That line in the Rebels match opened at 9.5 - money coming in for the Rebels.
Money coming in for the Chiefs too.
Need to see the lineups but a line of 14.5 for the Bulls and 11.5 for the Sharks looks very generous for mine. My leans would be that both favourites cover.
I think Brumbies should get over the line against the Chiefs.
0
That line in the Rebels match opened at 9.5 - money coming in for the Rebels.
Money coming in for the Chiefs too.
Need to see the lineups but a line of 14.5 for the Bulls and 11.5 for the Sharks looks very generous for mine. My leans would be that both favourites cover.
I think Brumbies should get over the line against the Chiefs.
[b]Hurricanes v Highlanders[/b]
Both teams disappointing last season but the expectation on Wellington
was far higher. Wellington started the year well, but faded miserably.
They'll be keen to atone and start 2011 with a big win. Otago lost chief
playmaker Israel Dagg to Canterbury and I don't think they have the
weapons to bother Welly. New signing Colin Slade is also sidelined with a
broken jaw. Nothing going right for Otago and a ball hasn't even been
kicked.
[b]Hurricanes by 13+[/b]
[b]Rebels v Waratahs[/b]
The second game of the round will be a very interesting affair.
Melbourne has been waiting for this moment for years and obviously we
have no form line to go from. The home crowd will be a huge factor in
the tight confines of AAMI Park and there's no love lost between these
two traditional state rivals. I'm expecting the Waratahs to have a bit
more cohesion and class when it matters though. I don't expect Melbourne
to be blown away and in fact, won't be surprised if they shade it (but
that's just the bias talking). 'Tahs in a close one.
[b]Waratahs by 1-12[/b]
[b]Brumbies v Chiefs[/b]
Instinct and distant memory told me that the Brumbies played well below
expectation at home last season, but after going through results, they
posted some decent scores. But in saying that, the only teams they blew
out of the water were the hapless Cheetahs (61-15), Highlanders (31-3)
and Reds (32-12) - which was a big result. The corresponding match
against Waikato finished 30-23 in the Brumbies' favour and I expect a
similar margin this weekend. Of the ACT's seven home games in 2010, only
the three I previously mentioned finished with a margin greater than 11
points.
[b]Brumbies by 1-12[/b]
[b]Blues v Crusaders[/b]
On paper, this is probably the match of the round. The Blues would be an
elite side if they could find a level of consistency. But as long as
they keep up their run of hot and cold, they'll struggle to make a
serious title run. Will this be the year? The Crusaders come to town
minus Richie McCaw who will sit out with a stress fracture. Despite
this, I think Canterbury has too much experience and class for Auckland.
A lot will depend on how Dagg and SBW gel with the existing side, but
expect them to be close to the top again.
[b]Crusaders by 1-12[/b]
[b]Sharks v Cheetahs[/b]
Admittedly I haven't followed many of the South African teams in the
off-season. But I do know the Cheetahs won this corresponding match last
year. Will they win on the weekend? Doubtful, but I fancy they will
hold their own before being overpowered.
[b]Sharks by 1-12[/b]
[b]Lions v Bulls[/b]
Whatever the books set the O/U line at, it won't be high enough. The
Bulls have huge defensive deficiencies, but also have the mentality and
skill to disregard that and simply outscore their opponents. John
Mitchell takes charge for his first S15 game as senior coach of the
Lions, but they won't have the intensity to match their neighbours.
[b]Bulls to beat Lions by 13+[/b]
[b]Reds v Force[/b]
The Reds were arguably the surprise packet of the 2010 S14 season. Led
by Quade Cooper, Queensland played an exciting yet accountable style of
rugby and will be looking to build on that this season. I don't expect
the Force will be easy to knock over, but I can't see them winning at
Suncorp in week one. They'll be in the game all the way, but the Reds
simply have too many playmakers and game-breakers.
