I am using for this a small bankroll of $100, of "100 Units" (1 Unit = $1).
I will use the "Play of the Day"-s (Bet of the Day) of 10 free big prediction sites I am checking every day.
Based on these, for each day I will construct 2 parlays, one with Asian Handicap side plays, and the other one with match goal totals.
For how I construct the parlays I will put on the full example just for today - what the websites gave and what I ended up with, so you will see clearly the rationament I use.
I named the thread hopeless, because my initial guess is that no more than about 25% of all parlays will be winners... so this will be a loser overall. But hey, maybe there's a surprise and will be winner in the long run...
PS: Besides each match I will put the start time of the match, that is Central European Time (Paris, Roma, Berlin, Madrid). That is usually 6 hours later that New York's time (ET), unless around when we change the clock in autumn and summer, then for about 1-2 weeks it's only 5 hours difference.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This is just for fun!
I am using for this a small bankroll of $100, of "100 Units" (1 Unit = $1).
I will use the "Play of the Day"-s (Bet of the Day) of 10 free big prediction sites I am checking every day.
Based on these, for each day I will construct 2 parlays, one with Asian Handicap side plays, and the other one with match goal totals.
For how I construct the parlays I will put on the full example just for today - what the websites gave and what I ended up with, so you will see clearly the rationament I use.
I named the thread hopeless, because my initial guess is that no more than about 25% of all parlays will be winners... so this will be a loser overall. But hey, maybe there's a surprise and will be winner in the long run...
PS: Besides each match I will put the start time of the match, that is Central European Time (Paris, Roma, Berlin, Madrid). That is usually 6 hours later that New York's time (ET), unless around when we change the clock in autumn and summer, then for about 1-2 weeks it's only 5 hours difference.
Spain, LaLiga @ 14:00 / Cadiz CF - Girona / Girona +1 (1.13) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Burnley - Chelsea / Chelsea +0.5 (1.24) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Manchester Utd - Brentford / Brentford +2 (1.20) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Fulham - Sheffield Utd / Fulham 0 (1.19) France Ligue 1 @ 17:00 / Metz - Nice / Nice +0.5 (1.17) Italy, Serie A @ 18:00 / Juventus - Torino / Juventus +0.5 (1.23) USA, MLS @ 03:30 (Oct 9) / Real Salt Lake - Kansas City / Real Salt Lake +1 (1.10)
Odds: 3.167 -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay: 2 Units:
Spain, LaLiga @ 14:00 / Cadiz CF - Girona / OVER 1.25 (1.21) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Burnley - Chelsea / OVER 1.5 (1.26) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Fulham - Sheffield Utd / UNDER 4 (1.17) Netherlands, Eredivisie @ 16:30 / Heerenveen - Nijmegen / OVER 1.5 (1.26)
Heerenveen - Nijmegen: BTTS Metz - Nice: Nice Salt Lake - Kansas City: Salt Lake Burnley - Chelsea: Over 2.5 Fulham - Sheffield: BTTS NO Burnley - Chelsea: Chelsea Manchester Utd - Brentford: Brentford Fulham - Sheffield: Fulham Juventus - Torino: Juventus Cadiz - Girona: Girona and BTTS
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SATURDAY / OCTOBER 7
Asian Handicap Parlay: 2 Units:
Spain, LaLiga @ 14:00 / Cadiz CF - Girona / Girona +1 (1.13) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Burnley - Chelsea / Chelsea +0.5 (1.24) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Manchester Utd - Brentford / Brentford +2 (1.20) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Fulham - Sheffield Utd / Fulham 0 (1.19) France Ligue 1 @ 17:00 / Metz - Nice / Nice +0.5 (1.17) Italy, Serie A @ 18:00 / Juventus - Torino / Juventus +0.5 (1.23) USA, MLS @ 03:30 (Oct 9) / Real Salt Lake - Kansas City / Real Salt Lake +1 (1.10)
