I cannot believe their defense - the worst of the tournament by any team - and somehow they won.
I have them to advance in a future, but I honestly cant see them beating Japan if they play the way they did today (or against the Dutch for that matter) - and I dont see how they will plug those holes in 5 days especially without Kjaer.
And I thought the Australia game was a heart attack....
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That Denmark game was SOOOO lucky....
I cannot believe their defense - the worst of the tournament by any team - and somehow they won.
I have them to advance in a future, but I honestly cant see them beating Japan if they play the way they did today (or against the Dutch for that matter) - and I dont see how they will plug those holes in 5 days especially without Kjaer.
And I thought the Australia game was a heart attack....
Current Record 14-7 Up 27.48 units, Down 11.5 units TOTAL - Up +15.98 units
Previous games...
1. SA / Mex over 2 -122 (1.5 units) - PUSH 2. Uruguay +.5 -109 (2 units) - WIN 3. SK / Greec under 2 -103 (2 units) and 0-0 at +600 (.5 unit) - PUSH (lose .5 unit) 4. Argentina -200 (2 units to win 1 unit) - WIN 5. USA / Eng over 2.5 +105 (2.5 units) - LOSS 6. SLV / ALG - no bet 7. Serbia +116 (2 units) - LOSS 8. Australia +1 +106 (1 unit) - LOSS 9. Netherlands -180 (1 unit) - WIN 10. Cameroon +112 (.5 unit) - LOSS 11. Paraguay +.5 (2.5 units) - WIN 12. Slovakia -.5 -200 (risked 1 unit) - LOSS 13. Ivory Coast / PTGL - no bet 14. Bzl / NK - no bet 15. Chile (2 units) - WIN 16. Switz +1.5 (.5 unit) - WIN 17. Uruguay PK -140 (5 units) - WIN 18. Arg / SK over +108 (1 unit) - WIN 19. Greece +.5 (2 units) - WIN 20. France +138 (3 units) - LOSS 21. Serbia +.5 +140 (1 unit) - WIN 22. Slovenia +.5 -116 (1unit) - WIN 23. Eng / Alg over 2.5 +108 (1 unit) - LOSS 24. Netherlands -200 (2 units) - WIN 25. Australia +.5 -112 (3 units) - WIN 26. Denmark PK -122 (3 units) - WIN
Futures...
1. Uruguay to advance +110 (2 units) 2. Uruguay to win group A +400 (.5 unit) 3. Argentina to win group B -220 (2 units) 4. Nigeria NOT to advance -118 (2 units) 5. England to win group C -320 (2 units) 6. USA NOT to advance +112 (3 units) 7. Serbia to win group D +330 (.5 unit) 8. Germany NOT to advance +387 (.5 unit) 9. Netherlands to win group E -145 (4 units) 10. Denmark to advance +105 (1 unit) 11. Japan zero points +360 (1 unit) - LOSS 12. Paraguay win group F +340 (1.5 units) 13. NZ no poings +100 (1 unit) - SICK LOSS 14. Portugal to advane -110 (1.5 units) 15. NK zero points -140 (2 units) 16. Switz to advance +160 (1 unit) 17. Argentina to win tournament +725 (6 units risked) 18. Argentina / Neth final +3300 (.5 unit) 19. No african team to advance +1200 (1 unit) 20. No african team qtr finals +165 (2 units)
Sunday June 20
27. Paraguay / Slovakia - Paraguay +112 (3 units) - All things point to Paraguay here for me - the devastating way Slovakia dropped points to New Zealand at the death - along with a Paraguayan team that must be feeling very good about themselves after holding the world champs to a draw. There is talk that Roque Santa Cruz might start, and Cordozo is ready too. Marek Hamsik will see much of the same close marking and frustration he found against NZ in Paraguay - and Paraguay will wear down Slovakia - a team that is desperate for a win and will not settle for a draw here with Italy on deck - which will open them up at the back. Only worry here is that Paraguay would probably be happy with a draw. Predicted Final score - Paraguay 2-0.
28. Italy / New Zealand - No Bet - I dont see much to bet here - I thought about a small play on Italy -1.5 but I came to my senses. Buffon is definitely out, and Italy love to play in 1 goal games - I just cant see them not winning here - but by how much? Predicted final score - Italy 2-0.
29. Brazil / Ivory Coast - Ivory Coast +.5 +130 (.5 unit) - This is a straight value play - just think this price is a little high. Im not sure Brazil is clicking yet, and if the IC plays a full 90 they might just hold them here. The scary part is that I think the IC would be happy with a 1 goal loss - as they really are battling it out with Portugal for the 2nd spot and might have to beat them on goal differential - so just a mini bet for me - and I wouldnt bet this any lower than about +120 or so. Predicted final score - Brazil 1 IC 1.
