Originally Posted by SAyR:

By the way Headoverheart, you gotta thread for your college football threads? I'll have a punt on that, RWC, NFL and maybe NRL this weekend


No, I don;t have any dedicated college football threads as I don't play every week due to lack of time from work. 

If there is any play that I like, I'll let you know.  Wisconsin and Stanford were the plays last week and they hit. I then dabbled a bit on Idaho +14 as I thought they were highly undervalued.  I only play a few games a weekend in college as there usually are a few botched lines.
 
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Posted: #167
Quote Originally Posted by phatmaori:

TAB just put up the Scotland Georgia line tonight. Got in early at +19.5 which I thought was very good considering Romania got within a try of Scotland. Money in the bank!


I can't believe how rapidly the Georgia line is falling!  I thought it would hold at 21 down from 33.5 and now I see 17's!!!!!!!!!!!

Wow!!!
 
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Posted: #168
Quote Originally Posted by phatmaori:

$9 for the head to head! Could be a goer



If Scotland boshes it up in the first 20 and the Lelos get a sniff.....Scotland is in for a looooooooong match.  This might be one of the most entertaining matches of the preliminary rounds.  I had this one circled before the lines came out as I knew there would be a massive undervalue of Georgia combined with a massive overvalue of Scotland.  Good opportunity created by the pool selections.
 
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Posted: #169
Quote Originally Posted by SAyR:

What are your thoughts on Russia - USA and NZ - Japan, i'm thinking Japan +58, but not sure about Russia - USA

know anywhere good where you can check the line ups for these games?


Not touching Kiwis and Blossoms.

U.S. will have gained massive momentum from their showing against the Irish.  O'Sullivan has tagged the Russian game as a "must-win" and the U.S. will be ready.  I wish they were playing Italy next instead in order to best capitalize off their performance against the Irish.

I have U.S. -7.5 and I think they grab this.  O'Sullivan was clearly disguising and hiding his WC gameplan in the final two exhibition matches.  The Americans have come out with a completely difference look, set-up, and strategy than just a couple weeks ago.  Their tackling in defence has also been eye-popping.

Russia is coming in cold having not played.

They're about to meet an Eagles buzzstorm.
 
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Posted: #170
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:



No, I don;t have any dedicated college football threads as I don't play every week due to lack of time from work. 

If there is any play that I like, I'll let you know.  Wisconsin and Stanford were the plays last week and they hit. I then dabbled a bit on Idaho +14 as I thought they were highly undervalued.  I only play a few games a weekend in college as there usually are a few botched lines.


Sorry, I meant to type Idaho -14. 
 
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Posted: #171
Here's hoping that South Africa clean up Fiji and the Wallabies dust up the Irish for the sake of my ML parlay!

Haha.


 
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Posted: #172
Georgia SU @ $10.00  



 
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Posted: #173
Do ya really think the scots are gonna be all dogshit again?...
 
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Posted: #174
Might try and jag First Scoring Play - Drop Goal @ $11.00

As we saw from Namibias first game they aint shy to whip out the drop goal... Theuns Kotze 3 from 3 against fiji...



 
 
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Posted: #175
Leaning towards the Maple Leafs (+7.5, maybe SU) versus Donga. All time series between the two is split 2-2 with Canada winning the last time they met in a World Cup albeit it was 8 years ago...
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