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***WORLD CUP 2014 Betting Thread***

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Legend
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Posted: #251
MATCH BETTING

ENGLAND  URUGUAY

40. England/Uruguay UNDER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (2 Units)

Suarez is not fully fit I don't care what the reports state. Uruguay had their run just like Ghana 4 years ago I think they lose today however not much value on England for me to pull the trigger. The past 9 games for Uruguay 6 go Under 2.5 goals. The same strecth of games for England also 6 of 9 go Under 2.5. This is a game both sides cannot afford to lose so hoping it stays close.
 
Legend
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Posted: #252
Barbs-- It has been a blast so far
 
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Posted: #253
MATCH BETTING

GREECE  JAPAN

40. Greece/Japan UNDER 2.25 @ 1.91/-110 (1 Unit)
41. Greece +0.25 @ 2.04/+104 (1 Unit)

A tough game to call with both sides needing the win and a battle between the Over & Under machines. Once again I look at away results to get a glimpse into the discipline of the teams at hand. Japan has given up 18 goals in its past 9 away games where as Greece has only given up 7 in its past 9. I do not know why Japan is the fav here thus my jump on the Dog with the AH line. All my analysis points to 1-0 0-0 1-1 0-1 2-0 and a 40% chance of a victory for Greece.
 
All-Star
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Posted: #254
Agree with you on Greece, another line that confuses me. I would add a 1-1 possible outcome to that list you have. I guess the +0.25 is a better priced way to play it. GL
 
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Posted: #255
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

Barbs-- It has been a blast so far

No doubt over here you will turn it around 
let that sink in , Afuera #Doge
 
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Posted: #256
2014 WC RECORD so far

18-19-1  +3.49 Units
 
Prospect
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Posted: #257
Hey DJ, I think there is some good value in ML England at 2.00, the public is completely undervaluing them due to their loss to italy yet in that game we saw that England is capable of making long shot goals and crosses that will fast break down the defense of Uruguay. I see 2-1 England.
 
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Posted: #258
good luck 
 
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Posted: #259
DJ.      Dang.....We differ again today. I'm on the overs in the 1st 2 games, and liking England against Uruguay as well.

BOL 
 
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Posted: #260
Greece were dreadful against Colombia but this one could end a draw
 
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Posted: #261
DJ good job indeed

like Uruguay / England under 2.5

sweet pakalolo
 
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Posted: #262
I could get the under in England at +112 was there a big line move last night?
 
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Posted: #263
Quote Originally Posted by lambo4bkfast:

Hey DJ, I think there is some good value in ML England at 2.00, the public is completely undervaluing them due to their loss to italy yet in that game we saw that England is capable of making long shot goals and crosses that will fast break down the defense of Uruguay. I see 2-1 England.


I agree I think 2-0 ENG the Under is now @ even money I might do something INGAME
 
Legend
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Posted: #264
LONK---
dj---
FRANZ---
champ--- There is a conspiracy of OVERS in this WC
 
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Posted: #265
DJ … totally agree with Greece over Japan… that line doesn't make sense to me … England should not be that heavily favored today … the under is the play in that game … 2 goals max there !
 
Prospect
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Posted: #266
Usually like your picks, hate your totals today. I actually think all 3 games go over with the England and Uruguay game being the easiest on the board. England and Uruguay both lost their first games which usually translates to OPEN games not scared to lose games they both need to win. England already came out and said they will be in full on attack mode. Also it doesn't matter if Suarez isn't fit the adrenaline will carry him, do you know how badly he wants to score on England? He will net one that is one determined dude. Japan Greece will be the toughest over of the games today but I still see a 2-1 Japan win maybe more 3-2 even if the first goal is early enough
 
Legend
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Posted: #267
Nevehood--- GL either way today I had the % for an Under hitting @ 64% in GRE , 60% in ENG & 45% in COL thus i went for the 2 Unders

As far as Suarez he should rest up because I need him to be healthy for Liverpool (my team)

Doc---
Mootz---
 
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Posted: #268
Haha yah gl man, I went with over in the first two games, still figuring out the Japan game
 
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Posted: #269
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

MATCH BETTING

COLOMBIA  IVORY COAST

39. Colombia ML @ 2.15/+115 (2 Units)

I really can't believe the love for the Ivory Coast here at plus money for Colombia I'm all over it, only money management restricts me from betting more on the money line. Looking back at the past 14 games for both teams away from home Colombia goes 8-3-3 with losses to Ecuador Venezuela & Uruguay. Ivory Coast goes 5-4-5 with wins versus the mighty Gambia, Tanzania El Salvador etc. The only reason the African side beat japan is because Japan was bad at the back this Colombian side has only conceded 7 in its past 8 versus the CIV that has given up 13 in its past 8. No value on the over but of the 3 games today this one looks like the highest scoring.


Decent Start
 
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Posted: #270
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:

Nevehood--- GL either way today I had the % for an Under hitting @ 64% in GRE , 60% in ENG & 45% in COL thus i went for the 2 Unders

Hey DJ, im sorta new at sports betting and am only able to guesstimate the percent chance of a team doing "x" yet how do u get such a precise percent such as 64%?


 
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Posted: #271
good play on england under 
 
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Posted: #272
lambo--- I input a crap load of variables into my program that spits out 1000 games and I get my figure... There are plenty of web sites as well that give you their %'s based on their own math and stats.

alex---
 
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Posted: #273
2014 WC RECORD so far

19-19-1  +5.79 Units

I will include most of my 13 futures at the conclusion of the group stages
 
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Posted: #274
DJ...

Will be cheering you cash the under in England Uruguay. I had called it minimum 2-1, 3-1, and only reason I didn't take it is I didn't want to lay the -125 or so and I didn't have anything to put with it to help knock it down.

I love watching these to c if I was right or wrong but will also be watching to c if I c a possible halftime wager on this

Keep up the great work....
Cheers
Investinsports
 
 
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Posted: #275
Damn you Suarez.....best striker in the world IMO.. costing me my Under

ADDING

42. Greece Japan/Under 2.5 @ 1.80/-125 (1 Unit)



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