GL all
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3-0 today, 10 wins in last 12
Current Record 14-7 Up 27.48 units, Down 11.5 units TOTAL - Up +15.98 units
Previous games...
1. SA / Mex over 2 -122 (1.5 units) - PUSH 2. Uruguay +.5 -109 (2 units) - WIN 3. SK / Greec under 2 -103 (2 units) and 0-0 at +600 (.5 unit) - PUSH (lose .5 unit) 4. Argentina -200 (2 units to win 1 unit) - WIN 5. USA / Eng over 2.5 +105 (2.5 units) - LOSS 6. SLV / ALG - no bet 7. Serbia +116 (2 units) - LOSS 8. Australia +1 +106 (1 unit) - LOSS 9. Netherlands -180 (1 unit) - WIN 10. Cameroon +112 (.5 unit) - LOSS 11. Paraguay +.5 (2.5 units) - WIN 12. Slovakia -.5 -200 (risked 1 unit) - LOSS 13. Ivory Coast / PTGL - no bet 14. Bzl / NK - no bet 15. Chile (2 units) - WIN 16. Switz +1.5 (.5 unit) - WIN 17. Uruguay PK -140 (5 units) - WIN 18. Arg / SK over +108 (1 unit) - WIN 19. Greece +.5 (2 units) - WIN 20. France +138 (3 units) - LOSS 21. Serbia +.5 +140 (1 unit) - WIN 22. Slovenia +.5 -116 (1unit) - WIN 23. Eng / Alg over 2.5 +108 (1 unit) - LOSS 24. Netherlands -200 (2 units) - WIN 25. Australia +.5 -112 (3 units) - WIN 26. Denmark PK -122 (3 units) - WIN
Futures...
1. Uruguay to advance +110 (2 units) 2. Uruguay to win group A +400 (.5 unit) 3. Argentina to win group B -220 (2 units) 4. Nigeria NOT to advance -118 (2 units) 5. England to win group C -320 (2 units) 6. USA NOT to advance +112 (3 units) 7. Serbia to win group D +330 (.5 unit) 8. Germany NOT to advance +387 (.5 unit) 9. Netherlands to win group E -145 (4 units) 10. Denmark to advance +105 (1 unit) 11. Japan zero points +360 (1 unit) - LOSS 12. Paraguay win group F +340 (1.5 units) 13. NZ no poings +100 (1 unit) - SICK LOSS 14. Portugal to advane -110 (1.5 units) 15. NK zero points -140 (2 units) 16. Switz to advance +160 (1 unit) 17. Argentina to win tournament +725 (6 units risked) 18. Argentina / Neth final +3300 (.5 unit) 19. No african team to advance +1200 (1 unit) 20. No african team qtr finals +165 (2 units)
Sunday June 20
27. Paraguay / Slovakia - Paraguay +112 (3 units) - All things point to Paraguay here for me - the devastating way Slovakia dropped points to New Zealand at the death - along with a Paraguayan team that must be feeling very good about themselves after holding the world champs to a draw. There is talk that Roque Santa Cruz might start, and Cordozo is ready too. Marek Hamsik will see much of the same close marking and frustration he found against NZ in Paraguay - and Paraguay will wear down Slovakia - a team that is desperate for a win and will not settle for a draw here with Italy on deck - which will open them up at the back. Only worry here is that Paraguay would probably be happy with a draw. Predicted Final score - Paraguay 2-0.
28. Italy / New Zealand - No Bet - I dont see much to bet here - I thought about a small play on Italy -1.5 but I came to my senses. Buffon is definitely out, and Italy love to play in 1 goal games - I just cant see them not winning here - but by how much? Predicted final score - Italy 2-0.
29. Brazil / Ivory Coast - Ivory Coast +.5 +130 (.5 unit) - This is a straight value play - just think this price is a little high. Im not sure Brazil is clicking yet, and if the IC plays a full 90 they might just hold them here. The scary part is that I think the IC would be happy with a 1 goal loss - as they really are battling it out with Portugal for the 2nd spot and might have to beat them on goal differential - so just a mini bet for me - and I wouldnt bet this any lower than about +120 or so. Predicted final score - Brazil 1 IC 1.
Hey Van my book is offering me Paraguay +112 on the ML, but also +120 -.5. Am I missing something here? Should I not just take them -.5 and get the extra take back? Taking them ML is basically taking them -.5 anway, no? Great work so far
buy $BTC
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Hey Van my book is offering me Paraguay +112 on the ML, but also +120 -.5. Am I missing something here? Should I not just take them -.5 and get the extra take back? Taking them ML is basically taking them -.5 anway, no? Great work so far
Nice job. Looks like Netherlands ML was the play but I'll take the push although they had a couple of great chances in the 2nd half. They look good to win their group though.
Paraguay tomorrow.
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Nice job. Looks like Netherlands ML was the play but I'll take the push although they had a couple of great chances in the 2nd half. They look good to win their group though.
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