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UEFA Euro 2008 Tuesday

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Posted: #1
Euro 08 YTD: 7-4


Monday was surely a day where lessons are learned. Football is still football where an upset or two do happens. I'm reevaluating my cards for Tuesday as I have the faves lined up till the Group matches are over. It's indeed a lazy thing in my part but what the heck, it worked for two days anyway. Okay, I'll try gathering as much facts on games as I can. If you guys have anything to add, even insights is pretty much appreciated. Do feel free to post. I'm posting my play after a few while.







Let's down these books!


 
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Posted: #2
First Up:

Spain VS Russia

Spain - USA1 - 0
Spain - Peru2 - 1
Spain - Italy1 - 0
Spain - France1 - 0
Spain - Northern Ireland1 - 0
Spain - Sweden3 - 0
4 - 1
Russia - Lithuania
2 - 1Russia - Serbia
6 - 0Russia - Kazakhstan
3 - 0Romania - Russia
0 - 1Andorra - Russia
2 - 1Israel - Russia

 
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Posted: #3
Spain

Spain Squad:
Current Squad
G1 Iker CasillasM12 Santi Cazorla
G13 Andrés PalopM22 Rubén de la Red
G23 Pepe ReinaM10 Cesc Fábregas
D2 Raúl AlbiolM8 Xavi
D18 Álvaro ArbeloaM6 Andrés Iniesta
D11 Joan CapdevilaM21 David Silva
D20 JuanitoM19 Marcos Senna
D4 Carlos MarchenaS16 Sergio García
D3 Fernando NavarroS17 Daniel Güiza
D5 Carles PuyolS9 Fernando Torres
D15 Sergio RamosS7 David Villa
M14 Xabi Alonso

 
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Posted: #4

Russia

Russia Squad:
Current Squad
G1 Igor AkinfeevM14 Roman Shirokov
G12 Vladimir GabulovM7 Dmitri Torbinsky
G16 Viacheslav MalafeevM3 Renat Yanbaev
D22 Aleksandr AniukovM18 Yuri Zhirkov
D5 Alexei BerezutskyM17 Konstatin Zurianov
D2 Vasili BerezutskyS6 Roman Adamov
D4 Sergei IgnashevichS10 Andrei Arshavin
D8 Denis KolodinS19 Roman Pavluchenko
M15 Diniyar BilyaletdinovS13 Oleg Ivanov
M23 Vladimir BystrovS9 Ivan Saenko
M11 Sergei SemakS21 Dmitri Sychev
M20 Igor Semshov
 
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Spain Formation: 4-4-2

GoalKeeper
1 Iker Casillas

Defender
11 Joan Capdevila Mendez
5 Carles Puyol Saforcada
15 Sergio Ramos
20 Juan Gutierrez Moreno, Juanito

Midfield
8 Xavi Hernandez
6 Andres Iniesta Lujan
19 Marcos Senna
21 David Silva

Forward
9 Fernando Torres
7 David Villa Sanchez



Russia Formation: 3-5-2

GoalKeeper
1 Igor Akinfeev

Defender
4 Sergei Ignashevitch
2 Vasili Berezutsky
5 Alexei Berezutski

Midfield
17 Konstantin Zyryanov
20 Igor Semshov
7 Dmitri Torbinski
15 Diniyar Bilyaletdinov
18 Yuri Zhirkov

Forward
21 Dmitri Sychev
9 Ivan Saenko
 
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Posted: #6
Trends:
In Euro 2004, Spain manages to defeat Russia 1-0 behind Juan Carlos Valeron Santana's 60th minute goal. The most recent meeting between both teams are in an International Friendlies in 2006 where the game ended as a draw.

