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World Cup Preview and First Round Game picks thread.....

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Posted: #501

18.  Argentina / Korea - Over 2.5 +108 (1 unit)

Is this a typo? The pure O2.5 can be had for +13something.

Are you sure you don't have the O2 and 2.5?

 
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Posted: #502


Solid writeups, and good work today Vanzack.

Gotta say Im against you on France/Mexico tomorrow. Two ML dogs I couldn't pass on, them and south korea.

Surprised you would be that high on a team  (French) that is in shambles and turmoil with their manager.

Mexico still created chances in the first game. IMO they will be adjusted to the altitude and ball now, and get the 1-2 to get it done. They are a better team than they showed in first game, and I'm not sure France is.

Also took a flyer on South Korea +770, Maradona blessed with one of the best talent bases but he is one awful manager as we saw last game.  Had to take a shot after today's epic upset, maybe a break goes the Koreans way and they steal one.  Knowing Maradona he won't even start Milito again upfront with Messi because he's a dumbfuck.
 
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Posted: #503
Forgot to say am on Greece +0.5 with you, understand your fade of this Nigerian squad and certainly agree. Lets get it
 
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Posted: #504

fwiw

the games at the highest altitude have witnessed the higher goals/game avg...
to 1499 metres = 1.45/game (11 games)
1500 plus metres = 2.00/game (6 games)

 

 
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Posted: #505
Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:

18.  Argentina / Korea - Over 2.5 +108 (1 unit)

Is this a typo? The pure O2.5 can be had for +13something.

Are you sure you don't have the O2 and 2.5?

When I posted this, that was the line.  It has sinced moved - and Ive averaged out a little bit, but I always try and post current lines when I post.

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Posted: #506
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

When I posted this, that was the line.  It has sinced moved - and Ive averaged out a little bit, but I always try and post current lines when I post.

GL Van 
 
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Posted: #507
Van, I know you would never lay this kind of juice but what do you feel about -.5 -185 Tina     Im thinking to win 2.5 units and I know the risk is not worth the payout but I see Tina winning this.
 
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Posted: #508
Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

Van, I know you would never lay this kind of juice but what do you feel about -.5 -185 Tina     Im thinking to win 2.5 units and I know the risk is not worth the payout but I see Tina winning this.
Excuse me that would be ML now at -185
 
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Posted: #509

Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

Van, I know you would never lay this kind of juice but what do you feel about -.5 -185 Tina     Im thinking to win 2.5 units and I know the risk is not worth the payout but I see Tina winning this.

Im not against laying that kind of juice in the right spot.

I think that Argentina will win today.  I am a little concerned that S Korea will sit back and play for a draw, but even still Argentina should break them down.

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Posted: #510

Nothing like a first half winning over....

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Posted: #511
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Nothing like a first half winning over....

  

 
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Posted: #512
   I would have liked Tina to put it over though
 
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Posted: #513
Great call on the over Van! My book has these lines for the next game:

Greece +0.5 (-130)

Greece +300
Draw +230
Nigeria +100

I think it ends in a draw or Greece wins. I should put the same amount on Greece and the draw, right? Thanks in advance.
 
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Posted: #514

Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

   I would have liked Tina to put it over though

No worries - they will add on....

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Posted: #515
Quote Originally Posted by refuze2loze:

Great call on the over Van! My book has these lines for the next game:

Greece +0.5 (-130)

Greece +300
Draw +230
Nigeria +100

I think it ends in a draw or Greece wins. I should put the same amount on Greece and the draw, right? Thanks in advance.

If you use the following ratio you will give yourself Greece +.5 for -123:

100 on Greece to win +300
121 on draw at +230

Great lines BTW....

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Posted: #516

Anyone pick up on Ian Darke's (British announcer for Argentina game on ESPN) said:

"Maradona won the 1986 World Cup 'singlehandedly'"

Those Brits dont forget....

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Posted: #517
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

If you use the following ratio you will give yourself Greece +.5 for -123:

100 on Greece to win +300
121 on draw at +230

Great lines BTW....


If my goal is to win $100, I can play Greece +0.5 (-130) and I'll accomplish my goal. On the other hand, I can put $100 on both Greece and the draw, and the worst I can do is win $130. An extra $30 if I play the 3-way line. Am I missing something?
 
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Posted: #518
Quote Originally Posted by refuze2loze:


If my goal is to win $100, I can play Greece +0.5 (-130) and I'll accomplish my goal. On the other hand, I can put $100 on both Greece and the draw, and the worst I can do is win $130. An extra $30 if I play the 3-way line. Am I missing something?

Option 1 - Risk 130 to win 100

Option 2 - Risk 200 to win 130 or 200.

 

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Posted: #519
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Option 1 - Risk 130 to win 100

Option 2 - Risk 200 to win 130 or 200.

 


Thanks bro. I love your card today! I'll be with you. Thanks for posting.
 
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Posted: #520
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Anyone pick up on Ian Darke's (British announcer for Argentina game on ESPN) said:

"Maradona won the 1986 World Cup 'singlehandedly'"

Those Brits dont forget....

Yes I did....i didn't understand at first cause I hardly watch soccer .

 
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Posted: #521

Excellent start for you today!!!!! Goooooood luck for the rest of the day!!!!!

 
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Posted: #522
if this game ends in agretina win and i say IF wouldnt greece need a win to advance
 
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Posted: #523
never mind about that if doesnt greece or nigeria need a win to advance now
 
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Posted: #524

Thank you Van the MAN

 
 
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Posted: #525

Some thoughts on Argentina.....

Im a little bit worried.  As good as they looked from the midfield up, they had lapses on defenses and gave up WAY too much space and open play to the Koreans.  If there was better finishing on the Korean side, the game would have been much different.

Im very worried about Walter Samuel's injury - after he was pulled at about 20 mins, the defense was disorganized.  DeMichelis is very shaky back there - not just because of the goal he gave away today - but he has a habit of doing that - like the goal he gave up in the Champs League final where he got turned around like a top.

They will not win against the top teams unless they shore this up.  We will see.  Hopefully Samuel is back - if not for the last group game against Greece - at least for the first knockout game.

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