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2010 JM NFL System

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Prospect
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Posted: #176
Nice job Pirates
 
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Posted: #177
B play on Buffalo on the ML tonight.

These are two very bad NCAA teams! To date based on what they've accomplished I have Buffalo ranked #110 and Ball St. #114. With Buffalo now having lost 4 SU and ATS the system says go with them. Plus they are at home, but the crowd will probably not be an edge. The only edge is that they did not need to get on a bus. Line is -3 and ML -155. Take the ML as anything can happen in the MAC (kickers missing PATs, etc.). If Buffalo were to lose tonight, the C bet would be to stay home and beat Eastern Michigan next Saturday. I think they'd pull that off, but it would be more comfortable to just win the series tonight and not have to worry about recouping. I have Eastern Michigan currently at #119 (only team worse is Akron at #120).
 
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Posted: #178
Buffalo is ASS

Hmm...yet another C bet coming up on them next week?

I've lost 3 C bets in two different systems the last two days. I go for 4 C bet losses in 3 days on Memphis today. This is becoming senseless
 
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Posted: #179
Nice wins on Dallas
Denver
, and Seattle.

Bad Beat on Houston

Next week

Houston
Tennessee
Kansas City


 
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Posted: #180
Great wins today, especially those who had to sweat out that back door cover by Cincy. We had wins from Dallas, Denver, and Seattle. Houston let that game slip away. Here is the full update:

system record: 5-0

system week 11 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

A - Carolina

system week 12 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

None

mod system record: 4-0 (1 series pending)

mod system week 11 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

B - Houston
A - Tennessee
A - Kansas City

mod system week 12 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Pittsburgh
NY Giants
 
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Posted: #181
Does Houston also qualify for the "lost 3 SU and 3 ATS" system?

Also, Clausen may not start next week for Carolina due to a concussion.  Tony Pike may get the start, they are 1-8 and playing a Ravens team with a few extra days to rest.

Thoughts?
 
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Posted: #182
Yes I count Cincy a B or C win as well. (that all depends on what line you got last week and if you had to play it this week.

Pro is moving along nicely. College went 7-4 this last week as well with some key wins:

Mod A East Carolina
B Buffalo
Mod B Purdue
Mod A West Virginia 
B Vanderbilt
Mod A Missouri
A Wake Forest
C Memphis
Mod B Texas
Mod A Florida St.
B UNLV

That's going to drop both Buffalo and Vanderbilt to C bets as well as Texas to a Mod C bet next week. I'll scour the sched for more.
 
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Posted: #183
I see that KC is favored by 8 vs Arizona which means you take them on the ML which is -350.


 
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Posted: #184
Fire-

Tennessee is a big ML fav as well. This could be a stinger if either one loses. Hard to count on Carolina as well. BUT said the same about Dallas. Thx for finally pulling the trigger Jerry!

Not that it means Jacksquat - my fantasy points projection for Neil Rackers (Houston's Kicker) is one extra point, meaning Houston only scores 7 this week. This is probably a blessing as those projections are always WAY off! LOL.
 
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Posted: #185
This system is at its best when you are betting underdogs and I just won't lay 3-1 on a team, even though Ten and KC should beat Wash and Ariz respectively.

Carolina is a tough one.  Lotta injuries.  DeAngelo Williams on IR, Jonathan Stewart is hurting, Tony Pike possibly starting at QB.  This could be ugly.  With that, it would be fun to watch an undermanned Carolina team compete against Balty. 

Houston screwed us last week, but now go play the Jets at the Meadowlands as 8 point dogs.  Schaub out of the hospital after receiving treatment on his knee.  I like Houston getting so many points as the Jets haven't covered when 6 point favorites twice this season already. 
 
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Posted: #186
Looks Brian St. Pierre is starting Sunday for the Panthers
 
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Posted: #187
is nyg the only new series for next week?
 
