World Cup Preview and First Round Game picks thread.....

I see what you guys mean but Paraguay +.5 is laying juice.

So if Paraguay wins 1 nil, you lose 1 bet, win the other...so not sure how one makes money unless there is a draw???

hmmmm my hunches so far are on the money. Going to stick with my pre tournament analysis for each group and hopefully things continue to pan out as they have been

ok ok seems to be geernal consesus I do my own thread. I am hitting way more then most (even Van the man himself) but seem to be getting little respect for doing so...

Might just stick with the boxing altogether, more love over there . Joking will post tomorrow's picks in my own thread..

Basically crus a draw or a Paraguay you win the bet.

I personally hate the bet Vanzack has made on this game. If you like Paraguay why not play the 0-0 or 1-0 for Paraguay for far bigger value?. Ok sometimes you might lose to a 1-1 or a more unexpected scoreline (realistically though there wont be more then 2 goals in this game and I ceratinly can't see Paraguay scoring twice). Besides the poor value in Van's bet, I hate the idea of lumping money on average team like Paraguay.  

I think there is a far better, safer way of making on this game.        I really don't believe Italy will lose this game. If they do then this post is going to look very foolish and my profits thus far on this world cup honestly? very quickly wiped out.

However, I personally think Italy draw no bet for -200 is a Fantastic bet. I have quite a bit invested in this. If the draw hits you get your money back. I have also backed 0-0 and 1-1 both @ +500. So as long as Paraguay don't win then it should be quite a profitable game.

The reason I hate Vanzack's bet is that I feel he is on the wrong side here with Paraguay. Let me give you an example of how my thinking works...

Let's say, I am investing 1200 bucks on this game (I'm investing more but using this as my example).

1000 is being played on the Italy draw no bet @ -200...

100 on the 0-0 @ +500..

100 on the 1-1 @ +500...

If Italy wins thats 500 bucks win, -200 for the missed draw(s) so that's 300 bucks profit.

If the game ends up 0-0 or 1-1 you get your orginal bet back. You win 500 bucks -100 for the other missed draw so that's 400 bucks profit. If the game goes against the general train of thought and finishes 2-2 then your only down 200 bucks.

Of course Paraguay can win, there have been alot bigger shocks in world cup history. But with a team like Italy (great tradition, defending champs) I would rather be on there side then Paraguay's who are +300 and in World cup's more often then not fail to deliver after impressive qualifying campaign's in South America.

Paraguay +.05, +1 -178 -->7.12u/4u

I need to NOT go out on my own BUT stick close to Vans insight!!!

....+2.72 units for WC

YESSSSSSS!!!....+4 units....brings my WC total units to +6.72!!!

THANKS VAN!!!!!

I don't even want to get into the plethora of reasons that this thread has so many views.

ok ok seems to be geernal consesus I do my own thread. I am hitting way more then most (even Van the man himself) but seem to be getting little respect for doing so...

Might just stick with the boxing altogether, more love over there . Joking will post tomorrow's picks in my own thread..

you did really good,i liked your picks and glad you cashed buddy,i celebrated your wins with vuvuzelas here but then again your sentence above makes me think you are jealous vanzack has gotten this attention and wanted to prove you are better capper,no need for those childish competitions,go kill the books,it makes all of us happyhe is not your target,the bookies are.