YTD (EUROS): 21-23-9 (1-2-1 BIG PLAY!!!)
I guess everyone had slides but this is the worst one I've had in soccer in years. Shouldn't have listened to others, not assigning blame, but still in this tournament almost every single game played in the early slate has gone over and all but ONE game played in the late slate went UNDER. Someone had come is saying that's silly but it's not actually b/c the refereeing has been atrocious in some of the later games and Spain has found it difficult to net second goals for whatever reason (I realize a lot of starters had sat) which might end up costing them later in tournament.
Today, there is no other way I can play the games than what I think. The danger is sometimes overvaluing teams when a player such as Mbappe comes back into the team and the odds reflect that. But France are very, very experienced and are going to be playing a listless Poland side that has already been eliminated.
In the other game, the Netherlands have absolutely owned Austria, though I think the latter is the side which is playing best. All the teams know that with a victory they will advance (except Poland), so I expect these games take on that type of meaning. Going back to the well:
FRANCE -1.5 (-145)
FRANCE FH (-152)...BIG PLAY!!!
FRANCE FH OVER 1 (-170)
AUSTRIA/NETHERLANDS OVER 2.5 (-127)
AUSTRIA/NETHERLANDS FH OVER 1 (-135)...BIG PLAY!!!
AUSTRIA +1/2 (+108): odds too good here for a side that seems to be playing extremely well and know a tie will get them through
I'll be back for laters games but this is who I am on for the early round. Very much like this day of action and hoping the results will show that. As always, tail or fade, good luck to all....
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