eurocopa

ECTD: 6-12-1 (-4.63)

game two's are for reversions

russia -1 2.08 (sb)            1              1.08

ECTD: 6-12-2 (-4.63)

leaned turkey in the spirit of reversion but the more i look at it the total seems skewed

turkey/wales o2 1.87 (sb)                    1                     .87

suiza ntl 2.13 (sb)      1         1.13

ECTD: 6-13-3 (-5.63)

if we get anywhere near the side we saw against holland should be a walk... got excited and ended up just getting a diluted -1 smh but were havin fun here!

ukraine -.75 1.96 (sb)                        1                  .96

ukraine -1 2.44 (1x)                          .5                  .72

ukraine -1.5 3.32 (1x)                       .3                  .7

ukraine -1.75 4.26 (1x)                      .2                  .65

@DT44

 found another way to get down on ukraine here. should play out w a austria/ukraine tie should we get the expected ukraine>n macedonia and holland>austria result tomorrow.

ukraine to finish 2nd group 2.9 (1x)               .53                 1.01

ECTD: 6.5-15-3.5 (-5.65)

meh

denmark ntl 1.93              1               .93

ECTD: 6.5-16-3.5 (-6.65)

hol/aut btts 1.93 (fj)                1                  .93

ECTD: 6.5-17-3.5 (-7.65)

keepin simple tomorrow. round two is for reversion

suiza 1.9 (1x)                   1                        .9
croacia 2.28 (fj)                1                        1.28
escocia +1.25 2.15 (s)       1                        1.15

escocia +.75 2.05 (1x)                   1                      1.05

ECTD: 9.5-18-3.5 (-5.55)

reversion, honestly liked the way hungary looked against portugal first 80 min

hungary 1h ntl 2.02 (sb)                  1                  1.02
hungary +1.5 1.91 (sb)                   1                  .91

bias>reversion

portugal +.25 1.91 (sb)                                 1                      .91

ECTD: 11.5-18-3.5 (-3.62)

expecting more fireworks

port/germ o4.5 2.09 (fj)               1                   1.09
port ntl 3.64 (1x)                        .5                   1.32

ECTD: 12.5-20-3.5 (-4.03)

we want adama

spain -1.5 2.02 (sb)                         1                  1.02

@DT44

ECTD: 12.5-21-3.5 (-5.03)

worked some futures maybe some more in morning before 3rd legs all get under way but like one pretty good in particular

not spain group e winner 2.14 (1x)                   2               2.28

@DT44

 found a couple more projecting out likely paths and incorporating biases, looks like we'll have a pile on ukraine to advance vs italy. 

belgium 8.0 (sb)                     1                          7
wales qf 2.5 (1x)                    1                          1.5
sweden qf 2.38 (fj)                 1                          1.38
ukraine qf 3.28 (fj)                 1                           2.28

wales +1 1.97 (s)                             1                          .97
tur/swiss o2.75 1.9 (sb)                    1                          .9

@DT44

ECTD: 13.5-21-4.5 (-4.13)

ukraine 85.0 (s)                  .5                    42

holland/mkd u3.25 1.9 (sb)                        1                .9
ukraine -0 1.94 (fj)                                    1                .94
ukraine/austria o2 2.02 (s)                         1                1.02

ECTD: 14-23-5 (-5.68)

dinamarca -.75 1.98 (s)                   1                  .98

ECTD: 15-23-5 (-4.7)

garethkeeps rollin out the double 6 ill keep betting against them

czech ntl 2.75 (1x)                   .6                 1.05
czech +1.25 1.74 (sb)              1                   .74

scocia 2.8 (sb)                 .6            1.08

ECTD: 15.5-25-5.5 (-5.53)

as w most of my euro reads so far swing and a miss on scotland. we move onward though

suecia -0 1.95 (sb)                           1                         .95
eslovaquia +2 1.84 (sb)                    1                         .84
hungria +2.25 1.85 (sb)                   1                          .85
portugal +.25 2.06 (sb)                    1                         1.06

ECTD: knockout sides/totals: 18-26-6 (-4.2)
          graded futs:5-13-1 (-.23)

sides/totals went pretty poorly and caught a big break on 2x not spain winning group e to more or less wash out group stage futs. fortunately got our 3 main horses (ukraine, portugal, wales) to the knockout starting gate with our smaller/less exposed one (scotland) falling short. ukraine getting sprayed pretty good w money hose so may be looking to add there although a lot of that value has disappeared. probably in a good spot futures wise but will keep an eye out

wales ntl 2.07 (1x)                    1               1.07
wales +.25 2.46 (1x)                .5                .73
wales califica 3.14 (1x)             .5               1.07

ECTD: group sides/totals: 18-29-6 (-4.2)
          graded group futs:5-13-1 (-.23)
          knockout sides/totals: 0-3 (-2)

italy/austria u2.25 1.99 (s)                 1                   .99