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*****Uefa Champions League Betting Guide*****

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Posted: #151
12/10

Ajax vs Apoel Nicosia:-
Full Time Result (Ajax) -150 Wager to Win 3U WIN
Asian Handicap (Ajax -1) +105 Wager 2U WIN
Over 2.5 Goals -125 Wager to Win 1U WIN
Goalscorer Anytime (Arkadiusz Milik) +120 Wager .5U WIN

Athletic Bilbao vs BATE:-
Full Time Result (Athletic Bilbao) -333 Wager to Win 2U WIN
Asian Handicap (Athletic Bilbao -1.5) -111 Wager to Win 2U WIN
Over 2.5 Goals -143 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

Barcelona vs PSG:-
Full Time Result (Draw) +375 Wager 3U LOSE
Asian Handicap (PSG +.5) +175 Wager 2U LOSE
Goalscorer Anytime (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) +160 Wager .5U WIN

FC Porto vs Shakhtar Donetsk:-
Full Time Result (Draw) +275 Wager 2U WIN
Goalscorer Anytime (Jackson Martinez) +110 Wager .5U VOID

Roma vs Man City:-
Full Time Result (Roma) +145 Wager 2U LOSE
Asian Handicap (Roma 0) -137 Wager to Win 3U LOSE
Under 2.5 Goals +115 Wager 1U WIN
Goalscorer Anytime (Yao Gervinho) +175 Wager .5U LOSE

GROUP BETTING (WIN ONLY):-
PSG +225 Wager 1U LOSE

= +3.96u

UCL REC:-
66W-96L-2P -49.73U 41% (-$6216.25)

A better night than yesterday, thank the stars the group games are over...hoping my luck changes for the knockout phase.


 
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Posted: #152
2/17

PSG vs Chelsea:-
Full Time Result (PSG) +170 Wager 3U
To Qualify (PSG) +180 Wager 3U
Under 2.5 Goals -163 Wager to Win 1U
Goalscorer Anytime (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) +140 Wager .5U

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bayern Munich:-
Full Time Result (Bayern Munich) -250 Wager to Win 2U
Asian Handicap (Bayern Munich -1.5) +108 Wager 2U
Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 1U
Goalscorer Anytime (Robert Lewandowski) -110 Wager to Win .5U



 
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Posted: #153
MakeP, thank you for the early plays  I was hoping you would be back here for this great competition.
A nice Inter win yesterday  I really hope your team takes Lazio's 5th place as soon as possible.
BOL in Scotland on Thursday   
 
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Posted: #154

MakePGood to see you!  Have a good CL

 
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Posted: #155
MakeP
 
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Posted: #156
campo  I really hope we can do it but I'm already looking forward to next season with Mancini he can return the glory days.

peter likewise mate 

shaman  lets have a good CL week

I'm backing PSG here its there year hoping for a difference in form compared to domestic a bit like dortmund this season.
 
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Posted: #157
Is Lewandowski starting? I thought he was a backup to Muller?
 
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Posted: #158
No Lewan is there main striker, they both might play...Muller is +120

 
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Posted: #159
GL make, looking forward to that PSG chelsea game for the off the field as well as on the field (mind) games, so many egos.
 
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Posted: #160
MakeP.........Good to see you back around.

BOL Mate 
 
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Posted: #161
 bollox can't wait we should see a different chelsea under pressure here.

 franz i'm just here for the CL nice to see you pal
 
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Posted: #162
2/17

PSG vs Chelsea:-
Full Time Result (PSG) +170 Wager 3U LOSE
To Qualify (PSG) +180 Wager 3U PENDING
Under 2.5 Goals -163 Wager to Win 1U WIN
Goalscorer Anytime (Zlatan Ibrahimovic) +140 Wager .5U LOSE

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Bayern Munich:-
Full Time Result (Bayern Munich) -250 Wager to Win 2U LOSE
Asian Handicap (Bayern Munich -1.5) +108 Wager 2U LOSE
Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 1U LOSE
Goalscorer Anytime (Robert Lewandowski) -110 Wager to Win .5U LOSE

= -11.43u

UCL REC:-
67W-102L-2P -61.16U 40% (-$7645.00)

How was that not a penalty? Very confident with PSG going to London and getting a result there, will post tomorrow's plays soon.
 
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Posted: #163
2/18

Basel vs FC Porto:-
Full Time Result (FC Porto) +130 Wager 3U
Asian Handicap (FC Porto -1) +235 Wager 2U
Over 2.5 Goals +120 Wager 1U
Goalscorer Anytime (Jackson Martinez) +140 Wager 1U

Schalke vs Real Madrid:-
Full Time Result (Real Madrid) -225 Wager 3U
Asian Handicap (Real Madrid -1.5) +120 Wager 2U
Over 2.5 Goals -105 Wager to Win 1U
Goalscorer Anytime (Karim Benzema) -120 Wager to Win 1U



 
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Posted: #164
New to the forum and the thread, love what you're doing here. Had a few questions...

1) Do you ever bet draws?
2) Do you ever parlay?
Excited for the games today, good luck! 
 
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Posted: #165
Hey thanks I love the big events, had a successful World Cup but Champions League hasn't been kind.

