I already have Mexico to qualify future so I will not be adding a side wager for the match.
3. Highest Scoring Half 2nd @ 2.25/+125 (1 Unit)
The total for this game is juiced to high heaven. Even the Under 2 is ridiculously priced. In all the matches (7) for Mexico this year they scored ZERO goals in the first 30 minutes, same goes for Cameroon scoring ZERO in their 5 games this year. The Draw at HT was tempting but that too was not greatly priced. I expect Mexico to get more corners and Cameroon to get more fouls called against them as they are a side that lacks discipline. Mexico have not lost to African opposition in the past 12 games going back to 2005 winning 7 and 5 ending level. I may add a play here when the Card markets become available.
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MATCH BETTING
MEXICO CAMEROON
I already have Mexico to qualify future so I will not be adding a side wager for the match.
3. Highest Scoring Half 2nd @ 2.25/+125 (1 Unit)
The total for this game is juiced to high heaven. Even the Under 2 is ridiculously priced. In all the matches (7) for Mexico this year they scored ZERO goals in the first 30 minutes, same goes for Cameroon scoring ZERO in their 5 games this year. The Draw at HT was tempting but that too was not greatly priced. I expect Mexico to get more corners and Cameroon to get more fouls called against them as they are a side that lacks discipline. Mexico have not lost to African opposition in the past 12 games going back to 2005 winning 7 and 5 ending level. I may add a play here when the Card markets become available.
The line has drifted here for the Dutch since it opened at plus money in favor of Spain.
4. Netherlands +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (1 Unit)
Everyone including the home press have written off the chances of the Oranje with many pundits viewing progress into the round of 16 as a success. Losing Strootman was a blow but Van Der Vaart not so much as he was going to play second fiddle to Sneijder all along, plus he had a very bad year in Germany. I'm expecting the Dutch to play with 5 defenders and settling for a Draw. Van Gaal is a great manager, a dictator like figure who demands perfection he will school the youth & might as well be RVP's best friend. I don't see him looking past the WC to the Man U job. Spain has to be tired with many players from the league enduring a very long season. It being the first game neither team needs to win this game but both cannot afford to lose it. I see a draw as the most likely outcome, but just in case Spain are caught napping I'll take the +0.5 at plus money.
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MATCH BETTING
SPAIN NETHERLANDS
The line has drifted here for the Dutch since it opened at plus money in favor of Spain.
4. Netherlands +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (1 Unit)
Everyone including the home press have written off the chances of the Oranje with many pundits viewing progress into the round of 16 as a success. Losing Strootman was a blow but Van Der Vaart not so much as he was going to play second fiddle to Sneijder all along, plus he had a very bad year in Germany. I'm expecting the Dutch to play with 5 defenders and settling for a Draw. Van Gaal is a great manager, a dictator like figure who demands perfection he will school the youth & might as well be RVP's best friend. I don't see him looking past the WC to the Man U job. Spain has to be tired with many players from the league enduring a very long season. It being the first game neither team needs to win this game but both cannot afford to lose it. I see a draw as the most likely outcome, but just in case Spain are caught napping I'll take the +0.5 at plus money.
Confirmed news that Vidal is ruled out of this game
4. Australia 1st Half AH +0.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1 Unit)
Missing their key man in midfield will be a huge blow if Vidal does not return versus Spain & The Netherlands where Chile will need him most. Chile is suspect at the back and tend to rely on a pressing style of play. According to stats the vast majority of their goals come in the second half. Even in Friendlies two late goals versus Northern Ireland, a come back win versus Egypt etc. Australia tend to start out strong and fade away late in the game. Chile should win this game but there is no way I'm drinking the juice, even the -1 AH is juiced. I'll take a shot at the HT +0.5 on the Aussies and back Chile IN-GAME in the second half when the odds are better.
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MATCH BETTING
CHILE AUSTRALIA
Confirmed news that Vidal is ruled out of this game
4. Australia 1st Half AH +0.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1 Unit)
Missing their key man in midfield will be a huge blow if Vidal does not return versus Spain & The Netherlands where Chile will need him most. Chile is suspect at the back and tend to rely on a pressing style of play. According to stats the vast majority of their goals come in the second half. Even in Friendlies two late goals versus Northern Ireland, a come back win versus Egypt etc. Australia tend to start out strong and fade away late in the game. Chile should win this game but there is no way I'm drinking the juice, even the -1 AH is juiced. I'll take a shot at the HT +0.5 on the Aussies and back Chile IN-GAME in the second half when the odds are better.
