I made a serious effort to post this. I actually like it quite a bit hope I won't regret posting at a late (or early) hour. But I said I would and I don't have much of a write up, not even sure I'll wake to watch it.
SERBIA TEAM TOTAL OVER 1.5 (-115)...BIG PLAY!!!: In short, you did not see the real Serbia offense against England b/c the midfield was having problems getting possession. They will not have that same problem against Slovenia. Serbia usually scores against lesser foes, and Slovenia is a lesser foe. Not to mention, the Serbs have put in 2 and 4 goals, respectively, in their last two H2H's played.
Not sure this will win but sure this is the right play. I also like Serbia to win but not locked in so not gonna include in this posting. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD (EUROS): 15-8-4 (0-1 BIG PLAY!!!)
I made a serious effort to post this. I actually like it quite a bit hope I won't regret posting at a late (or early) hour. But I said I would and I don't have much of a write up, not even sure I'll wake to watch it.
SERBIA TEAM TOTAL OVER 1.5 (-115)...BIG PLAY!!!: In short, you did not see the real Serbia offense against England b/c the midfield was having problems getting possession. They will not have that same problem against Slovenia. Serbia usually scores against lesser foes, and Slovenia is a lesser foe. Not to mention, the Serbs have put in 2 and 4 goals, respectively, in their last two H2H's played.
Not sure this will win but sure this is the right play. I also like Serbia to win but not locked in so not gonna include in this posting. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
I too think this will have goals but quite even and scrappy affair. Took draw +260 but I’ll be rooting for 2-2! Corners have value later games! Good luck.
AMAZING!!!! You're a late winner! And to be honest a very lucky one but that's the game.
I got unlucky, no excuses, Serbia deserved the one late goal but also could have scored 3 if not for misplaced shots and some good goalkeeping and obviously defending.
Hate dropping the early one but going to keep to my handicapping and plays. I have my second big play later this afternoon actually.
Weill be back shortly with the next game which should be really entertaining.
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Quote Originally Posted by rogue_wave:
I too think this will have goals but quite even and scrappy affair. Took draw +260 but I’ll be rooting for 2-2! Corners have value later games! Good luck.
AMAZING!!!! You're a late winner! And to be honest a very lucky one but that's the game.
I got unlucky, no excuses, Serbia deserved the one late goal but also could have scored 3 if not for misplaced shots and some good goalkeeping and obviously defending.
Hate dropping the early one but going to keep to my handicapping and plays. I have my second big play later this afternoon actually.
Weill be back shortly with the next game which should be really entertaining.
The next game is always a bit rough for me, not from handicapping, but because I'm already awake at this point and flooded with business stuff that comes up first thing in the morning. Given how much I wager on these games and how profitable it can be, this to me is also work as it's made me a fortune over the years. Happy to share with others but I do research and am not blind to the fact that goals scored or trends have nothing really to do with the play or composition of teams. But they do come into play in some regard and I still have confidence in my plays heading into this next one even though the Serbia Big Play didn't come in.
Now, about this game...England have a historically good record in H2H's against Denmark (W13, D5, L4) and the Danes have won just one of their last six group stage matches at the Euros (D1, L4). Compare that to England who have not lost a group game at the Euros since a 2-1 defeat to France in 2004. That record is built on a solid defense that last conceded a goal at this stage of the tournament to Wales back in 2016! Combine that with the notion that none of the last 7 H2H's ended in more than a one goal margin bodes well for the English but also doesn't mean a TIE is not an option.
Thing is, both teams will have pressure, England to do better and Denmark to get a victory or point here. Especially given the result of the first game! England knows they are through with a win that's enough motivation for me play off of. This will be a popular side and for good reason, I just cannot see the Danes getting 2 goals against the English and with the familiarity of both teams and players, I think the style of play will favor England.
I'd like to see Ollie Watkins get in the game as he's been in scintillating goal scoring form this year. If England are to get the job done, they will also need a lot more from Phil Foden and Bukayo Sake. But I think they respond for their first consecutive back to back victories since November:
ENGLAND (-155)...I know, heavy number but I just dont' think they play for a tie here after seeing Slovenia. That would put them in a very precarious last match situation
ENGLAND OVER 1.5 GOALS (-110)
ENGLAND FH -1/4 (-120)
I am really behind the English and feel confident about it. I think they will get 2 goals against a solid Danish defense but one that can be broken especially when they are put to defend a flurry of offensive play. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
1
The next game is always a bit rough for me, not from handicapping, but because I'm already awake at this point and flooded with business stuff that comes up first thing in the morning. Given how much I wager on these games and how profitable it can be, this to me is also work as it's made me a fortune over the years. Happy to share with others but I do research and am not blind to the fact that goals scored or trends have nothing really to do with the play or composition of teams. But they do come into play in some regard and I still have confidence in my plays heading into this next one even though the Serbia Big Play didn't come in.
