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Copa America tournament thread....

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All-Star
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Posted: #276
Like the Tuesday plays   Best of luck Vanz
 
Legend
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Posted: #277

Quote Originally Posted by Livan33:

Final question for today I think. Is there a price at which you would play +2 today? Or are you laying off no matter what?

Everyone has a breaking point.....

I would take it at +130, which is basically +2.5 goals.

But I dont see it getting there.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Captain
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Posted: #278
so where's the smartass who said Argentina will definitely win this tournament, and Brazil is a lock to win both women's championship currently underway, and FIFA WC 2014?
 
Captain
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Posted: #279
If you saw now value on the TINA under yesterday, don't you have to see value on it today after nearly 30 cents of line movement?  I'm going to wait a bit and hope for a tad more movement before I jump onto it.  I like your other two plays although I wouldn't be surprised to see Chile win...
 
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Posted: #280
Up to +115 on Pinny now. I'm gonna have a seriously hard time laying off this.
 
Legend
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Posted: #281
smart move to pass here , Vanzack 

lets see H1 , maybe some 2H action
Let that Sink in . Afuera ! Elon and Vivek / DOGE ..Afuera !
 
Captain
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Posted: #282

at the moment Costa Rica line is for +2 +117 and -½ +2299 !!

If you think Costa Rica can win 5 times out of 100 games, this is your bet

I had them already at -106 +2 and -½ around 1900... i might have to add more units on this, line is just crazy, and yeah, i have over 3 +147 too and because under 3 is now +100 i take that too ! Not going to sweat with this any more than necessary...

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #283

You guys are all right - I should be betting in to this line move.

But for my own sanity, I have decided to sit it out - unless something really moves crazy before kickoff.

I cant listen to "Leo Leo Leo sige sige sige sige FALTA" all game and not pull my hair out.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #284

BTW - The USA to win the WWC at +120 is absurd.  You can bet the NO at pinny at -132.

We lost to Sweden a week ago, and it really wasnt very close. 

-132 is very cheap.

Im not betting it, because I want to be unincumbered to root on the USA, but that price struck me as being way out of whack.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #285
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

BTW - The USA to win the WWC at +120 is absurd.  You can bet the NO at pinny at -132.

We lost to Sweden a week ago, and it really wasnt very close. 

-132 is very cheap.

Im not betting it, because I want to be unincumbered to root on the USA, but that price struck me as being way out of whack.



Interesting, I may throw a unit on that. Thanks Van.
 
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Posted: #286
CR +2 is +118
under 3 is +116

might sprinkle a little on both.
 
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Posted: #287
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:

CR +2 is +118
under 3 is +116

might sprinkle a little on both.

Couldnt blame you.  But if it EITHER of these teams are winning at about the 75 minute mark, you are going to be biting your nails on that under for sure.

But I would certainly lean both of the ways you do.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
MVP
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Posted: #288
i'm going to play draw +775 for .25u too.
 
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Posted: #289
CR +2 is at +129 now.....anyone have a guess as to when I should grab this? Can it really keep climbing?
 
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Posted: #290
...depending on who's driving that price you may not want to Livan
 
Captain
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Posted: #291
Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

...depending on who's driving that price you may not want to Livan


If you believe in fixes and such then you shouldn't really be gambling IMO. Just because some millionaire is betting more than me doesn't mean he knows more than.  Or at least that's how I look at it. 
 
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Posted: #292

damn, argentina and the over are being hit pretty hard.  maybe they win 3-0, or more, but i don't see making those plays.  i'm going to watch Argentina TT under 2.5, now at +103. 

good luck. 

 
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Posted: #293

Quote Originally Posted by arkadymo:



If you believe in fixes and such then you shouldn't really be gambling IMO. Just because some millionaire is betting more than me doesn't mean he knows more than.  Or at least that's how I look at it. 

No Ark, not what I meant at all.  Book to Faces is a term you may have heard, lines are more apt to move on the basis of WHO places the bets, not necessarily the dollar amounts.  Anyway you probably know this already.

 
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Posted: #294
P.S. who said anything about fixes? 
 
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Posted: #295
these lines have 3-0, 4-0 written all over them....i'll be mad if i don't play these though.
 
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Posted: #296
Quote Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:

so where's the smartass who said Argentina will definitely win this tournament, and Brazil is a lock to win both women's championship currently underway, and FIFA WC 2014?

I don't think you are talking about me because I didn't mention any of those other tournaments but this is still set up well for Argentina to win.  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #297
Quote Originally Posted by arkadymo:



If you believe in fixes and such then you shouldn't really be gambling IMO. Just because some millionaire is betting more than me doesn't mean he knows more than.  Or at least that's how I look at it. 


Are you talking about the results fixed or the way the books move the line as fixed? Because they can totally be fixed on how they are moving. Just because the Argentina line is going up doesn't mean more money is coming in on them. Line makers play bettor perception, over even money on both sides, and use it to get the larger chunk of money on the side they want. Books gamble. but when they are 50% right they win big, because over a course of the year they have 60-65% of the money on one side or the other. That's way better profit than getting 50-50 money. They play with bettor minds ALL THE TIME. We're puppets more than we know.
 
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Posted: #298
Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

damn, argentina and the over are being hit pretty hard.  maybe they win 3-0, or more, but i don't see making those plays.  i'm going to watch Argentina TT under 2.5, now at +103. 

good luck. 


I think the reason why it is being hit hard is by American degenerates with nothing else really to bet on. To get some "action" on a game they know nothing about.

typical American joe public degenerate gambler: "Argentina.. they're a good team and Costa Rica is crap... and Argentina scores a lot"

hence you get Argentina (fave) and over bets.


 
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Posted: #299
Quote Originally Posted by crazyparlayking:


I think the reason why it is being hit hard is by American degenerates with nothing else really to bet on. To get some "action" on a game they know nothing about.

typical American joe public degenerate gambler: "Argentina.. they're a good team and Costa Rica is crap... and Argentina scores a lot"

hence you get Argentina (fave) and over bets.



Typical American degenerates could care less and have no idea the Copa America is even going on.  
 
 
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Posted: #300

Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

P.S. who said anything about fixes? 

 

I believe in fixes.

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