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2011 NCAAF Strategy

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Posted: #226
Well, I guess not, they are slowing their advance, but NM just can't move the ball and now you know why I dropped the play.
 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by irage:



Holy crap, I didn't even see the friend request option until I started looking for it. I had over 200 pending.


Wow! So many requests lol.
 
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Posted: #228
I got Nevada-11.5, UTEP-10 and Wis-7. If UTEP had been .5 higher I would've dropped them as you've told me before. Nevada's game is pretty close.
 
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Posted: #229
An easy TD lets Fresno State cover
 
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Posted: #230
We'll get them next week irage!
 
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Posted: #231
Crap, I got my ass handed to me this week. I knew this week was coming. I played Wisky and Nevada yesterday and dropped 2k on each.
 
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Posted: #232
Quote Originally Posted by irage:

Crap, I got my ass handed to me this week. I knew this week was coming. I played Wisky and Nevada yesterday and dropped 2k on each.


Hope we can get back on track next week. I also got my ass kicked on NFL week 7. Went home late last night and wasn't able to cap games properly and was actually planning on just passing up. I ended up tailing someone and was actually bumping my head for doing so. 1-7-1 after tonight I practically lost all my winnings last week.
 
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Posted: #233
Any plays for Tuesday irage?
 
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Posted: #234
Yeah, bad week for everyone.  Looking forward to bounce back in the next couple of weeks.
 
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Posted: #235

hey IRAGE>...

 

What we doing for THURSDAY NIGHTS trend....

Favs and the unders or Dawgs and the overs?

 
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Posted: #236
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

hey IRAGE>...

 

What we doing for THURSDAY NIGHTS trend....

Favs and the unders or Dawgs and the overs?



I have been thinking about this since last week. I saw the lines came out yesterday.

Rice vs Houston 70.5

70.5 is a monster number, but the way Houston's offense explodes, they could score 50 themselves. So 70 is doable 80 is more likely.

Virgina vs Miami 48

I can see this one going over too. Miami should score 30 and  I would not be surprised to see overtime in this game.

In my personal opinion they both go over and I am willing to gamble some coin on it.
 
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Posted: #237
28 - 11 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - WIN
Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - PENDING
Oct 26 - Stanford -16 - PENDING
Oct 26 - Colorado +?? - WAITING FOR LINE
Oct 26 - Oklahoma St -14 - PENDING

2 - 2 - 0

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5
Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48
 
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Posted: #238
irage, Stanford is only -7.5 vs USC and those are 10/29 games right? Stanford, Colorado and Oklahoma State. So for 10/26 there is only Connecticut am I right?
 
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Posted: #239
you are right Bookie...he must had too many drinks
 
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Posted: #240
there's no such thing as "too many drinks", is there???
 
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Posted: #241
Quote Originally Posted by tokelio:

you are right Bookie...he must had too many drinks



 
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Posted: #242
I wish I could blame these mistakes on drinking, but I simply dropped my joint on my foot and burrned my big toe. When I bent over to pick it up I bumped my head.

Had to make some changes to the picks this week.

28 - 11 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - WIN
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - WIN
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - WIN
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - WIN
Sept 30 - BYU -7.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Wisconsin -9 - WIN
Oct 01 - Stanford -20 (H35) - WIN
Oct 01 - TCU -11.5 - LOSS
Oct 01 - Arizona +12.5 - WIN
Oct 07 - Boise St -21 - WIN
Oct 08 - Ohio St. +12 - WIN
Oct 08 - Stanford -29.5 (H33) - WIN
Oct 08 - Alabama -29 (H35) - WIN
Oct 08 - Connecticut +19 - LOSS
Oct 08 - San Jose St. +12 - LOSS
Oct 14 - Hawaii -6 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Utah St. -3 - LOSS
Oct 15 - Stanford -21 (V33) - WIN
Oct 15 - Iowa -6.5 - WIN
Oct 15 - UTEP +1.5 - WIN
Oct 20 - Arizonia -4.5 - WIN
Oct 22 - Nevada -10.5 - LOSS
Oct 22 - UTEP -7 - WIN
Oct 22 - Wisconsin -7 - LOSS
Oct 26 - Connecticut +10.5 - PENDING
Oct 27 - Virginia v Miami OVER 48
Oct 29 - Stanford -7.5 - PENDING
Oct 29 - Oklahoma St -14 - PENDING

2 - 2 - 0

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - Mississippi St. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - Utah +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - Utah St. -10.5 LOSS
Oct 15 - Arizona St. +14.5 - WIN
Oct 27 - Rice v Houston OVER 70.5
 
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Posted: #243
That's twice now I've been burned by Conn 's in ability to score.
 
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Posted: #244
Irage awesome work...I'm curious as to how you are picking these games?
 
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Posted: #245
irage
love what your doing, but do you think that you should put line movement as one of your filters.Last night for instance Connecticut was the Consensous pick on a lot of sites, but the line moved from 9.5 to 10 points.Check out some of your losses that may have been the case.Just a suggestion.We are all here to get the bookies money.Good Luck Bro
 
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Posted: #246
Quote Originally Posted by bulldoginohio:

irage
love what your doing, but do you think that you should put line movement as one of your filters.Last night for instance Connecticut was the Consensous pick on a lot of sites, but the line moved from 9.5 to 10 points.Check out some of your losses that may have been the case.Just a suggestion.We are all here to get the bookies money.Good Luck Bro


Thanks Bro,

I've thought about adjusting for the line movement, but you have to remember that movement is something the books do to cover what they outstanding bets. Look at all the games played an you'll see that many are 1-3 points from the posted line. If a the action increases on a said game, the books adjust to cover with in that range.

The trick here is I need to get my picks finalized sooner, so that we get the lines before they adjust.
 
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Posted: #247
Alright guys, I was so confident in these games tonight I drove to Vegas today. I dropped 1k on Miami OVER 48, 1k on Houston Over 71 and 500 on Houston Team Total Over 49. Winners all around.

glefkb01 - Nice bro, slammed them again. Thanks for pointing that out.


 
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Posted: #248
Oh yeah, I have 4k on Stanford. I had to lay these bets over 4 casinos, if that tells you how strongly I feel about Stanford.

Oh yeah, I was talking with a guy I met in the sports lounge about some bets. I told him that I was pretty good with College FB and laid out my picks for this week. He agreed with the Stanford and Oklahoma St game. He told me he was much better with NFL and showed me his parlay tickets from the last 5 weeks.

Week 7 = 7 Games Parlay hit 6 of 7
Week 6 = 5 Game Parlay hit 4 of 5
Week 5 = 6 Game Parlay hit 6 of 6 (for 13,000)
Week 4 = 5 Game Parlay hit 5 of 5 (for 6300)

Now this is all bullshit, but I have to say I was pretty impressed and I personally saw the tickets. I asked him why not just pick one or two games and win smaller amounts every week. He said that he had been doing this for years and made decent coin over the season. He did tell me he stopped in week 12 as the dynamic of play changes around that time.

On that he note I asked who he liked this week and he was very clear. I don't how I feel about the Ravens scoring 12, but they are better the Cards.

San Diego -3.5
Baltimore -12.5



 
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Posted: #249
Great call on the Miami over tonite Irage, I sent you a friend request
 
 
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Posted: #250
Great call on the Miami over tonite Irage, I sent you a friend request
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