Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = WON 3.385 Units
Volendam +3.5 (1.28) = 0:2, WON
Cruzeiro +1.5 (1.31) = 0:1, WON
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 8 Units
Sassuolo/Spezia Over 1.5 (1.20) = 0:0, LOST
UD Logrones/Valencia Over 2 (1.18) = 0:2, PUSHED
-----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall:
WON 11 - LOST 16 / WON 19.094 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall:
WON 12 - LOST 12 / LOST 13.455 Units
So this was a very bad decision.
From now on I will stick stricly what the POD-s are suggesting.
The "Under 2.5" was suggesting "Under whatever" and the "BTTS" was suggesting "Over whatever". Such 2 POD-s should always cancel each other.
FRIDAY / NOVEMBER 3
Asian Handicap Parlay:
5 Units:
Italy, Serie A @ 20:45 / Bologna - Lazio / Lazio +1 (1.19)
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Las Palmas - Atletico Madrid / Atletico Madrid 0 (1.24)
England, Championship @ 21:00 / Leicester - Leeds / Leicester +0.75 (1.25)
Spain, LaLiga2 @ 21:00 / Espanyol - Eibar / Eibar +1.5 (1.18)
Portugal, Liga Portugal @ 21:15 / FC Porto - Estoril / Estoril +3.5 (1.25)
Odds: 2.721
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay:
9.5 Units:
Germany, Bundesliga @ 20:30 / Darmstadt - Bochum / Over 1.75 (1.26)
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Las Palmas - Atletico Madrid / Under 3.5 (1.27)
Spain, LaLiga2 @ 21:00 / Espanyol - Eibar / Over 1.5 (1.37)
Odds: 2.192
Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 5 Units
Lazio +1 (1.19) = 0:1, PUSHED
Atletico Madrid 0 (1.24) = 1:2, LOST
Leicester +0.75 (1.25) = 0:1, LOST 1/2 Stake
Eibar +1.5 (1.18) = 2:2, WON
Estoril +3.5 (1.25) = 1:0, WON
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = WON 11.324 Units
Darmstadt/Bochum Over 1.75 (1.26) = 1:2, WON
Las Palmas/Atletico Madrid Under 3.5 (1.27) = 2:1, WON
Espanyol/Eibar Over 1.5 (1.37) = 2:2, WON
-----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall:
WON 11 - LOST 17 / WON 14.094 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall:
WON 13 - LOST 12 / LOST 2.131 Units
SATURDAY / NOVEMBER 4
Asian Handicap Parlay:
7 Units:
Germany, Bundesliga @ 15:30 / Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen / Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 (1.20)
Germany, Bundesliga @ 15:30 / Mainz - RB Leipzig / Leipzig +0.5 (1.21)
England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Manchester City - Bournemouth / Manchester City -0.5 (1.09)
England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Sheffield Utd - Wolves / Wolves +0.75 (1.19)
France, Ligue 1 @ 21:00 / Marseille - Lille / Marseille +0.75 (1.22)
Copa Libertadores @ 21:00 / Boca Juniors - Fluminense / Boca Juniors +1.25 (1.25)
Brazil, Serie A @ 01:30, Nov 5 / Palmeiras - Athletico-PR / Palmeiras 0 (1.22)
Odds: 3.504
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay:
9 Units:
England, Premier League @ 13:30 / Fulham - Manchester Utd / Under 4 (1.19)
Germany, Bundesliga @ 15:30 / Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen / Over 2 (1.13)
England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Burnley - Crystal Palace / Under 3.5 (1.20)
England, Premier League @ 16:00 / Manchester City - Bournemouth / Over 2.25 (1.21)
Odds: 1.952
Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 7 Units
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5 (1.20) = 3:2, WON
Leipzig +0.5 (1.21) = 0:2, LOST
Manchester City -0.5 (1.09) = 6:1, WON
Wolves +0.75 (1.19) = 1:2, LOST 1/2 Stake
Marseille +0.75 (1.22) = 0:0, WON
Boca Juniors +1.25 (1.25) = 1:1, WON
Palmeiras 0 (1.22) = 1:0, WON
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = WON 8.568 Units
Fulham/Manchester Utd Under 4 (1.19) = 0:1, WON
Hoffenheim/Bayer Leverkusen Over 2 (1.13) = 2:3, WON
Burnley/Crystal Palace Under 3.5 (1.20) = 0:2, WON
Manchester City/Bournemouth Over 2.25 (1.21) = 6:1, WON
-----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall:
WON 11 - LOST 18 / WON 7.094 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall:
WON 14 - LOST 12 / WON 6.437 Units
SUNDAY / NOVEMBER 5
Asian Handicap Parlay:
9 Units:
England, Championship @ 13:00 / Norwich - Blackburn / Blackburn +1.5 (1.26)
France, Ligue 1 @ 17:05 / Monaco - Brest / Monaco +0.5 (1.24)
England, Premier League @ 17:30 / Luton - Liverpool / Liverpool -0.5 (1.23)
Italy, Serie A @ 18:00 / AS Roma - Lecce / AS Roma 0 (1.19)
France, Ligue 1 @ 20:45 / Nice - Rennes / Nice +0.5 (1.29)
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano / Real Madrid -0.5 (1.24)
Brazil, Serie A @ 22:30 / Coritiba - Goias / Goias +1 (1.22)
Odds: 4.463
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay:
5.5 Units:
England, Premier League @ 15:00 / Nottingham - Aston Villa / Over 2 (1.36)
England, Premier League @ 17:30 / Luton - Liverpool / Over 2 (1.14)
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano / Over 2 (1.20)
Odds: 1.86
Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 9 Units
Blackburn +1.5 (1.26) = 3:1, WON
Monaco +0.5 (1.24) = 2:0, WON
Liverpool -0.5 (1.23) = 1:1, LOST
AS Roma 0 (1.19) = 2:1, WON
Nice +0.5 (1.29) = 2:0, WON
Real Madrid -0.5 (1.24) = 0:0, LOST
Goias +1 (1.22) = 1:0, WON
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 5.5 Units
Nottingham/Aston Villa Over 2 (1.36) = 2:0, PUSHED
Luton/Liverpool Over 2 (1.14) = 1:1, PUSHED
Real Madrid/Rayo Vallecano Over 2 (1.20) = 0:0, LOST
-----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall:
WON 11 - LOST 19 / LOST 1.906 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall:
WON 14 - LOST 13 / WON 0.937 Units
1 day less than a full month since I am running this trial thread with a tiny bankroll of $100, and now we stand exactly where the title I have given suggested: "hopeless parlays". I don't know how long I will continue, because it looks like it is just lost time, and time is money...
I am running all these parlays using Labby lines, but is very easy to calculate what the needed average odds of the won parlays would have been, to break at least even, in case if I would have been using level stake betting.
Right now for the Asian Handicap parlays these odds are 2.73 (11*1.73 = 19.03), and for the Goal Total Parlays are 1.93 (14*0.93 = 13.02).
One interesting observation: these previews and prediction sites if having their Play of The Day-s on totals, extremely rare is when they are on some "Under". They are just like us, the vast majority of the bettors of this forum, and probably the vast majority of the betting world - rarely or never betting "Under"-s.
