DTP, if ur reading this. wanted to mention last night but no time had started this earlier in week.
DTP, i know Ganda gave mention the other week in my thread along with a few others (yoro??) anyways, an interesting topic, at least a "hot" one this year; buddy asked last week if think not having fans is worth 'goals' for/against home sides. Personally, I dont think you can compute this into anything statistical. passes still have ot be made, shots/converted etc etc. having support does NOT affect that, thats ALL on the players themselves.
but where not having fans really hurt is the 'motivation' side of things. SPECIFICALLY ball pursuit and agression. this was clearly evident last night with two matches in particular (Shakhtar/Monch & Atalanta/Pool). when the visiting teams scored, it was pretty noticeable. Ukranians simply looked like they stopped playing; ditto Atalanta.
Of course, this helps NOBODY pre-game as it is things which happen after the whistle blows. but a buddy dropped this stat in my lap other day which puts some 'validity' into that thought above others have mentioned. dont like talking about stuff when theres nothing to back it up with; many times you see people simply 'making up' stuff simply to support whatever it is in their melons so they can make plays. you know, I rarely -if ever- wager "in-game", just not my thing. but perhaps for those whom do, this might be something worth the while to look at & take it for whatever you might think its worth. (or simply toss into the trash).
again, this is just a "small" sample thus far and only pertains to the europe comps (im actually starting to wonder if this hold true domestically as well)
almost halfway through the group stages and the home sides whom have conceded the first goal have went on to LOSE 16 of the 24 matches (3W-5D-16L). doesnt sound like rocket science, but losses are higher than last year, but & the amount of comebacks (aka wins & draws).... it just isnt there.
as a comparison, last year there was double digit home wins from clubs whom came from behind after conceding first, the year prior it was in the high teens. (Manchester City are the only club this year whom came back from am early home deficit to win their game, Porto). ***EDIT*** add Leipzig & Seville from last night **** obviously its not THE reason but im fairly certain its a big contributing factor not having maniacal supporters around urging you on. and since empty stadiums are the biggest difference from previous years and that drop-off in home wins is considerably lower this season. stats back it up & not simply talking for the sake of it.
Im CLUELESS in regards to how this affect prices in-game for the simple reason of not following that kind of stuff. so take this for whatever its worth.
(FYI, the UEL its even worse: 0W-3D-15L. and tho I havent validated (I trust him), there have been 8 home teams already whom have scored first yet STILL lost. which am told is also abnormally high)
with Intl break coming will take a break as well, I might even take a peek and see if this is similar in Serie A and other domestics. starting to wonder a little about this myself.
UEL 
(here we go again)
have a dandy in Europa today!
its UEL... im gonna need some luck
tks fer stopping by & hope all is well with you and family. 
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