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Posted: #188
Sorry for the delay. A couple good wins last week, let's see what the upcoming plays are:

system record: 6-0

system week 12 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

B - Carolina
A - Tenn

system week 13 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Detroit
Cleveland
Minnesota
Arizona

mod system record: 5-0 (1 series pending)

mod system week 12 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

B - Tennessee
A - NY Giants

mod system week 13 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

None
 
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Posted: #189
Sorry for the delay. A couple good wins last week, let's see what the upcoming plays are:

system record: 6-0

system week 12 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

B - Carolina
A - Tenn

system week 13 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Detroit
Cleveland
Minnesota
Arizona

mod system record: 5-0 (1 series pending)

mod system week 12 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

B - Tennessee
A - NY Giants

mod system week 13 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

None
 
Prospect
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Posted: #190
Here's a question for Carolina.  I'm pretty sure that in the Morrison system the chase stops, or never starts, for a team that has been eliminated from the playoffs.  Carolina has already been eliminated from winning their division, and are currently 6 games out of a wildcard spot with 6 remaining games.  If they lose both SU and ATS this week, there is a pretty good chance they would be eliminated from the playoffs.  I realize that we know they were eliminated from the playoffs about 5 games ago, however if/when it becomes official this week, would the chase stop?  Should we consider this when betting them this week, when there might not be a C game?  I leave it to the people who know the system better then myself.  Thanks in advance
 
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Posted: #191
Good win with Carolina and the NY Giants.

system record: 7-0

system week 13 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

A - Detroit (unofficial)
A - Arizona
B - Tenn

system week 14 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Denver
Cincy
Oakland
Seattle

mod system record: 6-0 (1 series pending)

mod system week 13 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

C - Tennessee

mod system week 14 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Green Bay
Indianapolis
Philly
 
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Posted: #192

bump

 

 

I think we have a play on WASH for week #15 guys.  ON3  are you still going to keep this thread up?

The JM system is 10-0 this year in the NFL, even though most of us, I'm sure, have bailed out on the 3 [C] bets, and have not won as we could have.  I know I personally could not afford to bet the [C]'s to the level needed to recoup the earlier losses.  Even so, the system is still perfect so far, so let's see how it plays out the rest of the way. 

 
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Posted: #193
How is the modified JM system undefeated?  Tennessee is a loser, no? 
 
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Posted: #194
they covered against indy
 
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Posted: #195

Modified system:
3 game chase, bets A, B, C. The 3 game chase starts once a team loses 2 SU and 2 ATS IF THAT TEAM STILL HAS A .500 OR BETTER RECORD AFTER BOTH LOSSES. Play the next three games on the spread (if a dog) and ML (if a favorite). Buy a half point to a full point to push the spread over/under a key number (3, 7, 10, 14, 17, 21)

 

Tennesse was a loser using the modified system

System failure.

 
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Posted: #196

Redskins shouldn't be a play ACCORDING TO THE RULES as they are mathematically eliminated. 

I'm sure JM would count it as a win if they cover though.  If they lose than thank god for that filter. 

I'm sure Tennessee will be filtered out and not count on his record because the starting quarterback was out. 

 
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Posted: #197

Modified JM is not the JM system from Morrison, but a "Modified" one posted here on Covers.  JM's system is 10-0.  As much as I hate the asshole, if you lost on TENN on the "Modified" system, it was not Morrison's play.  TENN covered as a [C] bet on the true JM system.

Even so, there were three [C] bet winners and thousands had to be bet to make hundreds.  I doubt many of us had the bankroll to profit from those [C] wins.  I know I didn't.  DALLAS especially was a huge loser for me.

It is true that I do not know if WASH will be released by JM as a play this week, due to their elimination.  But if anybody gets his e-mail, please let us know.

 
 
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Posted: #198

I posted a thread and this is to everyone who bought the NFL Betting System from John Morrison within the last year. If you bought it from him, then you need to click on this link:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=100918872

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