Posted:
#1
Saturday plays below, including reasoning as usual.
Sundsvall - J.Sodra: Pick: Sundsvall -1 AH @ 2.20 (1 u)
Swedish soccer is underway in Superettan as well, which is a league that I enjoyed good success with in 2013. Turning my sight to up north - Jonkoping Sodra have taken a long trip without their head coach, which will see them be led by U19 coaches for this game, which in my opinion already puts them in a shaky spot when playing on the road against this years heavily favored team to win the league - GIF Sundsvall.
Start with the hosts, they have kept a good continuity in their team and moreover spiced things up in the squad, and I personally think they will finish in between 1-3 best teams and surely - Anything but a promotion to Allsvenskan would be seen as a failure, so it is important for them to get off a good start against Jonkoping at home.
Sundsvall play at home on artifictial turf, which makes them a team who likes to keep the ball on the ground for a quick passing game - often a big factor in Swedish soccer, as some teams tend to play on natural grass and as soon as they have to play on artifictial, they are immediately in a disadvanage position. Some teams just can not handle it that well.
Jonkoping is a team I have written about before, consisting of many young players, some very talenented but fact remains that they are way to small, thin and do not have the roster to compete on the upper half of the table. I see them finish somewhere around 14-16 position. They get the toughest start possible when they play versus Sundsvall on the road who look very strong I must say. It does make me feel a little uncomfortable to predict the very first game of the season as some teams tend to start off a little rusty but I see Sundsvall winning, and likely by more than a goal margin. Way too high odds in my opinion
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Pacos - Sporting: Pick: Sporting @ 1.80 (1 u)
Vital points are on the stake for Sporting who sees every game as a final right now in order to close the gap to league leaders Benfica. They have proven that they can go to difficult places and get the job done, but Sporting are not the high scoring team as they used to be at the start of the season but they have become a different team, with more patience and moreover more stable at the back. Up front they have people who are match winners, like Mane, Slimani and Monteiro, but as we all know - a match is not won on the paper.
Pacos on the other hand sit 5 points "safe" of relegation, but they have an improving form right now which is the danger for Sporting. On the darker side, Pacos is the team conceding most goals in the league and their open/high risk taking soccer style may very well be punished by Sporting who has quick players all over the midfield.
With all due respect of Pacos rising form, they are not too desperate of points yet, and moreover, they do not expect themselves to take points of the title candidates such as Benfica, Sporting and Porto. Pacos needs to collect points in the more realistic games against average opponents but since this game means a lot to Sporting, I would be surprised if they let this one slip away - that means, that Benfica would likely have one hand on the title already. No margin for errors for Sporting, I give them my trust.
_______________________________________
Note: As per an "incident" on my previous loss, I feel responsible to highlight that if you do decide to tail, it is on your own risk and please play responsibly which is a very important thing in gambling. Long write-ups does not mean "it is a sure winner because look how well analyzed it is!", I do this simply to share my angle on things. Posting here is not my showcase, but it is a way for myself to keep tracks on how the year is going as well as sharing info for others tho consider and take part of. I do not care if I write a long writeup and the bet loses, it is not a waste of time to me, I enjoy it as it helps myself to get down the reasoning in written form.
Hope we can all learn that tailing is a risk by yourself and no blame should be put on the capper regardless of the outcome (this is mainly a hint Deeppockets who made me want to highlight these points)
Big credit to Kaiser, DiamondJack, Peter, Sunsdevils, Ganda, Franz, Bake etc who are taking the time to post on a rather regular basis and making the forum a joy to enter for all of us. No form of bashing on anyones pick is acceptable. Instead, appreciate the effort.
Lets have a good one. BOL all!
Sundsvall - J.Sodra: Pick: Sundsvall -1 AH @ 2.20 (1 u)
Swedish soccer is underway in Superettan as well, which is a league that I enjoyed good success with in 2013. Turning my sight to up north - Jonkoping Sodra have taken a long trip without their head coach, which will see them be led by U19 coaches for this game, which in my opinion already puts them in a shaky spot when playing on the road against this years heavily favored team to win the league - GIF Sundsvall.
Start with the hosts, they have kept a good continuity in their team and moreover spiced things up in the squad, and I personally think they will finish in between 1-3 best teams and surely - Anything but a promotion to Allsvenskan would be seen as a failure, so it is important for them to get off a good start against Jonkoping at home.
Sundsvall play at home on artifictial turf, which makes them a team who likes to keep the ball on the ground for a quick passing game - often a big factor in Swedish soccer, as some teams tend to play on natural grass and as soon as they have to play on artifictial, they are immediately in a disadvanage position. Some teams just can not handle it that well.
Jonkoping is a team I have written about before, consisting of many young players, some very talenented but fact remains that they are way to small, thin and do not have the roster to compete on the upper half of the table. I see them finish somewhere around 14-16 position. They get the toughest start possible when they play versus Sundsvall on the road who look very strong I must say. It does make me feel a little uncomfortable to predict the very first game of the season as some teams tend to start off a little rusty but I see Sundsvall winning, and likely by more than a goal margin. Way too high odds in my opinion
____________________________________
Pacos - Sporting: Pick: Sporting @ 1.80 (1 u)
Vital points are on the stake for Sporting who sees every game as a final right now in order to close the gap to league leaders Benfica. They have proven that they can go to difficult places and get the job done, but Sporting are not the high scoring team as they used to be at the start of the season but they have become a different team, with more patience and moreover more stable at the back. Up front they have people who are match winners, like Mane, Slimani and Monteiro, but as we all know - a match is not won on the paper.
Pacos on the other hand sit 5 points "safe" of relegation, but they have an improving form right now which is the danger for Sporting. On the darker side, Pacos is the team conceding most goals in the league and their open/high risk taking soccer style may very well be punished by Sporting who has quick players all over the midfield.
With all due respect of Pacos rising form, they are not too desperate of points yet, and moreover, they do not expect themselves to take points of the title candidates such as Benfica, Sporting and Porto. Pacos needs to collect points in the more realistic games against average opponents but since this game means a lot to Sporting, I would be surprised if they let this one slip away - that means, that Benfica would likely have one hand on the title already. No margin for errors for Sporting, I give them my trust.
_______________________________________
Note: As per an "incident" on my previous loss, I feel responsible to highlight that if you do decide to tail, it is on your own risk and please play responsibly which is a very important thing in gambling. Long write-ups does not mean "it is a sure winner because look how well analyzed it is!", I do this simply to share my angle on things. Posting here is not my showcase, but it is a way for myself to keep tracks on how the year is going as well as sharing info for others tho consider and take part of. I do not care if I write a long writeup and the bet loses, it is not a waste of time to me, I enjoy it as it helps myself to get down the reasoning in written form.
Hope we can all learn that tailing is a risk by yourself and no blame should be put on the capper regardless of the outcome (this is mainly a hint Deeppockets who made me want to highlight these points)
Big credit to Kaiser, DiamondJack, Peter, Sunsdevils, Ganda, Franz, Bake etc who are taking the time to post on a rather regular basis and making the forum a joy to enter for all of us. No form of bashing on anyones pick is acceptable. Instead, appreciate the effort.
Lets have a good one. BOL all!
0
your writeups are always appreciated 
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