Odds: 3.167 -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay: 2 Units:
Spain, LaLiga @ 14:00 / Cadiz CF - Girona / OVER 1.25 (1.21) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Burnley - Chelsea / OVER 1.5 (1.26) England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Fulham - Sheffield Utd / UNDER 4 (1.17) Netherlands, Eredivisie @ 16:30 / Heerenveen - Nijmegen / OVER 1.5 (1.26)
Girona +1 (1.13) = 1:0, WON Chelsea +0.5 (1.24) = 4:1, WON Brentford +2 (1.20) = 1:2, WON Fulham 0 (1.19) = 3:1, WON Nice +0.5 (1.17) = 1:0, WON Juventus +0.5 (1.23) = 2:0, WON Real Salt Lake +1 (1.10) = 2:3, PUSHED
Final Odds: 2.879 -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 1 Unit (Half Stake)
Cadiz CF/Girona OVER 1.25 (1.21) = 0:1, LOST Half Stake Burnley/Chelsea OVER 1.5 (1.26) = 1:4, WON Fulham/Sheffield Utd UNDER 4 (1.17) = 3:1, PUSHED Heerenveen/Nijmegen OVER 1.5 (1.26) = 1:1, WON
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Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = WON 3.758 Units
Girona +1 (1.13) = 1:0, WON Chelsea +0.5 (1.24) = 4:1, WON Brentford +2 (1.20) = 1:2, WON Fulham 0 (1.19) = 3:1, WON Nice +0.5 (1.17) = 1:0, WON Juventus +0.5 (1.23) = 2:0, WON Real Salt Lake +1 (1.10) = 2:3, PUSHED
Final Odds: 2.879 -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 1 Unit (Half Stake)
Cadiz CF/Girona OVER 1.25 (1.21) = 0:1, LOST Half Stake Burnley/Chelsea OVER 1.5 (1.26) = 1:4, WON Fulham/Sheffield Utd UNDER 4 (1.17) = 3:1, PUSHED Heerenveen/Nijmegen OVER 1.5 (1.26) = 1:1, WON
France, Ligue 1 @ 15:00 / Brest - Toulouse / Brest +0.5 (1.22) Sweden, Allsvenskan @ 15:00 / Kalmar - Malmo FF / Malmo FF +0.5 (1.21) Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Granada CF - Barcelona / Barcelona 0 (1.18) Brazil, Serie A @ 23:30 / Fortaleza - America MG / Fortaleza 0 (1.19)
Odds: 2.073 -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay: 2 Units:
Denmark, Superliga @ 14:00 / Aarhus - FC Copenhagen / Over 1.25 (1.22) Germany, Bundesliga @ 15:30 / Bayer Leverkusen - FC Koln / Over 2 (1.22) England, Premier League @ 17:30 / Arsenal - Manchester City / Over 1.25 (1.19) France, Ligue 1 @ 20:45 / Rennes - Paris SG / Over 1.5 (1.23) Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Granada CF - Barcelona / Over 2 (1.21)
Odds: 2.636
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SUNDAY / OCTOBER 8
Asian Handicap Parlay: 2 Units:
France, Ligue 1 @ 15:00 / Brest - Toulouse / Brest +0.5 (1.22) Sweden, Allsvenskan @ 15:00 / Kalmar - Malmo FF / Malmo FF +0.5 (1.21) Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Granada CF - Barcelona / Barcelona 0 (1.18) Brazil, Serie A @ 23:30 / Fortaleza - America MG / Fortaleza 0 (1.19)
Odds: 2.073 -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay: 2 Units:
Denmark, Superliga @ 14:00 / Aarhus - FC Copenhagen / Over 1.25 (1.22) Germany, Bundesliga @ 15:30 / Bayer Leverkusen - FC Koln / Over 2 (1.22) England, Premier League @ 17:30 / Arsenal - Manchester City / Over 1.25 (1.19) France, Ligue 1 @ 20:45 / Rennes - Paris SG / Over 1.5 (1.23) Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Granada CF - Barcelona / Over 2 (1.21)
I forgot to mention that for the Arsenal - Man City match one of the sites gave a Over 2.5 play and another one a Under 2.5 play.
I had the choice to not include this match in the parlay (the 2 POD-s cancelling each other), or to choose one side and include that. So I went with the "Over". If I had been including the "Under" instead, that would've been Under 4 (1.16) in the parlay.
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I forgot to mention that for the Arsenal - Man City match one of the sites gave a Over 2.5 play and another one a Under 2.5 play.
I had the choice to not include this match in the parlay (the 2 POD-s cancelling each other), or to choose one side and include that. So I went with the "Over". If I had been including the "Under" instead, that would've been Under 4 (1.16) in the parlay.
