Posted:
#1
I think France is the best team in this tournament, with the best depth - and they are playing at home. I think they have the best chance to win the tournament - but at roughly +300 on future lines - it is a bad price. I think a much better option to bet France to win the tournament is to parlay the last 4 games, it will work out much better than 3-1.
Future Bets:
Griezmann top scorer +12-1 (.4 units)
Highest scoring team France +260 (1 unit)
Group B winner Slovakia +630 (.3 units)
Highest scoring team France +260 (1 unit)
Group B winner Slovakia +630 (.3 units)
Group D winner Croatia +345 (1 unit)
Group F winner Austria +215 (1 unit)
Albania Bottom group A -120 (1.5 units)
Russia bottom group B +320 (.5 unit)
Spain bottom group D +1400 (.1 unit)
Italy bottom group E +750 (.2 unit)
Iceland bottom group F+205 (1 unit)
Game Bets:
1. France comes in to the opener as tournament favorites, and it is easy to point to a number of reasons why they deserve it. But if they will have a problem - it will be on defense. That is the only area where depth might be a problem - and players might be playing out of position. But their midfield is as good as there is - and even though Giroud looks like he will be first choice up front and is struggling lately - there is enough behind him to feed him his typical turn and shoot type of goals.
Romania went through their 10 games of qualifying only letting up 2 goals - and amazingly - 0 in their 5 road games. Yes - it was a relatively easy qualifying group -but it is still a pretty solid defensive record. They will most certainly play 9 behind the ball at all times and not let the skill and speed of France's midfield get on any breaks.
Typically, these first round games are low scoring and played very conservatively. I think France has a big advantage here - but I am not willing to lay a goal and half - but I am willing to bet the under at 2.5. France will have 70% of possession - but will be happy with a low scoring win.
France / Romania under 2.5 -120 (2 units)
I see a comfortable France 1-0 or 2-0 game.
GL all - will be back tonight for the weekend games.
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