Wilhelm's Weekend Picks

Good Morning everybody, I figured it's better to create a thread for the entire weekend as I already have some plays on the radar in which the odds are likely to drop further. I will post what I have so far and then update my card throughout the weekend. GL everybody 


Friday: 

2. Bundesliga
VfR Aalen-Greuter Fürth Under 2.5 @ 1.78 (2/10) 

Adding for Today: 

Parlay: FC Ceahlaul -1 (Romania 1st League) + Fognini ML @ 2.53 (1.5/10)

Deutschland Deutschland.........Sounds so nice, I had to say it twice.

Hey yoo 

BOL Kaiser 

BOL

Good luck this weekend Kaiser

Franz, VICE, Campo, CoachE and andycee - Thank you, much appreciated! 

gl Kaiser 

Granollers..What a disappointment.

Indeed, should have seen it coming. Sorry if you tailed. 

Adding: 
Dortmund-Bayern Under 2.5 @ 2.15 (2/10) 

It is confirmed that both Neuer and Ribery are out, although Bayern still has a great chance of winning I believe if there is a team that can make a close game out of this it is Dortmund. There is so much hatred between these two clubs which makes me think we won't see a nice Soccer match but one in which Dortmund focuses on the defense, Bayern has a strong defense anyways. See a close Bayern victory or possibly a 1-1 draw and penalties coming up, anyhow i think there is value on the under. 

Good job with Viborg and Fürth. Thanks Kaiser

I also agree with your dortmund-munich analysis. Ribery is the most important player in the offense and he brings the special moments in the bayern game. Usually they dont need these special moments, because bayern wins every game anyways. Against dortmund it is different, because they are maybe the only team with real chances, especially in their own stadium. Neither of team wants to lose against the biggest rival, so i expect two strong defense. Under 2,5 seems the right play

Thanks for Viborg and Furth 

Fognini is @2.53 againat la monf?? Im biting it

bayern v dortmund - my 2 cents ! both teams to score

Unlucky with Granollers i had him to. I heart tennis nearly as much as footie !

Kaiser

Adding: 

2.Bundesliga
Karlsruhe-St.Pauli Under 2.5 @ 1.8 (2/10)

I talked to a Karlsruhe supporter about this game and he sees a scoreless game coming up, possibly a tie. Karslruhe will play with two defensive midfielders, add this to a great defense they have I think St.Pauli will have a lot of trouble to score. Neither St.Pauli nor Karlsruhe really possess a great offense (speaks for itself that Thy, someone who during his Werder times could not find a goal is Pauli's starting striker) and that became obvious during the first game. Both teams won 1-0 but in both games the pattern was kind of similar, few chances and both happy to get a close win late in the game. Apart from the Under, the X really has great value and I might play that one as well but I'm not fully decided yet. Oh yeah and you can expect really high temperatures today in Southern Germany so that should slow down the pace of the game even further. 

Parlay: Wacker Burghausen-Duisburg Under 2.5 + Bayern Munich not to lose @ 1.95 (2/10)

I know it is risky to place 3 bets on one game, in the case Dortmund wins and there are atleast 3 goals I lose all three bets but that is the risk I think I may take once in a while. A lot of info on this game already available, the possibility of them losing just does not exist in my universe, but maybe I will be so wrong tonight. 

Wacker Burghausen-Duisburg is the actual play I wanted to get in, the Bayern add on is just to decrease the juice. I bet against Duisburg last week and was looking forward to do it again this week but then their opponent scared me away. Wacker Burghausen is a team I consider one if not the worst of the Third League. They lost the first game of the season 3-0, showing no threat towards scoring a goal and I don't expect that to change much against Duisburg. They were able to hold Heidenheim, a team I consider offensively somewhat better than Burghausen to a 0-0 for a very long time which shows that although they pose no real harm to anybody at this moment they can atleast fight for a draw. Duisburg is going the game with a squad of 15 players of which 4 are reserves, shows you they are in trouble. I expect them to fight for a draw again and Burghausen maybe suffer from the high temperatures and are happy to get away with a 1-0 victory, a tie wouldn't be an absolute disaster either. Worth a try. 

franz - I can understand you don't like playing unders, I guess the majority of players don't like betting unders. For me it's contrary, I just enjoy games where nothing happens and time flies without a chance, I hate when I bet overs and nothing happens and then somebody gets hurt and takes 10 minutes to get up, drives me crazy.  As you may see I am on Bayern aswell though, the under kind of serves as an insurance since I don't think Dortmund will score more than one (if any). Viel Glück auch dir, Prost

Dantos you are welcome, glad you won! 

TheGerman, I could have basically copypasted your write-up, agree on every single part. And glad you won with Viborg and Fürth! 

Bombatakbo last time I checked Fognini was the clear favourite to beat Monfils, maybe I misunderstood you? If you mean my play that was a parlay in which the Romanian game had odds around 2..

andycee, yes the Granollers game was unfortunate but I can't complain overall, I won so many tennis bets because of tie breaks that I can let this one go. Just disappointing that this was my biggest bet of the day. And both to score yes I can see that one coming up, to be honest I don't feel sooo great anymore about the Bayern win, I am really tempted to place a 1-1 correct score wager but of course I won't. 

Best of Luck to you all 

I also went for under with Karslruhe..think it's a nice call..btw thanks for the Duisburg tip..i'll go for it as well in a parlay ;)

nice write-ups BOL this weekend

Wow so many bad decisions I made in the Bayern game, after all I should have known better but here am I lamenting my mistakes...
Atleast Dortmund won the game which will give us better odds on Bayern in the future. 

Adding: 

Werder Bremen-Fulham Fulham +0.5 @ 1.78 (2/10)

I don't see Werder winning, the 6-0 should not be overestimated as they played against Erfurt's B-team. Apart from that, all other matches were rather disappointing and I could really see a draw coming up here, nevermind the fact that it's part of Werder's "Day of the Fans". Last year they played Aston Villa and tied 3-3. 

BoL Kaiser.. i took the over in the Fulham game but also did like fulham +.5..

Adding: 

FC Cologne-Fortuna Dusseldorf Under 2.5 @ 1.8 (2/10)

Derbytime in the 2nd Bundesliga, both teams are rivals and those games almost always go under, especially when both teams are defensively solid which one was able to see in the first round of the season, Düsseldorf won 1-0 and Cologne should have won 1-0 but their goalie messed it up, I see a small victory or 1-1 coming up. 

Another Under in the bank  

Congrats VICE fortunately the women's Game also ended under but still this does not make my picks from yesterday any better. Time to step up again Kaiser.