Spain is 1-0-1 against Russia but 0-1-1 ATS.
Both games went under the set total (2.5) and there are no goals scored in the first half.
Spain is 8-1-1 in their last 10 Euro games.
Spain is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 Euro games.
3-8-0 is the O/U record in their 10 Euro games.
A goal has been scored in the first half 8 out of 10 times.
Spain is 6-0-0 in their last 6 games.
Spain is 3-3-0 ATS in their last 6 games.
2-4-0 is the O/U record in their last 6 games.
A goal has been scored in the first half 2 out of 6 times (all were from Spain).
Spain is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when they are set as the favorites

 
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Posted: #7
Junior,

I'm on Spain ML, Spain/Spain DBL Result
 
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 my main reasoning for the play/s'

are a fit el nino and david villa will be a handful for a top defense but I think they should have plently of opportunites against the Russians.. The Russian Goalie is very good, but I think after a while he might let one slip up or the Spaniards get a good oportunity..


 
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Sup Junior, I see you play soccer too.  Im not a huge soccer guy, but I was able to win on the first 2 days and avoid the favorite downfall for day 3.  Looks to me that Spain wins their games.  Spain tom?
 
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Trends:
Russia is 0-1-1 against Spain but 1-0-1 ATS.
Both games went under the set total (2.5) and there are no goals scored in the first half.
Russia is 7-2-1 in their last 10 Euro games.
Russia is 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 Euro games.
5-5-0 is the O/U record in their 10 Euro games.
A goal has been scored in the first half 7 out of 10 times.
Russia is 4-2-0 in their last 6 games.
Russia is 3-3-0 ATS in their last 6 games.
1-5-0 is the O/U record in their last 6 games.
A goal has been scored in the first half 6 out of 6 times.
Russia is 5-1-0 ATS in their last 6 games when they are set as the favorites
Russia is 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 games when they are set as the dogs

 
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Posted: #11
I'll get down with my replies after I finish posting my stuff.
 
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Posted: #12
Nice stuff Jr. you da man
 
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Why Spain won't win
Spain looks to choke in these stages. After numerous trips to big games they often fall short and thus would sometimes be branded as "underachievers". They have been without a major title since 1964. Coach Luis Aragones seem to yet dig out the best of his players and use it to his disposal. Russia has less pressure coming into this game and so Russia's coach Guus Hiddink is looking to orchestrate a possible upset.


Why Russia won't win
The 2 game suspension of their star man - Andrei Arshavin will be felt as a great loss for Russia. Without the St. Zenit scorer, the Russian team will have to rely on Pavel Pogrebnyak who proved his worth as a top scorer in this season's Uefa cup. Russia's prime strenght comes from scoring, and with the Spaniards rock-solid defenders they'd have to put in twice as much effort to jam a goal behind Casillas. If Spain can manage to contain their strikes, this game will be over as soon as a spanish goal gets in.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by PennStateMan077:

Junior,

I'm on Spain ML, Spain/Spain DBL Result

my main reasoning for the play/s'

are a fit el nino and david villa will be a handful for a top defense but I think they should have plently of opportunites against the Russians.. The Russian Goalie is very good, but I think after a while he might let one slip up or the Spaniards get a good oportunity..


Russia's 3-5-2 formation has been working for them pretty well. I'll be posting my leans later on and Spain's definitely one of them. I've watched a couple of the recent Russia games and I must say that they seem to look a bit undermatched coming into this game without their captain Arshavin. Spain looks good in their last 6 games together and I believe their defense looks a lot better than they were in World Cup (okay, I can feel a lot of you guys not agreeing on this, blast away). I think the best play for this game is the under 2.5. Goodluck with Spain though, as I'm also leaning on the same way.
 
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on spain got them and portugal to win the euro bets on both think spain has too much fire power for russia but i am more familer with spain then i am with the russians....spoke to my uncles who live in spain they love the team but they are homers play is spain 3 units i like the way u capped this game too much apprecatied jr
 
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Quote Originally Posted by jingy77:

Sup Junior, I see you play soccer too.  Im not a huge soccer guy, but I was able to win on the first 2 days and avoid the favorite downfall for day 3.  Looks to me that Spain wins their games.  Spain tom?


