Serious Streak Survivor Strategies

MLB Write-up Sunday 7/10

Hot pitchers
-- WRodriguez is 3-2, 2.90 in his last five starts.
-- Hamels is 6-2, 1.74 in his last ten starts. Lowe is 2-0, 3.18 in his last two starts, 1-1, 1.38 in two starts against Philly this season.
-- Pirates won Maholm's last four home starts (3-0, 1.48).
-- Zimmerman is 3-1, 1.68 in his last seven starts.
-- Stauffer is 3-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Cain is 3-1, 2.15 in his last four home starts.

-- Sabathia is 5-0, 2.21 in his last five starts.
-- Atkins allowed one run in six IP in his first '11 start, at Texas.
-- Verlander is 6-1, 0.95 in his last seven starts.
-- Swarzak is 1-0, 1.29 in his last two starts, but last one was June 2.
-- FHernandez is 1-1, 2.66 in his last three starts. Haren is 3-0, 1.21 in his last three starts, winning last two 1-0.

Cold pitchers
-- Volstad is 0-5, 5.97 in his last five home starts.
-- Ortiz lost his first '11 start, allowing three runs in six IP.
-- Chacin is 0-2, 8.44 in his last couple starts.
-- Willis is 5-2, 2.63 in 13 starts in AAA this year; he has a big league record of 71-63, 4.12 in 189 career starts, but 2007 was last time he was in a big league rotation. Wolf is 1-2, 6.30 in his last three starts.
-- Duke is 1-3, 6.39 in his last seven starts. JGarcia is 2-2, 4.93 in his last six starts.
-- Lilly is 0-4, 9.15 in his last four starts.
-- Mets lost nine of Pelfrey's eleven road starts.

-- Carrasco is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts. Cecil is 0-3, 6.52 in his last three outings.
-- Shields is 0-2, 4.85 in his last couple starts.
-- Weiland is 8-6, 3.00 in 17 AAA starts; this is his big league debut; he was 15-21 in his first three minor league seasons.
-- Peavy is 1-2, 7.59 in his last four starts. Francis is 0-3, 6.33 in his last four outings.
-- Cahill is 2-6, 4.30 in his last 11 starts. Harrison is 2-3, 4.33 in his last six outings.

Totals
Keep in mind two things about today's games:
1) Mets-Giants game is 5pm local start; if its sunny in San Francisco, shadows will be helping the pitchers.
2) Its Getaway Day for players (and coaches and umpires); chances are a few more first pitches than usual might get swung at.

-- Seven of last eight Lowe starts went over the total.
-- Nine of Maholm's ten home starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Washington's last seventeen games.
-- Five of last seven Volstad starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Milwaukee games.
-- Four of Duke's five road starts went over the total.
-- Six of Dodgers' last seven home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Giants' last nine home games.

-- Seven of last ten Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Carrasco starts.
-- Over is 13-4-2 in last nineteen games at Fenway Park.
-- Six of last nine Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-2 in White Sox' last ten home games.
-- Under is 12-5 in Seattle's last seventeen road games.
-- 10 of last 14 Texas games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last twelve games. Braves won 14 of their last 18 games.
-- Pirates won four of their last six games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last ten games.
-- Arizona won six of its last nine games.
-- Dodgers won their last three games, 6-0/1-0/1-0.
-- Mets won eight of their last eleven road games. Giants won 10 of their last 15 games overall.

-- Red Sox won eight of their last nine games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games. Rays are 6-3 in their last nine road games.
-- Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Twins won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Angels won 13 of their last 15 games. My Streak Survivor Pick!

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Astros also lost 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Brewers lost eight of last 12 games. Reds lost six of last nine.
-- Washington is 6-9 in its last 15 games. Rockies lost 10 of last 15 games, seven of last nine on road.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last nine home games.
-- Padres lost their last four games, scoring six runs.

-- Blue Jays are 5-8 in their last thirteen games. Indians are 3-4 in their last seven games.
-- Orioles lost 20 of their last 25 road games.
-- Oakland lost 12 of its last 17 games.
-- Kansas City lost eight of its last twelve games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost their last four games, scoring seven runs.

Umpires
-- Atl-Phil-- Underdogs are 11-5 in last 16 Guccione games.
-- Hst-Fla-- Last four Bucknor games went over the total.
-- Col-Wsh-- Seven of last ten Knight games went over the total.
-- Chi-Pitt-- Five of last six Hirschbeck games went over the total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Under is 11-3 in last 14 Darling games; road team won his last seven games behind the dish, underdogs eight of his last 11.
-- Az-StL-- Underdogs won six of last ten Marquez games.
-- SD-LA-- Favorites won last seven Blaser games.
-- NY-SF-- Visiting team won eight of last twelve Miller games.

-- Tor-Clev-- Seven of last eight Eddings games stayed under total.
-- TB-NY-- Six of last seven Kulpa games stayed under the total.
-- Balt-Bos-- Road team won six of last seven Foster games, with four of last five staying under total.
-- A's-Tex-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Kellogg games.
-- Min-Chi-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Vanover games.
-- Det-KC-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cuzzi games.
-- Sea-LA-- Last ten Davis games all went over the total.                                                                                                                                                       Good luck today, fellas!