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World Cup Preview and First Round Game picks thread.....

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Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
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Posted: #801
Quote Originally Posted by tmpeus78:


No joke, I've been planing this for a while!  When I was traveling w/ a good friend through Chile, Argentina & Brazil back in 2008, we stayed with his friend Diego for 4 days in Rio.  He told us his door is open for us in 2014 for the cup! All my cup winnings are going into a World Cup 2014 savings account to pay for this trip!!! 

I will be there for sure....

Already have the clearance from the family.  It was a trade - S Africa for Brazil and 2018 no matter where it is.

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Legend
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Posted: #802

Taurus - the penalty in Nigeria game was a definite penalty.  No doubter.

I feel very luck to have escaped that one.  Even more now that I watch it again for the second time.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #803

Quote Originally Posted by kshifrin:

Van, I have the same bet Africa not to advance, but I got it at +1700 (some bookie at my original country - Russia). The question is - what is the best way to hedge it now when it seems to be only Ghana can kill you?

Im not hedging.  Algeria can kill it too.

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Legend
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Posted: #804
Quote Originally Posted by SALandBOB:

Hey Van- nice job so far. One quick question about Engalnd to win their group. Played them small -300 to win 100.  Whats the best way to minimize my losses here and get out of the bet?

tailed your plays and leans today, good job

I really dont think there is a good way to do this.  I think you have to suck it up and hope for them to win by multiple goals tomorrow, because you (and I) are in a bad position.  I hope you are in good positions on other futures, but this one will take some luck.

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Legend
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Posted: #805

Quote Originally Posted by ChAoSoRb:

van i have a few positions that im kinda worried about please calm my nerves..

2u Germany to win group -106
1u England to win group -248

I don't feel to bad about Germany as they are decent favorites in the last game of pool play but England looks to be in deep shit.. any suggestions?

need USA to tie or lose and need England to win for this bet to hit

if USA wins England needs to win by a few goals to take the tie breaker and advance/win group

just wonder how you would handle it, im feeling like im stuck with a bad price and want to hedge my losses cause i don't see england walking away with the group

1.  Germany win the group.  You have -106 on a game that is -200 right now.

2.  See post #814 about England....  Bad spot for you and me.  No way to hedge without paying a lot - at this point I would just ride it out....

 

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Posted: #806
Take a look at Australia team total under 0.5, 1 on pinnacle. It's priced at -108. Seems like a ton of value.
 
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Posted: #807
USA GERMANY AND SERBIA
 
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Posted: #808
I was gonna go Serbia PK but what the hell. -111
 
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Posted: #809

Van.... great capping my friend. 

I am right there with you as I have England/USA exacta and England/Slovenia exacta (was a hedge against US).  I'm obviously in trouble if US wins, which I believe they will.  I'd need them to win by 1 and England to win by 2.  I think the US wins by 2 though so I am playing them -1.5 at +290. 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #810
Van, stay hot man.   I wish I had been tailing you more.   where do you get these lines, Matchbook?   None of the 3 online books I look at offer prices like what you've been getting, such as USA (100).  I wish I could find a bookie who would take USA bets at even money.  
 
Legend
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Posted: #811

Quote Originally Posted by Lambsbread:

Van, stay hot man.   I wish I had been tailing you more.   where do you get these lines, Matchbook?   None of the 3 online books I look at offer prices like what you've been getting, such as USA (100).  I wish I could find a bookie who would take USA bets at even money.  

Matchbook, the Greek, and Pinnacle ALL have the USA at +100 right now.

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Posted: #812
5dimes has usa at +100 right now
 
Legend
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Posted: #813

Quote Originally Posted by wle05:

5dimes has usa at +100 right now

I'd like to know what books DONT have it at about +100 right now.

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Legend
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Posted: #814
Quote Originally Posted by TheSource2Win:

Van.... great capping my friend. 

I am right there with you as I have England/USA exacta and England/Slovenia exacta (was a hedge against US).  I'm obviously in trouble if US wins, which I believe they will.  I'd need them to win by 1 and England to win by 2.  I think the US wins by 2 though so I am playing them -1.5 at +290. 

Thanks - in the same boat with England - but am willing to wait and see - my other futures all look pretty good so I am more tolerant for risk on this one.

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Legend
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Posted: #815
Plodstralia look done and dusted both physically and mentally,Serbia should get the job done,,,,,
 
Prospect
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Posted: #816
Bookmaker has it at -115
 
Prospect
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Posted: #817
Vanzack.. I definitely agree that Germany is a pretty solid bet.. but I don't think Gomez will get the start in place of Klose.  I believe it will be Cacau, which I believe is Germanys best striker anyhow.
 
Legend
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Posted: #818

Quote Originally Posted by Kraut:

Vanzack.. I definitely agree that Germany is a pretty solid bet.. but I don't think Gomez will get the start in place of Klose.  I believe it will be Cacau, which I believe is Germanys best striker anyhow.

Either way - not much difference to me....

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Prospect
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Posted: #819
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

I'd like to know what books DONT have it at about +100 right now.




Sportsbook -111
Bookmaker -115
Bodog -140


I am realizing that these sites I look it usually have unfavorable odds for some bets.  I think USA should definitely be favored in this game, but -140 is ridiculous. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #820
Germany is -200 at Bookmaker.  -222 on Sportsbook.   and -225 on Bodog. 
 
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Posted: #821
Germany -1 tomorrow.  I may see if I can find something else for a ML parlay.  Will also play Serbia ML as I think they are a little undervalued.  Not going to touch the other group.  

Good luck, let's keep it going.  

Brazil in 4 years.  I'm going to tell the wife right now, but it might take 8 years of groundwork for me to get permission to go to a World Cup.  
 
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Posted: #822
correction:  USA is -125 on Sportsbook.com
 
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Posted: #823
i know both the praise and bash comments on threads, especially threads with close to 1000 comments are a bit cliche, but van you obviously put a great deal of work and dedication into your craft.  just wanted to let you know that it is noticed and appreciated.

don't know a great deal about international soccer, but any time i can wake up with a game on (the early ones), and check scores throughout the day, and it's a once in a four year event, i'm all for it.  so, thanks again for the education.

ok, gladly departing from your sac now, have a good rest of the world cup.
 
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Posted: #824
great work thus far pal 

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #825
bodog favorites prices are more of inflated joke than normal.. -225 for germany?? i couldn't do it out of principal..

van you see the 30 for 30 about the 2 escobars/columbian soccer.. pretty good stuff
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