1) Do you ever bet draws? Yes, It's one of my fav bets in football excellent value and very underrated 

2) Do you ever parlay? Nope

 
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Posted: #166
2/18

Basel vs FC Porto:-
Full Time Result (FC Porto) +130 Wager 3U LOSE
Asian Handicap (FC Porto -1) +235 Wager 2U LOSE
Over 2.5 Goals +120 Wager 1U LOSE
Goalscorer Anytime (Jackson Martinez) +140 Wager 1U LOSE

Schalke vs Real Madrid:-
Full Time Result (Real Madrid) -225 Wager 3U WIN
Asian Handicap (Real Madrid -1.5) +120 Wager 2U WIN
Over 2.5 Goals -105 Wager to Win 1U LOSE
Goalscorer Anytime (Karim Benzema) -120 Wager to Win 1U LOSE

= -3.85u

UCL REC:-
69W-108L-2P -65.01U 39% (-$8126.25)

Draws galore! Refs are really costing me this week.
 
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Posted: #167
I will continue this to the end despite not having a clue! 
 
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Posted: #168
2/24

Juventus vs Borussia Dortmund:-
Full Time Result (Draw) +240 Wager 4U
Under 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 2U
Goalscorer Anytime (Arturo Vidal) +300 Wager 1U
Correct Score (1-1) +500 Wager .5U

Man City vs Barcelona:-
Full Time Result (Barcelona) +115 Wager 4U
Both Teams to Score (Yes) -175 Wager to Win 3U
Over 2.5 Goals -138 Wager to Win 2U
Correct Score (1-3) +1400 Wager .5U
Goalscorer Anytime (Luis Suarez) +140 Wager 2U

Analysis:-
Juventus are a good team at home but Klopp is the better manager out of the two, there is a sense of uprising with the BVB. Reus & Aubameyang can cause a lot of teams problems on the counter and I think both sides will be content with a draw. 

I expect it 0-0 or 1-1 and the total to go under, Juventus have a very good defence and Dortmund's backline has been disappointing as of late however I think they can handle The Old Lady's attack.

Man City have had some poor results at the Etihad this season and without Toure I do not expect them to contain Barcelona, I expect 2-3 goals by the Catalan side with Suarez causing all sorts of problems and Messi/Iniesta pulling the strings, the pitch at Manchester isn't far off Camp Nou and I think the jeers Luis receives will spurr him & his team to victory.

BOL 

 
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Posted: #169
I agree with you that Klopp is a better manager than Allegri 
BOL tomorrow  
 
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Posted: #170
 Campo, Allegri is out of his depth in the Champions League.
 
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Posted: #171
Indeed MakeP   A blind crippled donkey could coach Juve when they play in Serie A  
 
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Posted: #172
 
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Posted: #173
Hey MakePwithMe,

I saw your thread. I recognized that your money management is awful. It's hilarious. What's the deal behind your strategy ?

You place four bets and 8.26 units - 12.7% of your losses - on a single game, Juventus vs. Dortmund.

If either team wins 2-1 or more, you lose 8.26 units.
If either team wins 1-0 and Vidal doesn't score, you lose 3.5 units. If Juventus wins 1-0 and Vidal scores, you lose 0.5 units.

So you need this game exactly to end 0-0 or 1-1 to have a winning day, even though it would be a nice payout.  How can you place 12.7% of your current losses on a Soccer game to end 0-0 or 1-1 ? There is no chance you will be successful in the long run.


Why don't you bet it this way:

Draw +231 1U
Correct score 0-0 +683 0.5U
Correct score 1-1 +565 0.5U

If the game ends in a draw with under 2.5 goals like you capped it, you will win at least 4.64 units but only lose 2 units if either team wins. In your screnario the -138 for under 2.5 goals have no value.





 
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Posted: #174
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Hey MakePwithMe,

I saw your thread. I recognized that your money management is awful. It's hilarious. What's the deal behind your strategy ?

You place four bets and 8.26 units - 12.7% of your losses - on a single game, Juventus vs. Dortmund.

If either team wins 2-1 or more, you lose 8.26 units.
If either team wins 1-0 and Vidal doesn't score, you lose 3.5 units. If Juventus wins 1-0 and Vidal scores, you lose 0.5 units.

So you need this game exactly to end 0-0 or 1-1 to have a winning day, even though it would be a nice payout.  How can you place 12.7% of your current losses on a Soccer game to end 0-0 or 1-1 ? There is no chance you will be successful in the long run.


Why don't you bet it this way:

Draw +231 1U
Correct score 0-0 +683 0.5U
Correct score 1-1 +565 0.5U

If the game ends in a draw with under 2.5 goals like you capped it, you will win at least 4.64 units but only lose 2 units if either team wins. In your screnario the -138 for under 2.5 goals have no value.







I think it's an awesome advice for me, thanks a lot :)
 
 
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Posted: #175
Forgot something:

You have a winning day if the game ends in any draw because of the 4U on the draw. But the 2.76U on the under make no sense at the time you would be fine with a 2-2 or 3-3. So because you capped it as a low scoring affair, you are looking for a 0-0/1-1 rather than for a 2-2/3-3 - that's what makes this scenario unlogical from a money management standpoint.
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