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2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

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Posted: #826
looks like another big week, were gonna have at least 9 full game plays and another 3-4 that are just under 40%....hopefully another god week...
 
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Posted: #827
yes more than 20 1h games again , hope we win a lot this week
 
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Posted: #828
We're in the teeth of the season now. We should welcome as many plays as possible every week to approach the expected win % of 64ish.
 
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Posted: #829
Allot look at this and think its easy money,it requires 55% to break even, and not every week will produce profit if you don't know how to really take advantage of this...one bad week can do allot of damage....

Bol all...
 
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Posted: #830
Quote Originally Posted by powerade:

Boise St. seems to kill us every week, they put in the subs and it ruins the full game play

how did the 1st half bets do today?

I dont think its boise fault.  Wyoming, New Mexico State, and San Joise State cant score against anyone let alone stop others from scoring.  I say just stay away from these teams.

 
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Posted: #831
Not to sound selfish as ive only learn about the system this year.  But dont you think the more people you tell the sooner the locals will eventually wise up to these plays.  Especially if we keep winning and letting others we know into the system.  Look at the views on these thread alone.
 
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Posted: #832
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the ff. are plays in CFB for Oct 23, right?

Oct 23

Duke @ Virginia Tech  +26/ ou 61

Purdue @ Ohio St.  +23/ ou 47

Iowa State @ Texas  +20.5/ ou 48

Alabama @ Ten U  +16.5/ ou 48

Col. State @ Utah  +30.5/  ou 58

Was. State @ Stanford  +34.5/ ou 63.5

E.Michigan @ Virginia  +24/  ou  56

Rice @ Cent. Fla  +22/  ou 51.5

SD State @ New Mexico  +23.5/  ou 55.5


**These are all parlayable at 5Dimes, I just checked.
 
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Posted: #833
I think we can still pass this info around via personal email, not on an open message board like Covers or SBR.  The books troll these forums too, as the occasional book promotion will show.
 
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Posted: #834
You can't stay away from those teams you mentioned or any teams for that matter. Those games are 12-3 when those teams are involved for the 1st half plays this year. Don't handicap the games or teams. Let the math work.
 
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Posted: #835
Quote Originally Posted by butta01:

Allot look at this and think its easy money,it requires 55% to break even, and not every week will produce profit if you don't know how to really take advantage of this...one bad week can do allot of damage....

Bol all...

we've had 1 bad week in all, and it wasnt too bad...some weeks were better than others but all in all i think everyone is up...i like the card this week...cant wait to start throwing down some bets...looks lke it could be a big week...just depends on what breaks we get..
 
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Posted: #836

Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:

Not to sound selfish as ive only learn about the system this year.  But dont you think the more people you tell the sooner the locals will eventually wise up to these plays.  Especially if we keep winning and letting others we know into the system.  Look at the views on these thread alone.

Wrong....you can't leave them out becuse they ar eplays every week

Its more Boise taking their starters out kills it

 
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Posted: #837
Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:


we've had 1 bad week in all, and it wasnt too bad...some weeks were better than others but all in all i think everyone is up...i like the card this week...cant wait to start throwing down some bets...looks lke it could be a big week...just depends on what breaks we get..

lol some people just won't believe the system...

we know.....we know  

 
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Posted: #838

Quote Originally Posted by Borat38:

Correct me if I'm wrong, but the ff. are plays in CFB for Oct 23, right?

Oct 23

Duke @ Virginia Tech  +26/ ou 61

Purdue @ Ohio St.  +23/ ou 47

Iowa State @ Texas  +20.5/ ou 48

Alabama @ Ten U  +16.5/ ou 48

Col. State @ Utah  +30.5/  ou 58

Was. State @ Stanford  +34.5/ ou 63.5

E.Michigan @ Virginia  +24/  ou  56

Rice @ Cent. Fla  +22/  ou 51.5

SD State @ New Mexico  +23.5/  ou 55.5


**These are all parlayable at 5Dimes, I just checked.

Just check and they are NOT!

The selections 1 and 2 are invalid within the same parlay. Please make a different selection.

 

 
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Posted: #839
Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

We're in the teeth of the season now. We should welcome as many plays as possible every week to approach the expected win % of 64ish.

do you happen to have the percentage on the year so far?  for full gms and 1h?  I can go back and look at my bets placed but would take a while, just wondered if you had it handy
 
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Posted: #840
Quote Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:


do you happen to have the percentage on the year so far?  for full gms and 1h?  I can go back and look at my bets placed but would take a while, just wondered if you had it handy


I keep track of all my bets and I only can play FULL Games.  I played a few less than 40% the last couple of weeks, but they have hit less than 75% of my YTD. So the YTD playing the system, legit, on full games should be higher

YTD: 36-12-2 (75%) $8,880.00

minus the first week as I didn't play it, but powerade has it on the first post.
 
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Posted: #841
Milky, I've got 1H at 80-39-5  Full games at 43-21
 
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Posted: #842
not sure how you are getting 21 losses on the full games?
 
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Posted: #843

Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

You can't stay away from those teams you mentioned or any teams for that matter. Those games are 12-3 when those teams are involved for the 1st half plays this year. Don't handicap the games or teams. Let the math work.

Sorry meant to say for full games.  Those team mention are best play as first half games cuz like someone mention they get blown out first half and the starters sit second half.

 
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Posted: #844

Week 1 full game losers-  USC, Mich St, Alabama, Clemson, Auburn

Week 2-  Utah, Nebraska

Week 3- Penn St, SMU

Week 4- Iowa,

Week 5- UCLA, S.Florida, Boise

Week 6- Wisconsin, Ohio St, Air Force, TCU

Week 7- Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Utah, Boise

 
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Posted: #845
Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Week 1 full game losers-  USC, Mich St, Alabama, Clemson, Auburn

Week 2-  Utah, Nebraska

Week 3- Penn St, SMU

Week 4- Iowa,

Week 5- UCLA, S.Florida, Boise

Week 6- Wisconsin, Ohio St, Air Force, TCU

Week 7- Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Utah, Boise



I remember cashing Mich St, and Clemson full game on week 1....might depend on line movement.
 
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Posted: #846
Line movement will probably even out over the long run. No matter how you slice it though, win % is around the magic 65% for both games and halves to this point of the season. If the second half of the season is a carbon copy of the first, I'll be a happy man. Then the bookies better watch out for me next year 'cuz I'm really going to get serious.
 
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Posted: #847

I guess it depends on the each local's lines, but in week7 ND was a push, and OK and UT werent system plays.  I haven't ckecked the rest of your documented losses with my YTD record yet.

 

Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Week 1 full game losers-  USC, Mich St, Alabama, Clemson, Auburn

Week 2-  Utah, Nebraska

Week 3- Penn St, SMU

Week 4- Iowa,

Week 5- UCLA, S.Florida, Boise

Week 6- Wisconsin, Ohio St, Air Force, TCU

Week 7- Oklahoma, Notre Dame, Utah, Boise

 
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Posted: #848

and OK and UT werent system plays. 

Again, depends on what lines you get. I didn't play them because I don't need to play full games, but I do track them and would have been losers with my lines.

 
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Posted: #849
percentage looks great either way..i was keep track of all mine but threw my papers away when i was moving...i the line keeps moving we might have a play tomorrow, I will probably play it anyway b/c its like 39%
 
 
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Posted: #850
actually it is a play, just locked it in, 41%.....25 / 61   lets start the week off with a win
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