Sat/Sun plays.............(Serie A + others)

Question

back in a min

specimen24 · Answer

back in a min

specimen24 · Answer

getting this out of way now so dont have to go through the joy of starting new thread in AM. a few already put in so toss them up here.

before that, to explain reasonings as to why people should avoid heavy juice. passed down to me when first started and a thought process I keep till this day:

Of the 5 major sports, futbol - with the exception of hockey - i dont have any valid data or know much of the sport so if anyone can chime in here and advise simply feel free - where sometimes a player can be penalized and end the game in penalty box. but I dont know how often that happens.

anyways, futbol is the ONLY major sport where and team can end the match with LESS players than their opponent on the field.

you should always think about this before taking that juiced up 300.

Serie A:

Sat: ugly card this wknd (at least in Serie A). busy week coming up however.

Juventus Napoli Inter @+160 a rare parlay. would not suprise me if these guys all have close ones this wknd. ALL 3 coming off some pretty tough UCL matches & staring down the barrel of another one of those 3-game/7-day stretches (and if you really want to get ticky-tacky about it, thats 5 matches in less than 15 days). not to mention ALL 3 in sandwich spots next wknd

(cazzo!!). so this is NOT the week for HC lines. reasonings for parlay?

1) Juve? Christian getting rested. but we rarely lose (26-3-3 past 5 years) these matches after UCLs before winter break.

2) Inter? Conte.

3) Napoli? need to keep pace with the other two.

the rest of this card is awful.

Serie B:

Chievo to win @+180, over 2.5 @+125

Pescara/Benevento over 2.5 @+105

Empoli to win @+135

Serie C:

Juventus U23 -1 @+127

Bunde: been a while since seeing such little separation amongst so many clubs in a Power 5 league almost a 1/4 way through the season and NINE teams can overtake 1st place if can grab a 'w' this wknd. anyways, derby-time in Bunde.

Schalke/Dotmund - pretty big one up in those parts, Revierderby they call it. and with both having decent squads makes this even better. because its a derby, not wise to overanalyze, both were cleansheeted in recent games and DOrt havent kept a cleansheet in any of their roadies. Schalke/Dort BTTS + over 2.5 @-110

Hertha/Hoffenheim - i really like this one; but afraid as knowledge of the Bunde isnt as strong as Serie A. but though Hoff is on road, theyve 1) beaten Munich & Schalke consecutively so are obviously on the upside 2) unbeaten here in past 3 visits 3)unbeaten in past 7 H2H's. so I ssee quite a bit of value in these lines. Hoffenheim +1/2 @-120 and lets put a some on the outrights too @+250

will add more tomorrow.

GL to all

moemoney · Answer

Good luck Spec. Always enjoy your write-ups!

WCI · Answer

Good luck this weekend, Spec! Rare parlay for sure, I&#x27;ll tail. And I like the Hoffenheim pick, Hertha have been playing well but their competition has been all at the bottom of the table. Should be a good one.

specimen24 · Answer

And

Moe

WCI

yeah, i know. just wasnt in mood for HC lines in this spot for all 3 and at the same time, less risk put out overall. if Juve can scratch out a 'w' the other two should follow along. youll be seeing me refer to this a lot later on in the season. not wanting to allow Juve too much separation at the top is a pretty good motivating angle for those nasty scheduling spots.

just adding two quickly before heading out, along with the UEL fades for Sundays games.

EPL:

West Ham to win @+115

Fiorentina/Lazio(sunday) - this also falls under that UEL-trend which included below. but for other reasons its a nice play. Viola - as expected are on a roll on a 7 match unbeaten run and will continue to ride this wave. after a brutal schedule, Fior in the midst of a bunch of winnable matches striaght till December. Inzaghi did rest a few starters for the UEL match but bunch still were in there for that trip to Glasgow Thurs nite, then back home, then up to Fiorentina less that 3 days later. so this is a pretty nasty spot for them. tho Lazio have found net 12 straight H2H's they been leaking too many goals lately. Fiorentina to win @+150

UEL fades: 3rd round. successful two rounds thus far; left a boatload on the table electing to use HC lines instead of outrights/draws but will continue doing this.. just fading those clubs on consecutive roadies with short turnarounds.

Salamis/APOEL +1.5 @-123

Ajax/Feyenoord - too juiced

Shakhtar/Oleksandriya - too juiced

Fehervar/Ferencavanos to win @+140

Levante/Espanyol to win @+120

Newcastle/Wolves pick @+115

Norwich/ManU +350, +310

Fiorentina/Lazio t(writeup above)

Sporting/Guimaraes to win @-120

Brugge/Liege - too juiced

AGF/Copenhagen pick @+122

Zurich/Basel +1/2 @+110

Altach/LINZ +1/2 @+135

GL to all

specimen24 · Answer

what the....?? didnt think id have to scroll THIS far down to find thread.

dont have time for that. its getting late anyways.

off topic, and probably not much of importance to those across the pond but worth to mention (as thy inbox literally blew up with messages from buddy up there) as England beat NZ in the WC semis for rugby. massive upset. NZ 2-time defend champs & hadnt lost in something like 12 years in this thing (won their 4 matches 200+ to 30-sumthin i was told and he's on cloud 9. ive learned that Brits dont really need an excuse to drink, well, theres a BIG on right there. so heres a

for any of the British lads whom happen come across this message.

well, when you lose a btts in the manner as such as yesterday, sometimes ya just cant help but think the upcoming wknd might be a good one to pass. a few matches left and that UEL stuff, ill be happy to break even. Hoff saved the day for the most part. 97th minute PK hosed my Empoli play, & Juve/Inter took the night off. its been that kind of wknd.