[b]Reds to beat Force by 1-12[/b]
0
[b]Hurricanes v Highlanders[/b]
Both teams disappointing last season but the expectation on Wellington
was far higher. Wellington started the year well, but faded miserably.
They'll be keen to atone and start 2011 with a big win. Otago lost chief
playmaker Israel Dagg to Canterbury and I don't think they have the
weapons to bother Welly. New signing Colin Slade is also sidelined with a
broken jaw. Nothing going right for Otago and a ball hasn't even been
kicked.
[b]Hurricanes by 13+[/b]
[b]Rebels v Waratahs[/b]
The second game of the round will be a very interesting affair.
Melbourne has been waiting for this moment for years and obviously we
have no form line to go from. The home crowd will be a huge factor in
the tight confines of AAMI Park and there's no love lost between these
two traditional state rivals. I'm expecting the Waratahs to have a bit
more cohesion and class when it matters though. I don't expect Melbourne
to be blown away and in fact, won't be surprised if they shade it (but
that's just the bias talking). 'Tahs in a close one.
[b]Waratahs by 1-12[/b]
[b]Brumbies v Chiefs[/b]
Instinct and distant memory told me that the Brumbies played well below
expectation at home last season, but after going through results, they
posted some decent scores. But in saying that, the only teams they blew
out of the water were the hapless Cheetahs (61-15), Highlanders (31-3)
and Reds (32-12) - which was a big result. The corresponding match
against Waikato finished 30-23 in the Brumbies' favour and I expect a
similar margin this weekend. Of the ACT's seven home games in 2010, only
the three I previously mentioned finished with a margin greater than 11
points.
[b]Brumbies by 1-12[/b]
[b]Blues v Crusaders[/b]
On paper, this is probably the match of the round. The Blues would be an
elite side if they could find a level of consistency. But as long as
they keep up their run of hot and cold, they'll struggle to make a
serious title run. Will this be the year? The Crusaders come to town
minus Richie McCaw who will sit out with a stress fracture. Despite
this, I think Canterbury has too much experience and class for Auckland.
A lot will depend on how Dagg and SBW gel with the existing side, but
expect them to be close to the top again.
[b]Crusaders by 1-12[/b]
[b]Sharks v Cheetahs[/b]
Admittedly I haven't followed many of the South African teams in the
off-season. But I do know the Cheetahs won this corresponding match last
year. Will they win on the weekend? Doubtful, but I fancy they will
hold their own before being overpowered.
[b]Sharks by 1-12[/b]
[b]Lions v Bulls[/b]
Whatever the books set the O/U line at, it won't be high enough. The
Bulls have huge defensive deficiencies, but also have the mentality and
skill to disregard that and simply outscore their opponents. John
Mitchell takes charge for his first S15 game as senior coach of the
Lions, but they won't have the intensity to match their neighbours.
[b]Bulls to beat Lions by 13+[/b]
[b]Reds v Force[/b]
The Reds were arguably the surprise packet of the 2010 S14 season. Led
by Quade Cooper, Queensland played an exciting yet accountable style of
rugby and will be looking to build on that this season. I don't expect
the Force will be easy to knock over, but I can't see them winning at
Suncorp in week one. They'll be in the game all the way, but the Reds
simply have too many playmakers and game-breakers.
[b]Reds to beat Force by 1-12[/b]
The former Western Force coach also made it clear that his men will
not put all their eggs into one basket as the tournament will test the
team's player-depth.
"They are only one team, the Bulls are only this week and there are
some very good teams we have to play in the competition so I will not be
expecting my team to put all their energy into this one match."
0
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
I can get the Bulls -12.5. I love this.
Please talk me off this.
Too late.
The former Western Force coach also made it clear that his men will
not put all their eggs into one basket as the tournament will test the
team's player-depth.
"They are only one team, the Bulls are only this week and there are
some very good teams we have to play in the competition so I will not be
expecting my team to put all their energy into this one match."
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