3/6/25 EL Plays and Thoughts

Sociedad/Manu - Took a small loss on the 1H over 0.5 play but hammering the over 1 at halftime. Think it's well-established at this point that ManU's a 2H team, with the majority of their goals coming in the 2H. In any case, there's always drama with them in the 2H. Something I really liked before the game was the trend between these two sides: they've played each other six times with scorelines of 0-1, 0-0, 0-4, 0-0, 1-0, 0-1. That's 6/6 on no btts. When streaks like that happen, I love playing the other side, especially given the forms of these two coming. It's sitting at a tasty +324 so I'll bite, especially when I'm expecting a goal minimum in the 2H.

Plays: 2H over 1 (-140), btts live at halftime +324

there's 1. 30' left for 1 more

@tt_boy

 BOOM! Cash both for a solid payday 

Nice!!

@tt_boy

Anything in late matches?

@tt_boy

 Jagiellonia/Cercle Brugge - Tread lightly here as I see much more value in 2H plays in these first legs. That being said, Jagiellonia's been my non-Big Five money maker for the past year. In a league that tends to be more low-scoring than high, the Polish champs play attacking attractive football, and I'm expecting them to come out flying against Cercle Brugge, who's probably become my least favorite team to bet on especially after selling their star striker in Denkey. The 1H over 1 is sitting at -102 but think the books have this wrong. Would suggest waiting for the 1H over to go to 0.75 to guarantee yourself at least half a win as I'm expecting the hosts to find the net in the 1H.

Plays: 1H over 0.75 (live)

Disappointing 1H. Was convicted that Jagiellonia would breakdown Brugge's defense, especially with Brugge having played to a goalless draw over the weekend. Even more disappointing is when you see goals in other games you considered taking . Cercle Brugge continues to be my least favorite team LOL. Still think there will be a goal minimum this game. But do think there's a tastier option.

Roma/Bilbao - These two played to a draw during group stages, and frankly I rate both team's offenses better than their defensive counterparts. I'm expecting Valverde to bring in his big guns off the bench in the 2H. I can't see Bilbao's offense being blanked two games in a row. Too dynamic, too explosive, world class quality across the pitch. Hammering the 2H over 1.

Plays: 2H over 1 (-136)

Smh on cue Bilbao scores but not sure readers were able to catch on quickly enough  if that's the case sorry!

Easy cash 

1 last play

Bodo/Olympiacos - Down 3-0 Olympiacos is going to start showing its' frustrations. Feel like the cards will rack up. Over 2.5 at +149 is huge value given Greek sides tend to be involved in matches with a high number of bookings and the ref averages 5.24 cards/game. Olympiacos already got one. Just need two more.

Plays: Over 2.5 bookings (+149)