WCI,moe, And

this is what i was referring to earlier. when my guys got a draw I plunked a little on Inters draw; nothing major and helped break even. but its something to keep an eye on out later in the year, i can provide stats/final scorelines if necessary (just not now); but that 'copycat' stuff is uncanny real.

by the way , im adding one, for obvious reasons (see below). and if it misses i'll owe two solid 'free' plays later on in the season.

Juventus Napoli Inter @+160 (L)

Chievo to win @+180, over 2.5 @+125 (L L)

Pescara/Benevento over 2.5 @+105 (W)

Empoli to win @+135 (L)

Schalke/Dort BTTS + over 2.5 @-110 (L)

Hoffenheim +1/2 @-120, @+250 (W, W)

West Ham to win @+115 (L)

Pending: along wit that UEL fade

Fiorentina to win @+150

Juventus U23 -1 @+127

adding:

Napoli -1 @-141 - juiced. i know. but with a chance to gain 2 pts on BOTH league leaders on one wknd is not only rare, its an opportunity you simply cannot pass up. and I trust Ancellotti in such spots with pretty much a full squad. worst case scenario and its a 'push' (napoli actually havent beaten this opponent by more than a goal the last 4 H2H's). but also, they get atalanta at home midweek & a really nasty sandwich-spot trip to Rome next weekend. to put this bluntly, if they dont win here they can kiss the Scudetto goodbye. and its not even November yet. plunking a little more on this one.

have a good sunday and GL to all

DestroyThePitch · Answer

Speaking of the massive England upset... did you see their reaction the NZ&#x2019;s pregame ritual?? That stuff is why I LOVE sports and why ppl who think athletes take dives are fukking morons. Great stuff! Have a good weekend pal!

moemoney · Answer

WCI,moe, And this is what i was referring to earlier. when my guys got a draw I plunked a little on Inters draw; nothing major and helped break even. but its something to keep an eye on out later in the year, i can provide stats/final scorelines if necessary (just not now); but that 'copycat' stuff is uncanny real.

And this is what I come into your threads for. Solid information!!!

elpr0digy · Answer

standard ancelotti today. moreover kinda why he only one scudetto with the stellar milan he had. domestically hes suspect. tuff break on that game spec

specimen24 · Answer

Napoli -1 @-141 (L)Fiorentina to win @&#x2B;150 (L)Juventus U23 -1 @&#x2B;127 (L)UEL:Salamis/APOEL &#x2B;1.5 @-123 (pending)Fehervar/Ferencavanos to win @&#x2B;140 (L)Levante/Espanyol to win @&#x2B;120 (L)Newcastle/Wolves pick @&#x2B;115 (P)Norwich/ManU &#x2B;350, &#x2B;310 (L,L)Fiorentina/Lazio to win @&#x2B;150 (L)Sporting/Guimaraes to win @-120 (W)AGF/Copenhagen pick @&#x2B;122 (pending)Zurich/Basel &#x2B;1/2 @&#x2B;110 (W)Altach/LINZ &#x2B;1/2 @&#x2B;135 (L)elpr thanks fer stopping by. yeah, that one stung buddy. Napoli put me in the red for the wknd; Viola made sure I stayed there. an overruled PK, crossbars, and an absolute sitter missed in final minutes. broomstick you-know-where weekend. didnt fare much better with the UEL, still a few remaining and and overall will remain on the &#x27;&#x2B;&#x27; side.   regarding Ance,im starting to wonder if its more regarding to DeLaurentis&#x27;  than anything Ance is/isnt doing; when you toss ur star players under the bus like he did and expect the effort to remain the same.  i dont know.  yeah... nice to see ya remember him back then. going even further back Ance was pretty good player for them too. that Milano squad he was on many still consider the best ever assembled in Serie A; its just funny listening to ppl thinking Juventus was always Italys best; what a lot of people dont realize is that we were THEIR punching bag for a ***** long time as  Milan practically OWNED europe too; people see that club in the state its in now and dont realize Milano had won the European title 7 times so everything youve seen recent years is basically an IOU. interesting, a lot of similarities with Milan and whats gone on with ManU the past decade&#x2B; or so as both have had a tough time reclaiming their status&#x27;. ehh, anyways.... as mentioned, one of those wknd to put in the rearview quickly.DTP, in regards to your response to NZ Haka ritual. England probably will get fined for that... ehhh, leave it at that.but you got me wondering........imagine futbol doing this?  Juventus should add something like that into our pre-match rituals before the UCL games.    what you think?get Ronaldo to stand there slapping forearms, slapping thighs, with primeval GRUNTS out loud. and give Klopp stare-down with that "dont **** with us" look.    Id pay money to see that my friend.   try visualizing Flopper doing this for a second... then tell me you arent laughing out loud right now. on a side note, i did watch a good part of a replay of that match; seriously...... borderline insanity for neckless guys THAT size to be tackling someone full speed with  heads tilted down. i wonder how many play with/thru concussions.tougher than nails they are. looks like it was a festive weekend in here.  cazzo!

Sat/Sun plays.............(Serie A + others)

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