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2011 Opening Game Favorite

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Prospect
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Posted: #101

You forgot Series #28 (G1)  7:10  Pitt@CIN -180  8.5

Someone confirm?

 
Prospect
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Posts: 159
Posted: #102
I'm going to throw this out there. I like the system but today look at the huge favorites.  7 bets. How many do we need to win today to break even.  I'm playing Oakland because its a "B" bet but waiting to see who loses today and then play the "B" bets tomorrow. What are the chances of winning? Last year "A" bets were about 63%.  If  we hit 63% today on "A" bets, At this Vig we will still lose for the day.  I'm just suggesting this for today only because of the volume of bets. Any thoughts on this?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 114
Posted: #103

Quote Originally Posted by roguewager:

I'm going to throw this out there. I like the system but today look at the huge favorites.  7 bets. How many do we need to win today to break even.  I'm playing Oakland because its a "B" bet but waiting to see who loses today and then play the "B" bets tomorrow. What are the chances of winning? Last year "A" bets were about 63%.  If  we hit 63% today on "A" bets, At this Vig we will still lose for the day.  I'm just suggesting this for today only because of the volume of bets. Any thoughts on this?

 

Nothing wrong with waiting, but unfortunately 63% over the long haul does not translate to 63% for each and every day. Today could be that 6-1 day. By definition the odds are going to be high because of the system. IMO, once you start to get selective and afraid of the odds you are asking for trouble - it's like trying to time the stock market - it doesn't work.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 423
Posted: #104
i think the important thing to remember is the season is VERY young and you need to be careful until we see more from these teams. I'm playing almost everything at -1 for now.
 
Rookie
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Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 812
Posted: #105
Game 3 Oakland
Game 2 NYY
               Cinci
               Philly rl?
 Game 1 Atl

 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 627
Posted: #106
let s skip oakland fellas, we will get it back laters !! afraid of yanks too , but a system s a system , 

wait a min , stranger things have happened

lets just follow the system 
 
Rookie
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Posts: 812
Posted: #107
Looks like the games all came through for us... even Oakland! No plays today.
 
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #108

Plays for 4/15:

System record 18-1-0                        -4.0U with labby

o/uFilter plays 5-1 (5-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 20-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 2-1   (G1=2, G2=)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff             

Series#22 (G2) 10:10             det @ OAK -130  7.5    

-to win 2.8U

*Series#23 (G1) 7:05              tex @ NYY -145    10  

*Series#24 (G1) 7:10               tor @ BOS -177         9.5

Series#25 (G1) 7:05            fla @ PHI -200, RL ?  8.5

Series#26 (G1) 7:10               nym @ ATL -177        8-ppd

Series#27 (G1) 8:40               chc @ COL -150         8.5

Series#28 (G1)                 pit @ CIN -180, RL +105            

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 12

Game 2 wins = 5

Game 3 wins =1

*Losses = 1

-4.0 U aggressive labby updated 4/15 AM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-x-11-x-22           +17, -20, -18, -16

G2's: 5-5-28-23-22             -34

G3's: 5-5-19-20   

 
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #109

Plays for 4/16:

System record 23-1-0                        +7.3U with labby

o/uFilter plays 5-1 (5-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 25-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 2-1   (G1=2, G2=)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff             

Series#22 (G3) 10:10             det @ OAK +110     

-to win 2.5U

*Series#23 (G2) 7:05              tex @ NYY -123      

*Series#24 (G2) 7:10             tor @ BOS -210, RL-105          

Series#25 (G2) 7:05            fla @ PHI -200, RL ? ppd

Series#26 (G1) 4:10               nym @ ATL -185, RL+110

Series#28 (G2)                 pit @ CIN -142                            

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 13

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+7.3 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 AM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-5-16-x                  +22

G2's: x-5-12-x-x             +33, +33

G3's: x-5-19-x                    +25

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #110

Plays for 4/17:

System record 23-1-0                        +7.3U with labby

o/uFilter plays 5-1 (5-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 25-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 2-1   (G1=2, G2=)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                      

