WC Qualifiers Year-to-Date: 54-42-9...+2.74 units YTD
Month-to-date: 34-16-5...+17.92
6/11
South Korea vs Uzbekistan...Uzbekistan +1 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit) - the Uzbeks are on the brink of their first WC qualification in history. They are actually a pretty solid squad despite not being as well known. South Korea, meanwhile, will be losing their coach in just over a week. He meshed well with the squad and will be returning to take over his former squad, Jeonbuk Motors on the 19th. The Koreans were fortunate to not suffer an embarrassing defeat at the hands of Lebanon last week...only an injury time equalizer saved some pride and a point.
Iraq vs Japan...Iraq NTL (-135) (1.35 units to win 1 unit) - Japan first to qualify for WC 2014 and already have their minds on next week's Confederations Cup. Meanwhile, Iraq must win out to have a chance at the third place playoff spot.
Iran vs Lebanon...Iran -1.75 (-130) (1.30 units to win 1 unit) - Lebanon are eliminated and Iran are in a heated race for one of the two automatic qualification spots in their group. Blowout...
Colombia vs Peru...over 2.5 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)
Ecuador vs Argentina...Argentina DNB (+115) (1 unit to win 1.15 units)
Venezuela vs Uruguay...Venezuela DNB (+103) (1 unit to win 1.03 units) AND under 2.25 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit)
Chile vs Bolivia...Chile -1.5 (-110) (1.10 units to win 1 unit) AND over 2.75 (-110) (1.10 units to win 1 unit)
Honduras vs Jamaica...Honduras -.75 (3.30 units to win 3 units) - after beginning the Hex with a 2-1 win over the US, Honduras has fallen on hard times. That's because they've gone on the road their past two games. Now, they're back at home and find themselves with a lot of ground to make up and just the right tonic...a demoralized Jamaican squad that are for all intents and purposes are eliminated from qualifying.
USA vs Panama...Panama +1 (+105) (1 unit to win 1.05 units) - I'll be at this game and hope for a big US win but they haven't put it together recently. Only two of the 13 games in the Hex have been decided by more than one goal. Panama are stingy at the back and the US are missing a bunch of key players to injury.
Play of the Year #2...Mexico has struggled terribly this year winning once and drawing 7 times. Three of their five WCQ's have ended in a 0-0 draw. Meanwhile, Costa Rica are on a nice roll winning two in a row without conceding a goal.
HOWEVER, in World Cup qualifying Mexico is something like 68-1-8 at Azteca (only loss was to Costa Rica in 2001). They have drawn their first two home games of the Hex. Will they draw three in a row at home? I don't think so.
Going back to 2006, Mexico is 6-0-0 vs Costa Rica in WCQ's and have outscored them by a 12-1 scoreline.
I hate the line and the juice and am not willing to go with the Asian handicap as this could well be a one goal game. Thus...
Mexico vs Costa Rica...Mexico ML (-245) (4.9 units to win 2 units)
GL to all!