Still like the value on Greece even with my Greece to Qualify future.
6. Greece +0.5 @ 2.02/+102 (1 Unit)
There was more value on this match a week ago when you could get GRE +0.75 at even money. The Greeks are known to be stingy at the back allowing little and scraping by with 1 goal victories but what some may not know is their great away from home form where in the past 2 years they lost only once. Colombia is without Falcao but there is still qualitly on this team that should see them through to the round of 16. Colombia matches up better versus the other two sides in this group and should win those with ease. First up the Draw masters.
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MATCH BETTING
COLOMBIA GREECE
Still like the value on Greece even with my Greece to Qualify future.
6. Greece +0.5 @ 2.02/+102 (1 Unit)
There was more value on this match a week ago when you could get GRE +0.75 at even money. The Greeks are known to be stingy at the back allowing little and scraping by with 1 goal victories but what some may not know is their great away from home form where in the past 2 years they lost only once. Colombia is without Falcao but there is still qualitly on this team that should see them through to the round of 16. Colombia matches up better versus the other two sides in this group and should win those with ease. First up the Draw masters.
Already have Costa Rica Total Group goals Under 1.5
6. Uruguay WIN TO NIL @ 2.15/+115 (1 Unit)
I have been impressed how Uruguay has played at the back to add to their great attacking talents. I can't drink the juice on the ML & the AH of -1 does not have much value either. Since the opening round matches tend to be low scoring and tight I do not see Costa Rica netting anything in this match or the other 2 for that matter especially without Oviedo & Saborio. Sorry Costa Rica you are my pick to finish 32nd
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MATCH BETTING
URUGUAY COSTA RICA
Already have Costa Rica Total Group goals Under 1.5
6. Uruguay WIN TO NIL @ 2.15/+115 (1 Unit)
I have been impressed how Uruguay has played at the back to add to their great attacking talents. I can't drink the juice on the ML & the AH of -1 does not have much value either. Since the opening round matches tend to be low scoring and tight I do not see Costa Rica netting anything in this match or the other 2 for that matter especially without Oviedo & Saborio. Sorry Costa Rica you are my pick to finish 32nd
Current future is to have England to qualify to the Quarter Finals
8. ENGLAND/ITALY to DRAW @ 3.00/+200 (1 Unit)
If there was ever a match that smelled like a 0-0 result this would be the one. Both sides are great at the back and will not want to drop points in the first game of the group. England will be faster but the Italians will hold their shape being master tacticians. Having the game played in Manaus in the heart of the Amazon will not help either side, as the heat and humidity almost ensures a classic most boring game ever tag.
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MATCH BETTING
ITALY ENGLAND
Current future is to have England to qualify to the Quarter Finals
8. ENGLAND/ITALY to DRAW @ 3.00/+200 (1 Unit)
If there was ever a match that smelled like a 0-0 result this would be the one. Both sides are great at the back and will not want to drop points in the first game of the group. England will be faster but the Italians will hold their shape being master tacticians. Having the game played in Manaus in the heart of the Amazon will not help either side, as the heat and humidity almost ensures a classic most boring game ever tag.
Don't fancy either side to progress but both should be fun to watch.
9. Japan PK/0 @ 2.12/+112 (1 Unit) 10. Japan/Ivory Coast OVER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1 Unit)
I never play an over in the first round of the group stage matches at any major tournament. This games screams Goals. In the past 25 straight games in all competitions for the Ivory Coast ALL 25 involved 2 or more goals. In the same stretch for Japan 22 of 25 involved 2 or more goals. Both these sides are really bad at the back. I don't know why Japan are slight dogs here either they have the momentum and are a faster side than CIV so the draw no bet on Japan is a good price.
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MATCH BETTING
IVORY COAST JAPAN
Don't fancy either side to progress but both should be fun to watch.
