Posted:
#176
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
Hey MakePwithMe,
I saw your thread. I recognized that your money management is awful. It's hilarious. What's the deal behind your strategy ?
You place four bets and 8.26 units - 12.7% of your losses - on a single game, Juventus vs. Dortmund.
If either team wins 2-1 or more, you lose 8.26 units.
If either team wins 1-0 and Vidal doesn't score, you lose 3.5 units. If Juventus wins 1-0 and Vidal scores, you lose 0.5 units.
So you need this game exactly to end 0-0 or 1-1 to have a winning day, even though it would be a nice payout. How can you place 12.7% of your current losses on a Soccer game to end 0-0 or 1-1 ? There is no chance you will be successful in the long run.
Why don't you bet it this way:
Draw +231 1U
Correct score 0-0 +683 0.5U
Correct score 1-1 +565 0.5U
If the game ends in a draw with under 2.5 goals like you capped it, you will win at least 4.64 units but only lose 2 units if either team wins. In your screnario the -138 for under 2.5 goals have no value.
Hey MakePwithMe,
I saw your thread. I recognized that your money management is awful. It's hilarious. What's the deal behind your strategy ?
You place four bets and 8.26 units - 12.7% of your losses - on a single game, Juventus vs. Dortmund.
If either team wins 2-1 or more, you lose 8.26 units.
If either team wins 1-0 and Vidal doesn't score, you lose 3.5 units. If Juventus wins 1-0 and Vidal scores, you lose 0.5 units.
So you need this game exactly to end 0-0 or 1-1 to have a winning day, even though it would be a nice payout. How can you place 12.7% of your current losses on a Soccer game to end 0-0 or 1-1 ? There is no chance you will be successful in the long run.
Why don't you bet it this way:
Draw +231 1U
Correct score 0-0 +683 0.5U
Correct score 1-1 +565 0.5U
If the game ends in a draw with under 2.5 goals like you capped it, you will win at least 4.64 units but only lose 2 units if either team wins. In your screnario the -138 for under 2.5 goals have no value.
Hello summa,
I get what your saying but you need to understand this is only a guide, the numbers don't necessarily indicate my real betting activity.
Bet365 lines are very tough and I use this guide with one book which is very popular amongst everyone worldwide, I have a number of other books were I catch better lines I also bet live and other stuff, yes its been a difficult CL for me but this is just one competition for me. I have this thread for analysis, initial leans & discussion.
I appreciate your concern and it only strengthens the deep respect I have for this place, have a good betting day friend.
BOL
0
GL, Make!
Schalke +2 is also looking very good 
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