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June World Cup Qualifiers

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Posts: 37

GMONEY415

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 98

Posted: Jun. 11, 2013 - 1:46 AM ET #26

What do you think if Argentina

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john92

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 113

Posted: Jun. 11, 2013 - 9:38 AM ET #27

I Think Uruguay will win, and Ecuador will get atleest a draw because they are strong at home :)

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rf_dawg

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2193

Posted: Jun. 11, 2013 - 11:34 AM ET #28

Lucky - no strong lean on Australia/Jordan so I passed

GMONEY & John - Ecuador are very tough to beat playing at altitude so they likely get a result but I'll happily take a team with Argentina's talent (even without Messi) on the DNB line at plus money

Uruguay are on the decline while Venezuela have their first WC in sight. Home team at plus money on the DNB line. Under may be best play here.

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rf_dawg

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2193

Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 11:29 AM ET #29

Well, that's now 0-2 on plays of the year...thanks Mexico

Adding:

Namibia vs Nigeria..Nigeria -.75 (-141) (1.41 units to win 1 unit)

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rf_dawg

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2193

Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 12:56 AM ET #30

Month-to-date: 39-22-7...+14.01

WC Qualifiers Year-to-Date: 59-48-11...-1.17 units YTD

6/14

Libya vs Togo...Libya ML (-130) (1.30 units to win 1 unit)

6/15

Cape Verde Islands vs Sierra Leone...Sierra Leone NTL (-105) (1.05 units to win 1 unit)

Morocco vs Gambia...Morocco -1.5 (-110) (1.10 units to win 1 unit)

Congo vs Burkina Faso...Burkina Faso DNB (+100) (1 unit to win 1 unit) AND under 2 (-120) (1.20 units to win 1 unit)

Gabon vs Niger...Gabon -1 (-130) (1.30 units to win 1 unit)

Uganda vs Angola...under 2 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit)

Zambia vs Sudan...Zambia -1.5 (-114) (1.14 units to win 1 unit) AND over 2.5 (-111) (1.11 units to win 1 unit)

More to come with a few Confed Cup plays thrown in...GL to all!

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john92

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 113

Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 9:15 AM ET #31

rf_dawg why you think Burkina Faso will win? Can they advance?

Also what do you think of Uganda, Mali, Ghana, Algeria, Egypt and Cameroon ?

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rf_dawg

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2193

Posted: Jun. 15, 2013 - 1:36 AM ET #32

Quote Originally Posted by john92:

rf_dawg why you think Burkina Faso will win? Can they advance?

Also what do you think of Uganda, Mali, Ghana, Algeria, Egypt and Cameroon ?

John - here are my thoughts on the games you mentioned:

Burkina Faso - finished 2nd in this year's AFCON and are ranked 72nd in the ELO ratings compared to Congo's 107th. The Burkinabe had to forfeit their home game (3-0) to Congo. If it weren't for that BF would be rightfully leading the group. They're the best team but now have to win out and also have Congo draw or lose their final game at Niger. BF are just the better team and while Congo knows a win or draw puts them through to the next round I'm willing to go with the better team on the DNB line. Both teams play low scoring games. Congo's games average 1 goal/game, while BF are at 1.8. Thus, the under 2. However, if Congo score early BF will chase and it could well go over.

Uganda are slightly better than Angola but both teams are still alive to win the group. Senegal have a one point lead over Uganda and host the Cranes in the final game. Thus, Uganda must win vs Angola to have a shot against Senegal. However, I don't have the faith in Uganda to win the game. They've only won 1 out of 4 and these tend be low scoring games...1-0, 1-1, 0-1, 0-0. Under for me, no play on either side.

Mali absolutely choked away their World Cup qualification chances when they drew Rwanda at home last game. They had to score in extra time just to get the draw. Now, they have to win vs an already eliminated Benin squad and I don't anticipate they fall on their faces twice in a row. Thus, my play on Mali -1. I think they win this by 2+.

Ghana beat Lesotho in their first game 7-0. The return leg in Maseru probably won't be as much of a bloodbath but Ghana will be able to name the score. Thus, the -1.5 on Ghana is the play and I think the Black Stars will put at least three past Lesotho...therefore, over 2.75 as well. Ghana must win in order to keep their WC hopes alive as they host Zambia in their final game to decide which team advances from this group.