9. Japan PK/0 @ 2.12/+112 (1 Unit) 10. Japan/Ivory Coast OVER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1 Unit)
I never play an over in the first round of the group stage matches at any major tournament. This games screams Goals. In the past 25 straight games in all competitions for the Ivory Coast ALL 25 involved 2 or more goals. In the same stretch for Japan 22 of 25 involved 2 or more goals. Both these sides are really bad at the back. I don't know why Japan are slight dogs here either they have the momentum and are a faster side than CIV so the draw no bet on Japan is a good price.
11. Ecuador/Switzerland to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (1 Unit)
This game can go either way. I fancy Ecuador but the Swiss will be difficult to break down. The total is priced right and netither side has a distinct advantage over one another. The focus here for both sides will be not to lose , beat Honduras and survive versus France. Coming into the game both sides have a history over the past few years of more Draws than normal and I expect both sides to end up level in this midday encounter.
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MATCH BETTING
SWITZERLAND ECUADOR
I already have a future for Ecuador to qualify
11. Ecuador/Switzerland to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (1 Unit)
This game can go either way. I fancy Ecuador but the Swiss will be difficult to break down. The total is priced right and netither side has a distinct advantage over one another. The focus here for both sides will be not to lose , beat Honduras and survive versus France. Coming into the game both sides have a history over the past few years of more Draws than normal and I expect both sides to end up level in this midday encounter.
Even with the Ribery injury, still like them going far this year
12. France WIN TO NIL @ 2.04/+104 (1 Unit)
This
game could have the makings of a rout however the French may just start of happy with a 2-0 victory without wasting too much energy knowing the caliber of their opponents. In the past 11 games in all competitionts for the French they kept 8 clean sheets. Honduras however has allowed 22 goals against in its past 11 straight matches. I do not give any chance of a result to Honduras.
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MATCH BETTING
FRANCE HONDURAS
Even with the Ribery injury, still like them going far this year
12. France WIN TO NIL @ 2.04/+104 (1 Unit)
This
game could have the makings of a rout however the French may just start of happy with a 2-0 victory without wasting too much energy knowing the caliber of their opponents. In the past 11 games in all competitionts for the French they kept 8 clean sheets. Honduras however has allowed 22 goals against in its past 11 straight matches. I do not give any chance of a result to Honduras.
13. Argentina/Bosnia UNDER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1 Unit)
This play would be my best play of the 1st round of the group stages. My money management style restricts me from putting a bigger wager here based on performance of other wagers. Argentina have been great at the back as of late allowing 0 goals in the past 5 games while scoring only 6. Bosnia's past 5 games 4 ended under 2.5 goals. At even money this Total is the best deal to date as I do not see Argentina blowing Bosnia out of the water. Both the sides will play cautiously not wanting to drop points knowing there are 2 inferior opponents on tap.
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MATCH BETTING
ARGENTINA BOSNIA
Argentina is my pick to win the World Cup
13. Argentina/Bosnia UNDER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1 Unit)
This play would be my best play of the 1st round of the group stages. My money management style restricts me from putting a bigger wager here based on performance of other wagers. Argentina have been great at the back as of late allowing 0 goals in the past 5 games while scoring only 6. Bosnia's past 5 games 4 ended under 2.5 goals. At even money this Total is the best deal to date as I do not see Argentina blowing Bosnia out of the water. Both the sides will play cautiously not wanting to drop points knowing there are 2 inferior opponents on tap.
As overrated as Germany was Portugal seems to be more so....I had the game at 2.10/+110 so a tad of value on the superior German squad. The German midfield is the BEST in this world cup...they lack a finisher and may be just ok at the back they outrank Portugal in every category besides Ronaldo. The Reus injury was a blow and will cost the Germans down the line, but they still have the quality to finish top of this group. I'm not convinced Ronaldo is 100% & for that reason I don't think Portugal advance. 2-0 or 2-1 Germany is what I see here.
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MATCH BETTING
GERMANY PORTUGAL
My first outright side wager
14. Germany ML/-0.5 @ 2.25/+125 (1 Unit)
As overrated as Germany was Portugal seems to be more so....I had the game at 2.10/+110 so a tad of value on the superior German squad. The German midfield is the BEST in this world cup...they lack a finisher and may be just ok at the back they outrank Portugal in every category besides Ronaldo. The Reus injury was a blow and will cost the Germans down the line, but they still have the quality to finish top of this group. I'm not convinced Ronaldo is 100% & for that reason I don't think Portugal advance. 2-0 or 2-1 Germany is what I see here.
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