I believe so. Spain looks like they're on a mission (like most teams are). Looking at their last 6 games, I think the under would be well on its way. Russia should've had made adjustments with their captain suspended but I have high regards with Spain's defense line at the moment. I doubt they'd allow the high scoring team such as Russia to roll today.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by BadBear72:

Nice stuff Jr. you da man



 
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Quote Originally Posted by gitum420:

on spain got them and portugal to win the euro bets on both think spain has too much fire power for russia but i am more familer with spain then i am with the russians....spoke to my uncles who live in spain they love the team but they are homers play is spain 3 units i like the way u capped this game too much apprecatied jr




Goodluck man. I see a lot of potential in Russia. I think a great downfall for a lot of cappers is their familiarization to a certain team. This in turn grows into bias which would most likely push them to back their favorite team. As much as I'd want to back Russia, their chances of winning looks pretty slim when they are the dogs. The Spaniards has well went and covered all 6 games when they were set as favorites. I think the best bet for tonight would be the totals. Looks like the UNDER will cash in today.

 
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Posted: #19
The Leans:

Spain -0.5, -1 (-115)
Russia / Spain UNDER 2 (+105)




I'll tackle the Sweden/Greece game a while later. But so far I'm leaning on:

Greece -0.5
Sweden / Greece OVER 2



 
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Posted: #20
Hey Junior, just went big on Spain and U 2.5, looks like the smart picks, Torres will score tomm, what do u think about Spain's total goals on the tourney o/u 6.5

I like the O, Thanks bro
 
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I think I'd play the UNDER. Spain has a pretty good group with Greece, Sweden and Russia in it. With how they are doing now I think a max of 2 goals per game will be scored by the Spaniards. They've managed to get Sweden by 3 in their last meeting but I'm pretty sure it won't happen again in Football. Under for me man, but that's just my gut feel. I am still surprised at Italy allowing 3 goals from Holand.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by JuniorLeaguer:

Why Spain won't win
Spain looks to choke in these stages. After numerous trips to big games they often fall short and thus would sometimes be branded as "underachievers". They have been without a major title since 1964. Coach Luis Aragones seem to yet dig out the best of his players and use it to his disposal. Russia has less pressure coming into this game and so Russia's coach Guus Hiddink is looking to orchestrate a possible upset.


Why Russia won't win
The 2 game suspension of their star man - Andrei Arshavin will be felt as a great loss for Russia. Without the St. Zenit scorer, the Russian team will have to rely on Pavel Pogrebnyak who proved his worth as a top scorer in this season's Uefa cup. Russia's prime strenght comes from scoring, and with the Spaniards rock-solid defenders they'd have to put in twice as much effort to jam a goal behind Casillas. If Spain can manage to contain their strikes, this game will be over as soon as a spanish goal gets in.

Junior, it sure looks to me like you've copied and pasted this stuff from some pre-Euro 2008 preview.  Pavel Progrebnyak injured his knee May 28th against Serbia and was replaced on the roster. 

I don't much stock in someone's handicapping when their info is a) copied without reference from another source, and b) incorrect.

 

 
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Posted: #23
Yup, Arshavin and Pogrebnyak are both out and are Russia's top scoring threats.  Russia plays very well as a team though and their strength lies in them playing as one and not in certain feet of certain players.  However their main thing was scoring, they are an offensive minded team when those guys are in the game. 
 
With Spains tight defense, their all around talent, their 16 consecutive match wins (not without losing, wins) and 5 consecutive games without scoring more than one goal and also not giving up a goal I believe.  All signs point to under and Spain.  Which is where all the money will be.  I like the under.
 
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rf_dawg, I based them from that preview. I was about to get some more under it but gotta do a lot of stuff back here. Anyway, take what you can my good man. I've had most of my info from all around other sites. Hope you do cash in tonight sir.


 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by mullinsky:

Yup, Arshavin and Pogrebnyak are both out and are Russia's top scoring threats.  Russia plays very well as a team though and their strength lies in them playing as one and not in certain feet of certain players.  However their main thing was scoring, they are an offensive minded team when those guys are in the game. 
 
With Spains tight defense, their all around talent, their 16 consecutive match wins (not without losing, wins) and 5 consecutive games without scoring more than one goal and also not giving up a goal I believe.  All signs point to under and Spain.  Which is where all the money will be.  I like the under.




Well said. I'm posting my final cards for today's game..
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