Algeria are playing well now and need to win at Rwanda in order to put themselves in prime position for the final game vs Mali. Algeria are three points ahead of Mali and with a win the only way they don't go through is by losing their final home game to Mali. They'll beat an already eliminated Rwandan side. Thus, adding Algeria at -.75.

Egypt are in full control of the group and a win puts them through to the next round. For whatever reason, Mozambique are always tough to beat at home. They've drawn both games so far 0-0 and I would tend to lean on Mozambique NTL at +121. However, I think the motivation to advance may push Egypt to a narrow win. No play for me.

Cameroon are underachieving and missing some of their bigger names (Eto'o, for example). They are three points behind Libya, but have a game in hand and host Libya in their final home game. I'd lean to Congo DR as they are at home and I think may even be the better team but it's hard for me to grasp Cameroon not at least making the final group. I think this probably ends in a draw...no play. Congo DR have played 4 games with a total of 3 goals scored in those games. I'd go under but 2/4 of Cameroon's games have had 3 goals. No play on the total.

ADDING:

Rwanda vs Algeria...Algeria -.75 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit)

Liberia vs Senegal...over 2 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)

Ethiopia vs South Africa...Ethiopia NTL (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit) AND under 2.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)

Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia...Tunisia -.75 (+133) (1 unit to win 1.33 units)

Lesotho vs Ghana...Ghana -1.25 (-150) (3 units to win 2 units) AND over 2.75 (-105) (1.05 units to win 1 unit)

Mali vs Benin...Mali -1 (-135) (2.70 units to win 2 units)

Guinea vs Zimbabwe...Guinea -1.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit) AND over 2.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)

Confederations Cup (0-0-0)

Brazil vs Japan...under 2.75 (+102) (1 unit to win 1.02 units) Most first round games go under as it's tough to win the group if you lose the first game. I also feel Brazil will come out tight in front of the home fans with all the pressure they'll be feeling.

Mexico vs Italy...Italy -.25 (-110) (1.10 units to win 1 unit) AND under 2 (+105) (1 unit to win 1.05 units)

Spain vs Uruguay...Spain -1 (+115) (1 unit to win 1.15 units)

Tahiti vs Nigeria...Nigeria -2.75 (-140) (1.40 units to win 1 unit) AND over 3.5 (-134) (1.34 units to win 1 unit)

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Quote Originally Posted by john92:

rf_dawg why you think Burkina Faso will win? Can they advance?

Also what do you think of Uganda, Mali, Ghana, Algeria, Egypt and Cameroon ?

John - here are my thoughts on the games you mentioned:

Burkina Faso - finished 2nd in this year's AFCON and are ranked 72nd in the ELO ratings compared to Congo's 107th. The Burkinabe had to forfeit their home game (3-0) to Congo. If it weren't for that BF would be rightfully leading the group. They're the best team but now have to win out and also have Congo draw or lose their final game at Niger. BF are just the better team and while Congo knows a win or draw puts them through to the next round I'm willing to go with the better team on the DNB line. Both teams play low scoring games. Congo's games average 1 goal/game, while BF are at 1.8. Thus, the under 2. However, if Congo score early BF will chase and it could well go over.

Uganda are slightly better than Angola but both teams are still alive to win the group. Senegal have a one point lead over Uganda and host the Cranes in the final game. Thus, Uganda must win vs Angola to have a shot against Senegal. However, I don't have the faith in Uganda to win the game. They've only won 1 out of 4 and these tend be low scoring games...1-0, 1-1, 0-1, 0-0. Under for me, no play on either side.

Mali absolutely choked away their World Cup qualification chances when they drew Rwanda at home last game. They had to score in extra time just to get the draw. Now, they have to win vs an already eliminated Benin squad and I don't anticipate they fall on their faces twice in a row. Thus, my play on Mali -1. I think they win this by 2+.

Ghana beat Lesotho in their first game 7-0. The return leg in Maseru probably won't be as much of a bloodbath but Ghana will be able to name the score. Thus, the -1.5 on Ghana is the play and I think the Black Stars will put at least three past Lesotho...therefore, over 2.75 as well. Ghana must win in order to keep their WC hopes alive as they host Zambia in their final game to decide which team advances from this group.

Algeria are playing well now and need to win at Rwanda in order to put themselves in prime position for the final game vs Mali. Algeria are three points ahead of Mali and with a win the only way they don't go through is by losing their final home game to Mali. They'll beat an already eliminated Rwandan side. Thus, adding Algeria at -.75.