MONDAY / NOVEMBER 6
Asian Handicap Parlay:
11 Units:
Denmark, Superliga @ 19:00 / Brondby - Aarhus / Brondby +0.5 (1.27)
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie @ 20:00 / Jong Ajax - Willem II / Willem II +0.5 (1.24)
England, Premier League @ 21:00 / Tottenham - Chelsea / Tottenham +0.75 (1.28)
Spain, LaLiga @ 21:00 / Getafe - Cadiz CF / Getafe +0.5 (1.22)
Brazil, Serie A @ 01:00, Nov 7 / Santos - Cuiaba / Cuiaba +1.5 (1.25)
Odds: 3.074
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay:
6.5 Units:
Turkey, Super Lig @ 18:00 / Kayserispor - Alanyaspor / Over 1.5 (1.23)
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie @ 20:00 / Jong Ajax - Willem II / Over 2.25 (1.26)
Portugal, Liga Portugal @ 21:15 / SC Farense - Arouca / Over 1.25 (1.21)
Odds: 1.875
Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 11 Units
Brondby +0.5 (1.27) = 1:1, WON
Willem II +0.5 (1.24) = 0:1, LOST
Tottenham +0.75 (1.28) = 1:4, LOST
Getafe +0.5 (1.22) = 1:0, WON
Cuiaba +1.5 (1.25) = 0:0, WON
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 6.5 Units
Kayserispor/Alanyaspor Over 1.5 (1.23) = 1:0, LOST
Jong Ajax/Willem II Over 2.25 (1.26) = 1:0, LOST
SC Farense/Arouca Over 1.25 (1.21) = 2:0, WON
-----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall:
WON 11 - LOST 20 / LOST 12.906 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall:
WON 14 - LOST 14 / LOST 5.563 Units
TUESDAY / NOVEMBER 7
Asian Handicap Parlay:
13 Units:
Champions League @ 18:45 / Shakhtar Donetsk - Barcelona / Barcelona -0.5 (1.28)
Champions League @ 21:00 / AC Milan - Paris SG / Paris SG +0.75 (1.29)
Champions League @ 21:00 / FC Porto - Antwerp / Antwerp +2.5 (1.31)
England, League One @ 21:00 / Reading - Bristol Rovers / Reading +1 (1.21)
Odds: 2.617
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay:
7.5 Units:
Champions League @ 18:45 / Dortmund - Newcastle / Under 4 (1.20)
Champions League @ 18:45 / Shakhtar Donetsk - Barcelona / Over 2 (1.17)
Champions League @ 21:00 / Crvena zvezda - RB Leipzig / Over 2 (1.22)
Champions League @ 21:00 / Lazio - Feyenoord / Over 1.5 (1.23)
Champions League @ 21:00 / Manchester City - Young Boys / Over 2.25 (1.19)
Odds: 2.507
Yesterday's results
Asian Handicap Parlay = LOST 13 Units
Barcelona -0.5 (1.28) = 0:1, LOST
Paris SG +0.75 (1.29) = 1:2, LOST 1/2 Stake
Antwerp +2.5 (1.31) = 0:2, WON
Reading +1 (1.21) = 1:1, WON
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay = LOST 7.5 Units
Dortmund/Newcastle Under 4 (1.20) = 2:0, WON
Shakhtar Donetsk/Barcelona Over 2 (1.17) = 1:0, LOST
Crvena zvezda/RB Leipzig Over 2 (1.22) = 1:2, WON
Lazio/Feyenoord Over 1.5 (1.23) = 1:0, LOST
Manchester City/Young Boys Over 2.25 (1.19) = 3:0, WON
-----------------
Asian Handicap Parlay Overall:
WON 11 - LOST 21 / LOST 25.906 Units
Goal Totals Parlay Overall:
WON 14 - LOST 15 / LOST 13.063 Units
I will continue with this thread and will continue with both parlays (Asian Handicap and Goal Totals) until any of the parlays does not hit "Lost 50 units" (or worse of course). From that moment on I think it is impossible to reverse ever to a positive return.
The "Asian Handicap" parlay is 2 more losses in row away to hit (go worst) than those minus 50 units...
Question for those following this thread:
I do not have now the time to look over from the start of the thread, but I have the impression that when more sites have the same POD-s, that's a lot more time a loser than a winner. If true, this would be exactly the same situation with the paid tout sites on American Sports - when more touts are on the same play, that play should be at least not taken into consideration, or should be faded.
