Posted:
#1
Not that I know anything, but here's some facts:
- Betting a -129 favorite, which is a nominal 55 % favorite is inherently a good value. It sure beats basketball, where each bet is a 50/50 and motivation is always under question in these late season games.
- Cardinals are 3-11 in their last 14 road games vs. a left-handed starter. More pertinent is their 1 run outing against Tom Glavine and only managing 4 against Wandy Rodriguez, a subpar pitcher this year.
- The Pirates meanwhile knocked lefty Aaron Harang around for 5 runs in a non-quality start for a quality pitcher. Then they nailed 6 up against lefty Eric Milton, which is a little better than par.
- Randy Keisler, Cardinals starter, 6.82 ERA in his career. Not an upstart youngster either - he's 31 and clearly only in there because of injuries. In his last cup of coffee with Cincinnati, gave up 11 runs in 18 innings. Hell, I'd feel sorry for him, but better yet just pick up some cash off the situation.
- Gorzelanny had a 3.79 ERA last year and got stronger as the year went on. Only gave up 3 homers in 62 innings too, which bodes well against Pujols, Rolen.
- Pirates being off to their best start in a zahdillion years can't hurt. It pains Vegas to make them this big of a favorite against the Ex-World Champions, but they're absolutely right to do so.
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