Now, about this game...England have a historically good record in H2H's against Denmark (W13, D5, L4) and the Danes have won just one of their last six group stage matches at the Euros (D1, L4). Compare that to England who have not lost a group game at the Euros since a 2-1 defeat to France in 2004. That record is built on a solid defense that last conceded a goal at this stage of the tournament to Wales back in 2016! Combine that with the notion that none of the last 7 H2H's ended in more than a one goal margin bodes well for the English but also doesn't mean a TIE is not an option.
Thing is, both teams will have pressure, England to do better and Denmark to get a victory or point here. Especially given the result of the first game! England knows they are through with a win that's enough motivation for me play off of. This will be a popular side and for good reason, I just cannot see the Danes getting 2 goals against the English and with the familiarity of both teams and players, I think the style of play will favor England.
I'd like to see Ollie Watkins get in the game as he's been in scintillating goal scoring form this year. If England are to get the job done, they will also need a lot more from Phil Foden and Bukayo Sake. But I think they respond for their first consecutive back to back victories since November:
ENGLAND (-155)...I know, heavy number but I just dont' think they play for a tie here after seeing Slovenia. That would put them in a very precarious last match situation
ENGLAND OVER 1.5 GOALS (-110)
ENGLAND FH -1/4 (-120)
I am really behind the English and feel confident about it. I think they will get 2 goals against a solid Danish defense but one that can be broken especially when they are put to defend a flurry of offensive play. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...
With you ENG o1.5 - also took ENG o5.5 corners +130 … total corners o9.5 was +130 but now down to +115, just not convinced Denmark will bring that sort of pressure consistently to cover 10.
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With you ENG o1.5 - also took ENG o5.5 corners +130 … total corners o9.5 was +130 but now down to +115, just not convinced Denmark will bring that sort of pressure consistently to cover 10.
The same old conservative English team… HK is like Levandovski… he is a great finisher but needs everyone to serve him, can not create anything on his own. The Premier league is the best one in the world but that is because of the best foreign players participating…. England for a long time is not the top team. They are missing the go to guy, the difference maker…. That the France has… they are like Boston in NBA , France like the Bulls with MJ… who would you bet on?? Love to see the second half…. Could be a draw again which would be actually good for all 4 teams in the group…. Good luck… you know you don’t have to wager on every game a hit your spots for more…
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The same old conservative English team… HK is like Levandovski… he is a great finisher but needs everyone to serve him, can not create anything on his own. The Premier league is the best one in the world but that is because of the best foreign players participating…. England for a long time is not the top team. They are missing the go to guy, the difference maker…. That the France has… they are like Boston in NBA , France like the Bulls with MJ… who would you bet on?? Love to see the second half…. Could be a draw again which would be actually good for all 4 teams in the group…. Good luck… you know you don’t have to wager on every game a hit your spots for more…
I got a bit unlucky but really smoked on this game. A bit mad at myself b/c I was NOT long England at the start of the tournament as I had stated in my first posting. Now I have backed them twice and lost both times b/c they are a bunch of high profile players that do not play like a team.
Thinking of just packing it in for the day vs. getting a goose egg. Now the game I liked MOST is up and I'm playing with scared money for some reason.
ENGLAND OVER 1.5 GOALS (-110) L
ENGLAND FH -1/4 (-120) P -1/2
ENGLAND (-155) L
UPDATED YTD (EUROS): 15-12-4 (0-2 BIG PLAY!!!)
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I got a bit unlucky but really smoked on this game. A bit mad at myself b/c I was NOT long England at the start of the tournament as I had stated in my first posting. Now I have backed them twice and lost both times b/c they are a bunch of high profile players that do not play like a team.
Thinking of just packing it in for the day vs. getting a goose egg. Now the game I liked MOST is up and I'm playing with scared money for some reason.
