All true here. This is a the best analisys of the betting industry that i have ever read. You are absolutly right on this call. You just can win when your boarding pass (ticket) goes to the "Right Side" that Vegas Decide on that Contest. The Sad point of that is that trully Fans are Fading Down in their Hopes to come to see their teams winning when they sometimes just CANT goes and WIN against VEGAS call... Major Sports Events are Becoming like the WWE (World Wrestling Entertainment) Just to pay for the Big Fake Show!... What you lost in VEGAS, STAYS in VEGAS!.
All true here. This is a the best analisys of the betting industry that i have ever read. You are absolutly right on this call. You just can win when your boarding pass (ticket) goes to the "Right Side" that Vegas Decide on that Contest. The Sad point of that is that trully Fans are Fading Down in their Hopes to come to see their teams winning when they sometimes just CANT goes and WIN against VEGAS call... Major Sports Events are Becoming like the WWE (World Wrestling Entertainment) Just to pay for the Big Fake Show!... What you lost in VEGAS, STAYS in VEGAS!.
lightsout,
you are moronic if you are claiming that a bookie is not hoping for near equal action on the games. Why in the hell do you think spreads are created? To lure people into betting evenly on the matchup.
Take this as an example:
Bookie takes 100 bets on Monday Night Football game. Colts vs. Patriots, Patriots favored by 3. It is a bookie/sportsbooks nightmare if 85 people take the Patriots. They don't want to lose all of that money. By getting more even bets, the bookie is going to make money no matter what.
If you're bookie would rather take the 85-15 spread, then I would deem him an ignorant person...
lightsout,
you are moronic if you are claiming that a bookie is not hoping for near equal action on the games. Why in the hell do you think spreads are created? To lure people into betting evenly on the matchup.
Take this as an example:
Bookie takes 100 bets on Monday Night Football game. Colts vs. Patriots, Patriots favored by 3. It is a bookie/sportsbooks nightmare if 85 people take the Patriots. They don't want to lose all of that money. By getting more even bets, the bookie is going to make money no matter what.
If you're bookie would rather take the 85-15 spread, then I would deem him an ignorant person...
Never changed lines and did great. look at this form and see how many people 'buy points". A .5 or 1 point change in a line is not going to cause a rush to the other side.
Never changed lines and did great. look at this form and see how many people 'buy points". A .5 or 1 point change in a line is not going to cause a rush to the other side.
No local books that I did business with change juice. They have a 11-10 on games and 12-10 on O/U. Changing juice for a local book would be a nightmare. NO BOOK THAT I HAVE EVER KNOWN EVER LOST MONEY. PERIOD !!!!!!!!! Line changes are a small part of it. The GOOD MONEY comes from parlays and SUCKER GAMES !!!!!
Another cavet for a book to change lines. mGoing from 2.5-3.5 can lead to a nice little middle job. Books don't like that.
No local books that I did business with change juice. They have a 11-10 on games and 12-10 on O/U. Changing juice for a local book would be a nightmare. NO BOOK THAT I HAVE EVER KNOWN EVER LOST MONEY. PERIOD !!!!!!!!! Line changes are a small part of it. The GOOD MONEY comes from parlays and SUCKER GAMES !!!!!
Another cavet for a book to change lines. mGoing from 2.5-3.5 can lead to a nice little middle job. Books don't like that.
Bookies who know what they are doing keep a balanced book and will lay off the action if they have to in order to keep them balanced (bet an equal amount the other way so as not to get buried).
A professional book is saying, "Look, I've been there, I know I can't pick a winner, so pick your own loser and I'll book the action".
Bookies who know what they are doing keep a balanced book and will lay off the action if they have to in order to keep them balanced (bet an equal amount the other way so as not to get buried).
A professional book is saying, "Look, I've been there, I know I can't pick a winner, so pick your own loser and I'll book the action".
Bookies who know what they are doing keep a balanced book and will lay off the action if they have to in order to keep them balanced (bet an equal amount the other way so as not to get buried).
A professional book is saying, "Look, I've been there, I know I can't pick a winner, so pick your own loser and I'll book the action".
No way in hell a book can keep all lines balanced on all games. That is the biggest myth circulated about booking. Those that believe that have never been around a book and seen a weekend worth of action.
Bookies who know what they are doing keep a balanced book and will lay off the action if they have to in order to keep them balanced (bet an equal amount the other way so as not to get buried).
A professional book is saying, "Look, I've been there, I know I can't pick a winner, so pick your own loser and I'll book the action".
No way in hell a book can keep all lines balanced on all games. That is the biggest myth circulated about booking. Those that believe that have never been around a book and seen a weekend worth of action.
There will be losing weeks, but booking is a "cash cow", and I never bothered about balancing anything. I LIKED THE ONESIDED GAMES AS PLAYERS WILL LOSE MOST OF THESE.
There will be losing weeks, but booking is a "cash cow", and I never bothered about balancing anything. I LIKED THE ONESIDED GAMES AS PLAYERS WILL LOSE MOST OF THESE.
Probably higher than 90%.
Probably higher than 90%.
No way in hell a book can keep all lines balanced on all games. That is the biggest myth circulated about booking. Those that believe that have never been around a book and seen a weekend worth of action.
In Vegas every book has a formula that so many dollars worth of action moves the spread one half a point in the other direction.
Smaller books lay off to larger books, etc.....
Granted books take a beating on some games but as been said in this thread over the long run the public loses 90% of the time.
People love betting football when the real money is in baseball. All you have to do is pick the winner and the dogs win often. But people would rather bet an exhibition football game than a baseball game.
Oh yeah PS, re: myths and being around books, I worked in casinos for many years. You?
No way in hell a book can keep all lines balanced on all games. That is the biggest myth circulated about booking. Those that believe that have never been around a book and seen a weekend worth of action.
In Vegas every book has a formula that so many dollars worth of action moves the spread one half a point in the other direction.
Smaller books lay off to larger books, etc.....
Granted books take a beating on some games but as been said in this thread over the long run the public loses 90% of the time.
People love betting football when the real money is in baseball. All you have to do is pick the winner and the dogs win often. But people would rather bet an exhibition football game than a baseball game.
Oh yeah PS, re: myths and being around books, I worked in casinos for many years. You?
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