eurocopa

what good is betting eurocopa if you don't track it on covers. 
world cup thread for reference
https://www.covers.com/forum/fifa-world-cup-30717/wc-103248577

FUTS:

well the copy paste from google doc didnt appera to go over well so were off to a good start. 

FUTS PT 1

bet/odds/book                               risk                  to win
norway 167.5 (fj)                           0.5                83.25
portugal 11.41 (sb)                        2                   22.82
bruno top player 30.0 (1x)              0.31              8.99
wales top 2 group 3.0 (1x)              0.5                1
bel/den 1/2 any order 1.85 (1x)       1                  0.85
hol/ukr 1/2 any order 2.25 (1x)       1                   1.25
scot to qualify 2.45 (1x)                  1                   1.45
scot 2nd place group 9.0 (1x)          0.25               2
scot to win group 17.0 (1x)             0.2                 3.2
spain o6.5 points 1.55 (1x)             1                   0.55
hungary not 4th 3.4 (1x)                0.21               0.5
germany u5.5 points 1.97 (1x)        1                   0.97
portugal to reach qf 1.95 (1x)          1                   0.95
ukraine to reach qf 3.5 (1x)             0.4                1
scotland to reach qf 6.5 (1x)           0.18               0.99
ukraine top 4 7.0 (fj)                     0.17                1.02
portugal top 2 5.0 (fj)                       1                  4
portugal top 4 3.0 (fj)                       2                  4

FUTS PT 2
to advance further

bet/odds/book                          risk                  to win
scot>poland 3.2 (1x)                     0.5                   1.1
wales>russia 2.7 (1x)                    0.6                   1.02
scot>austria 2.5 (1x)                    0.67                  1.01
ukraine>austria 1.8 (1x)               1.25                    1
scot>italy 6.0 (1x)                        0.2                      1
wales>spain 6.0 (1x)                     0.2                     1
wales>italy 5.0 (1x)                      0.25                   1
scot>germany 4.32 (1x)                 0.3                   1
wales>germany 4.32 (1x)               0.3                   1
ukraine>spain 4.37 (1x)                 0.37                 1.01
ukraine>italy 3.24 (1x)                   0.45                1.01
ukraine>germany 2.88 (1x)             0.53                1
portugal>spain 1.98 (1x)                 1.02                1
portugal>italy 2.25 (1x)                   0.8                 1
portugal>germany 2.0 (1x)              1                    1

woulda been happier if neto didnt fall on the sword for nuno this year but nonetheless we like portugal and our epl bias is carrying us on scotland and wales as well. ukraine also skrong w a good draw imo

turquia +1 2.09 (sb)                 1                 1.09
turquia 8.8 (sb)                       .09                .7

Tracking! BOL 

ECTD: 0-2 (-1.09)

big swing and a miss yesterday. not sure if italy that good or turkey that bad. thinking the latter but very real chance i slept italy this year. we will see. 

dont expect it to be as cagey as line says but nonetheless we'll take the cushion. swiss dominance over stronger US cause for concern but wales is the squad so we fire

gales ntl 1.89 (fj)         1        .89

wish wales didnt set out lookin for 0-0 draw. we'll see if they can break through.

think denmark has a chance of getting here themselvs but giving ourselves a little pukki party insurance

finlandia/dinamarca o2.5 2.16 (fj)            1            1.16

wasnt expecting that kinda sweat today yikes. godspeed eriksen seems like the news seems to be improving.

ECTD: 1-2 (-.2)

assuming news keeps improving and belgium/russia play liking russia at home. golovin dat dude and good cohesion in the mf/back from domestic league

russia ntl 1.98 (1x)                    1              .98

do you believe in narratives?

denmark live 4.8 (sb)     .26       .99

ECTD: 1-5 (-2.46)

lick the wounds kinda day. leaning england tomorrow but gonna wait til lineups come out and all the values gone

fwiw my guess

deano (prob pickford but should be deano)
trippier stones maguire(if not fit, mings) chilwell
hendo (if not fit, phillips) rice
mount
sterling rashford
kane

fooooooden

as if there was ever a doubt. this actually isnt an ideal lineup imo. but w 5 subs i feel pretty good ab figuring it out. square lyfe

england -1 1.96 (sb)                      1           .96

lol sterling recipient of phillips masterclass prob cements him in lineup for rest of tournament and sinks england smh.

ECTD: 1-5-1 (-2.46)

more a play here on n macedonia being worst team in tournament

austria 1.8 (fj)                           1              .8

actually like netherlands a good bit but dont see much difference between them and ukraine tbh. first size up of the tourney

ukraine +.25 3.07 (1x)              1.5           3.1

worth the price of admission, take out the marlos experiment and i like where our ukraine futures stand

ECTD: 2-6-1 (-3.16)

no tierney really sucks but i like robertson playing forward more too which it seemed like tierney was doing in qualifying

escocia -0 1.9 (sb)                        1                 .9

would like to see some changes (fraser and adams) which i think we get. scotland had better of it first half too so playing 2h

scotland ntl 2.8 (s)                     1                 1.8

ECTD: 2-8-1 (-5.16)

postin through it. 

slovakia ntl 1.97 (fj)             1                .97

group e looks to be as bad as we thought w our spain group props but sweden should provide some resistance.

suecia +1.5 1.79 (s)            1              .79

ECTD: 3-8-1 (-4.19)

suecia/espana o2.5 1.92 (s)         1                .92

liked what i saw. olesen standing on his head was a bit of a surprise considering how he looked at everton

suecia/espana o1.5 2.08 (sb)                  1               1.08

ECTD: 4-10-1 (-5.4)

did szobaszlai not make hungary's squad? if so dont like that for my hungary prop. anyway the portugal tour starts today. giddy up

portugal -1.25 1.97 (sb)         1            .97         

breakthrough seems imminent imo

port/hun o1.5 2.2 (s)                     1                  1.2

ECTD: 6-10-1 (-3.23)

alemania +.25 1.63 (s)                1             .63

like the thought of both teams being complacent w a draw too so gonna flick there

alemania/france draw 3.4 (fj)                 .4               .96