I know all of this. Including the same HK and the same England. He is their #9 but is playing in the midfield. And while Foden was better they just looked lost with their starting XI. Not even sure why Cole Palmer isn't playing.
Southgate seems to have no plans and is just having fun with players, not coaching. That is the big difference. I am not playing all the games b/c I have to but because I like them. This next game was my biggest one but I'm going to have just scale it back so I don't get harassed by the draining of money.
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@pt2win
I know all of this. Including the same HK and the same England. He is their #9 but is playing in the midfield. And while Foden was better they just looked lost with their starting XI. Not even sure why Cole Palmer isn't playing.
Southgate seems to have no plans and is just having fun with players, not coaching. That is the big difference. I am not playing all the games b/c I have to but because I like them. This next game was my biggest one but I'm going to have just scale it back so I don't get harassed by the draining of money.
Posting this now though I played Italy OVER 1/2 goal yesterday at -185 as I thought there is NO way they don't score though it now sits at -200 if you can even get that anymore. I am posting what I have wanted for the past week as this game was on my radar. Now I am second guessing myself b/c of England and probably should just plough forward you can't win them all. But you can get back on the right path as long as you stay with what you believe and trust the gut. I didn't do that with England as much, no excuses...
SPAIN -1/4 (-120)...BIG PLAY: I think that Spain is if not THE best team I've seen so far, amongst the top 4 squads. They have a coach that has been with the youth teams so they play as a unit and might not have the individual talent some sides do, but they are quite good all over the ball. I think Italy is a very strong side but I think their defense is not what it used to be and Spain will exploit that. Probably a game with a lot of possession and the Spanish have more speed on the wings to open things up. This was a game I had circled when I saw the matchups if only b/c of the magnitude and knowing I'd get a shorter line with the Spanish. Both teams know a win gets them clearly through so I'm not sure we see another 1-1 tie today.
SPAIN PK FH (-169): Not gonna lie, expensive but I have a strong feeling we get a FH goal from Spain
ITALY OVER 1/2 GOAL (-200): IF this loses I will take a double L here
I know, seems strange to bet all of this in such a tight match. Probably smart to also take the over 2 in the game since I presume Italy will score 1 and that Spain at worst ties though I really really think they win outright.
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Posting this now though I played Italy OVER 1/2 goal yesterday at -185 as I thought there is NO way they don't score though it now sits at -200 if you can even get that anymore. I am posting what I have wanted for the past week as this game was on my radar. Now I am second guessing myself b/c of England and probably should just plough forward you can't win them all. But you can get back on the right path as long as you stay with what you believe and trust the gut. I didn't do that with England as much, no excuses...
SPAIN -1/4 (-120)...BIG PLAY: I think that Spain is if not THE best team I've seen so far, amongst the top 4 squads. They have a coach that has been with the youth teams so they play as a unit and might not have the individual talent some sides do, but they are quite good all over the ball. I think Italy is a very strong side but I think their defense is not what it used to be and Spain will exploit that. Probably a game with a lot of possession and the Spanish have more speed on the wings to open things up. This was a game I had circled when I saw the matchups if only b/c of the magnitude and knowing I'd get a shorter line with the Spanish. Both teams know a win gets them clearly through so I'm not sure we see another 1-1 tie today.
SPAIN PK FH (-169): Not gonna lie, expensive but I have a strong feeling we get a FH goal from Spain
ITALY OVER 1/2 GOAL (-200): IF this loses I will take a double L here
I know, seems strange to bet all of this in such a tight match. Probably smart to also take the over 2 in the game since I presume Italy will score 1 and that Spain at worst ties though I really really think they win outright.
Good luck with your plays…. At Brooklin”s post I have explained the Spanish team a bit …. I really don’t know who they are if I base my feelings on their first game…. Croatia’s midfield is old and slow and Spanish youth is vibrant…. Both teams don’t need to win and that fact scares me…. Let’s call it BS…. These players know each other and we could see first 0:0…. Hope not but no bets for me today even the draw in England’s game after the half looked very appealing….
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Good luck with your plays…. At Brooklin”s post I have explained the Spanish team a bit …. I really don’t know who they are if I base my feelings on their first game…. Croatia’s midfield is old and slow and Spanish youth is vibrant…. Both teams don’t need to win and that fact scares me…. Let’s call it BS…. These players know each other and we could see first 0:0…. Hope not but no bets for me today even the draw in England’s game after the half looked very appealing….
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