Egypt are in full control of the group and a win puts them through to the next round. For whatever reason, Mozambique are always tough to beat at home. They've drawn both games so far 0-0 and I would tend to lean on Mozambique NTL at +121. However, I think the motivation to advance may push Egypt to a narrow win. No play for me.

Cameroon are underachieving and missing some of their bigger names (Eto'o, for example). They are three points behind Libya, but have a game in hand and host Libya in their final home game. I'd lean to Congo DR as they are at home and I think may even be the better team but it's hard for me to grasp Cameroon not at least making the final group. I think this probably ends in a draw...no play. Congo DR have played 4 games with a total of 3 goals scored in those games. I'd go under but 2/4 of Cameroon's games have had 3 goals. No play on the total.

ADDING:

Rwanda vs Algeria...Algeria -.75 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit)

Liberia vs Senegal...over 2 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)

Ethiopia vs South Africa...Ethiopia NTL (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit) AND under 2.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)

Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia...Tunisia -.75 (+133) (1 unit to win 1.33 units)

Lesotho vs Ghana...Ghana -1.25 (-150) (3 units to win 2 units) AND over 2.75 (-105) (1.05 units to win 1 unit)

Mali vs Benin...Mali -1 (-135) (2.70 units to win 2 units)

Guinea vs Zimbabwe...Guinea -1.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit) AND over 2.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit)

Confederations Cup (0-0-0)

Brazil vs Japan...under 2.75 (+102) (1 unit to win 1.02 units) Most first round games go under as it's tough to win the group if you lose the first game. I also feel Brazil will come out tight in front of the home fans with all the pressure they'll be feeling.

Mexico vs Italy...Italy -.25 (-110) (1.10 units to win 1 unit) AND under 2 (+105) (1 unit to win 1.05 units)

Spain vs Uruguay...Spain -1 (+115) (1 unit to win 1.15 units)

Tahiti vs Nigeria...Nigeria -2.75 (-140) (1.40 units to win 1 unit) AND over 3.5 (-134) (1.34 units to win 1 unit)

rf_dawg

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2193

Posted: Jun. 18, 2013 - 1:18 AM ET #33

WCQ Month-to-date: 47-32-8...+10.46

WC Qualifiers Year-to-Date: 67-58-12...-4.62 units YTD

Confederations Cup (3-2-1)...+1.00 units

6/18

South Korea vs Iran...Iran +.25 (-113) (1.13 units to win 1 unit) AND under 2 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit)

Australia vs Iraq...Australia -1.75 (+111) (1 unit to win 1.11 units) AND 1H o1 (-115) (1.15 units to win 1 unit)

Uzbekistan vs Qatar...Uzbekistan -1.25 (-125) (1.25 units to win 1 unit) AND over 2.5 (+105) (1 unit to win 1.05 units)

Jordan vs Oman...Jordan ML (+108) (2 units to win 2.16 units) AND under 2.25 (-138) (1.38 units to win 1 unit)

Costa Rica vs Panama...Costa Rica -.75 (3.6 units to win 3 units)

USA vs Honduras...Honduras +1 (-105) (1.05 units to win 1 unit) AND over 2 (-152) (1.52 units to win 1 unit)

Confederations Cup:

Italy vs Japan...under 2.5 (-145) (1.45 units to win 1 unit)

Brazil vs Mexico...Mexico +1.5 (-132) (1.32 units to win 1 unit) AND under 3 (-131) (1.31 units to win 1 unit)

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billyloco

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2004

Posts: 22557

Posted: Jun. 18, 2013 - 8:54 AM ET #34

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rf_dawg

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2193

Posted: Jun. 19, 2013 - 12:24 AM ET #35

WCQ Month-to-date: 54-35-9...+17.00 units

WC Qualifiers Year-to-Date: 74-61-13...+2.02 units YTD

Confederations Cup (3-2-1)...+1.00 units

Finished up a great month on a strong note...7-3-1...+6.54 units today. Maybe one WCQ in August but the rest will pick back up in September.

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paletta007

Hall of Fame

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 21404

Posted: Jun. 19, 2013 - 12:53 AM ET #36

Great picks... keep it up

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AAY

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 22762

Posted: Jun. 19, 2013 - 1:43 PM ET #37

good luck

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June World Cup Qualifiers

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