So anyone has the same impression?
Don't have an impression on this, just have the same question again: Which sites are you using? Can you maybe rank those by efficiency? I use those sites too, but mainly to get a quick overview of the schedule and injured players etc...but i never tracked them by their picks...
Bol today!
I guess is a good sign on what not to do and as you do , bet the opposite. These sites offer the POD on fav- always the same plays!!!
I started to do a kind of side project simulating yours: with some of your plays plus mines- mainly doubles or triples around -115: as a backup & sometimes I play a small one multiple parylay (odds around +400) with benefits (on weekends)
For instance, yesterday´s play: psg to score, dortmund to score and lazio over 1,5 goals
So far 4W-1L on the doubles/triples and 1W-4L on parlays
WEDNESDAY / NOVEMBER 8
Asian Handicap Parlay:
15 Units:
Champions League @ 18:45 / Napoli - Union Berlin / Napoli -0.25 (1.29)
Champions League @ 18:45 / Real Sociedad - Benfica / Real Sociedad +0.5 (1.22)
Champions League @ 21:00 / Bayern Munich - Galatasaray / Bayern Munich -1 (1.24)
Champions League @ 21:00 / PSV - Lens / PSV +0.5 (1.23)
Brazil, Serie A @ 01:30, Nov 9 / Flamengo RJ - Palmeiras / Palmeiras +1 (1.24)
Odds: 2.976
-----------------
Goal Totals Parlay:
8.5 Units:
Champions League @ 18:45 / Napoli - Union Berlin / Under 3.75 (1.28)
Champions League @ 21:00 / PSV - Lens / Over 2 (1.32)
Champions League @ 21:00 / Real Madrid - Braga / Over 2.25 (1.25)
Odds: 2.112
Today for the match "Real Madrid - Braga" 2 sites have their POD-s: "BTTS" and another site has their POD: "Over 3.5" From these 3 POD-s is resulting the "Over" in the parlay.
For the match "PSV - Lens" 2 sites have their POD: "PSV to win" (one site has parlayed it with the "Over 2.5").
I am using these sites:
FreeTips.com
ForeBet.com - A
ForeBet.com - B
FootballPredictions.net
FootballSuper.tips
LeagueLane.com
FootballWhispers.com
FreeSuperTips.com
FootballPredictions.com
FootyAccumulators.com
I used BetShoot.com until October 18, when they went in paid tout mode, on this date I subbed them with FreeTips.com.
ForeBet.com A and B means that I use them twice (as 2 separate sites), taking their "Featured match" and "Pick of the day" too, but both just for plays on sides. Anyways IMO Forebet chooses these plays without no logic whatsoever, so they are total crapshoots as they could give in those places any other of the hundreds of matches they have a prediction for on each and every day.
I have selected these sites from a list of 22 sites I have tracked for a while, because all these sites are featuring in a regular way some kind of POD-s. The other sites I have looked at have too many days without any POD-s or have too many stupid "proposition" POD-s.
I am tracking all these sites since April 26., but I won't try to rank them, also I would not start to follow any with real money lol... Sometimes almost any of these sites can go 20-10 in a month on their POD or even better, or can be horrible, going 9-21 in a month...
But the way I am tracking them is I'm not tracking what exactly their play is, but I'm transforming it to what would be a wager on a line closest to a 2.00 (+/- 100) odds.
@jersey_dude
Thanks for the lengthy response mate Know most of those sites too and agree with pretty much all you said...i get that you don't track their actual POD's but the tease of them...I personally also use sportsmole- they don't have POD's but they offer short write ups of the most popular leagues...but like i said, it is good to get an overview over things but the provided information should always be double checked and i would never base my pics on their predictions...Gl with your project...
Thanks for your input!
I am really curious how your side project will go. 4W-1L on the doubles/triples and 1W-4L on parlays is a too small sample to get any conclusions about...
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