Brest +0.5 (1.22) = 1:1, WON Malmo FF +0.5 (1.21) = 0:1, LOST Barcelona 0 (1.18) = 2:2, PUSHED Fortaleza 0 (1.19) = 3:2, WON -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 1 Unit (Half Stake)
Aarhus/FC Copenhagen Over 1.25 (1.22) = 1:1 WON Bayer Leverkusen/FC Koln Over 2 (1.22) = 3:0, WON Arsenal/Manchester City Over 1.25 (1.19) = 1:0, LOST Half Stake Rennes/Paris SG Over 1.5 (1.23) = 1:3, WON Granada CF/Barcelona Over 2 (1.21) = 2:2, WON -----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall: WON 1 - LOST 1 / WON 1.758 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall: LOST 2 / LOST 2 Units
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Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 2 Units
Brest +0.5 (1.22) = 1:1, WON Malmo FF +0.5 (1.21) = 0:1, LOST Barcelona 0 (1.18) = 2:2, PUSHED Fortaleza 0 (1.19) = 3:2, WON -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 1 Unit (Half Stake)
Aarhus/FC Copenhagen Over 1.25 (1.22) = 1:1 WON Bayer Leverkusen/FC Koln Over 2 (1.22) = 3:0, WON Arsenal/Manchester City Over 1.25 (1.19) = 1:0, LOST Half Stake Rennes/Paris SG Over 1.5 (1.23) = 1:3, WON Granada CF/Barcelona Over 2 (1.21) = 2:2, WON -----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall: WON 1 - LOST 1 / WON 1.758 Units
Elche +0.5 (1.23) = 2:1, WON Las Planas W +1.5 (1.23) = 1:1, WON Espanyol +0.5 (1.20) = 1:3, LOST Burton +0.75 (1.24) = 2:1, WON AVS 0 (1.19) = 1:0, WON -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = WON 1.5 Units
Elche/Andorra Over 1.25 (1.24) = 2:1, WON Villarreal B/Espanyol Over 1.5 (1.21) = 3:1, WON -----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall: WON 1 - LOST 2 / LOST 1.242 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall: WON 1 - LOST 2 / LOST 0.5 Units
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Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 3 Units
Elche +0.5 (1.23) = 2:1, WON Las Planas W +1.5 (1.23) = 1:1, WON Espanyol +0.5 (1.20) = 1:3, LOST Burton +0.75 (1.24) = 2:1, WON AVS 0 (1.19) = 1:0, WON -----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = WON 1.5 Units
Elche/Andorra Over 1.25 (1.24) = 2:1, WON Villarreal B/Espanyol Over 1.5 (1.21) = 3:1, WON -----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall: WON 1 - LOST 2 / LOST 1.242 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall: WON 1 - LOST 2 / LOST 0.5 Units
Champions League Women @ 18:00 / Slavia Prague W - Ol. Cluj W / Ol. Cluj W +4.5 (1.24) Friendly International @ 20:45 / Wales - Gibraltar / Wales -2 (1.24) France, National @ 21:00 / Nancy - Red Star / Red Star +0.5 (1.24) Colombia, Primera B @ 22:15 / Leones - Cartagena / Cartagena +1.5 (1.20)
Odds: 2.288 -----------------
No "Goal Totals Parlay' today.
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WEDNESDAY / OCTOBER 11
Asian Handicap Parlay: 5 Units:
Champions League Women @ 18:00 / Slavia Prague W - Ol. Cluj W / Ol. Cluj W +4.5 (1.24) Friendly International @ 20:45 / Wales - Gibraltar / Wales -2 (1.24) France, National @ 21:00 / Nancy - Red Star / Red Star +0.5 (1.24) Colombia, Primera B @ 22:15 / Leones - Cartagena / Cartagena +1.5 (1.20)
Again, like yesterday, 4 sites had no POD-s for today.
I missed 1 play, should have been this one included in the parlay (match already started):
Champions League Women @ 15:00 / Subotica W - Rosengard W / Rosengard W +0.5 (1.24)
I have checked all sites like 5-6 hours ago, saw this match, but did not check the start time, who thought they are such idiots to put a footy match in the middle of a weekday in Europe, lol... Even if its babe-ball.. (I wanted to be a gentleman by not calling it p--y ball, lol.)
And finally, one site gave their POD: "Gibraltar +4", which in my parlay would have looked like Gibraltar +4.5 (1.24). This one should have cancelled out another one, which had the POD: "Wales -4", but I went with this one, resulting the Wales -2 (1.24) in the parlay...
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Again, like yesterday, 4 sites had no POD-s for today.
I missed 1 play, should have been this one included in the parlay (match already started):
Champions League Women @ 15:00 / Subotica W - Rosengard W / Rosengard W +0.5 (1.24)
I have checked all sites like 5-6 hours ago, saw this match, but did not check the start time, who thought they are such idiots to put a footy match in the middle of a weekday in Europe, lol... Even if its babe-ball.. (I wanted to be a gentleman by not calling it p--y ball, lol.)
And finally, one site gave their POD: "Gibraltar +4", which in my parlay would have looked like Gibraltar +4.5 (1.24). This one should have cancelled out another one, which had the POD: "Wales -4", but I went with this one, resulting the Wales -2 (1.24) in the parlay...
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