Series#25 (G2) 1:35            fla @ PHI -200, RL+105

-to win 1.7U

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 13

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+7.3 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 AM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-5-16-x                 

G2's: x-5-12-x-x            

G3's: x-5-19-x                   

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #111

Plays for 4/17:

System record 23-1-0                        +7.3U with labby

o/uFilter plays 5-1 (5-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 26-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 3-1   (G1=2, G2=1)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                      

Series#25 (G2) 1:35            fla @ PHI -200, RL+105

-to win 1.7U, pushed at -1

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 13

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+7.3 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 AM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-5-16-x                 

G2's: x-5-12-x-x            

G3's: x-5-19-x       

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #112

Plays for 4/18:

System record 23-1-0                        +7.3U with labby

o/uFilter plays 7-1 (7-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 26-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 3-1   (G1=2, G2=1)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                      

*Series#29 (G1) 8:05            laa @ TEX-145         9

-to win 2.1U

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 13

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+7.3 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 PM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-5-16-x                 

G2's: x-5-12-x-x            

G3's: x-5-19-x 

 
Rookie
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Posts: 627
Posted: #113
what happens to the Phillies chase ? 
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #114

Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

what happens to the Phillies chase ? 

Counted it as a 2G series win.  Record is always kept on ML.  Units reflect amount played.

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #115
Game 1's tomorrow will be on CIN, FLA, and STL.  Will play each to win 1.6U if texas holds on
 
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Posted: #116

Plays for 4/18:

System record 24-1-0                        +9.4U with labby

o/uFilter plays 8-1 (8-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 27-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 3-1   (G1=2, G2=1)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                      

*Series#29 (G1) 8:05            laa @ TEX-145         9

-to win 2.1U

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 14

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+9.4 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 PM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-x-x-x               +21  

G2's: x-5-12-x-x            

G3's: x-5-19-x 

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #117

Plays for 4/19:

System record 24-1-0                        +9.4U with labby

o/uFilter plays 8-1 (8-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 27-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 3-1   (G1=2, G2=1)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                      

Series#30 (G1) 7:05            pit @ FLA-190, RL+110         7

*Series#31 (G1) 7:05            az @ CIN -151           9.5

Series#32 (G1) 8:05           was @ STL -145          7.5

 

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 14

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+9.4 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 PM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-5-11-x               

G2's: x-5-12-x-x            

G3's: x-5-12-x 

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #118

Looks like STL game will be ppd.  If so G2 tomorrow on CIN to win 2.9U, G1 on STL to win 2.2U.

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #119
Crappy day today.  Reds stink right now.  Looks like a Game 3 on them tomorrow afternoon to win 3.9U
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 91
Posted: #120
Are we still on CINCY at 4.992 to win 3.5 Units? Anything else?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 159
Posted: #121
what about oak at seattle. opened at -155 then went lower????
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2304
Posted: #122
SEA meets criteria as a game 1.  They always make me nervous.  I have 3.7U on line 1.  I am still deciding how much to play but will prob play to win 1.9U
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 423
Posted: #123
thanks for all the work in here Rizz. Do you think you are going to have time to update the lines etc. soon?
 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #124

Plays for 4/19:

System record 25-1-0                        +8.5U with labby

o/uFilter plays 8-1 (8-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 28-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 3-1   (G1=2, G2=1)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                      

Series#30 (G1) 7:05            pit @ FLA-190, RL+110       

*Series#31 (G1) 7:05            az @ CIN -151           9.5

Series#32 (G1) 8:05           was @ STL -145          7.5- ppd

 

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 15

Game 2 wins = 8

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+8.5 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 PM

Labby Lines

G1's: x-x-x-x-13                +16, -25

G2's: x-5-24-x-x            

G3's: x-5-12-x 

 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 2304
Posted: #125

Plays for 4/20:

System record 26-1-0                        +4.9U with labby

o/uFilter plays 8-1 (8-0 home teams)                                      

All Series 29-2   (played series only, not incl road o/u filter)

2 game series: 3-1   (G1=2, G2=1)

Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff                             

*Series#31 (G2) 7:05            az @ CIN -151         

Series#32 (G1,2) 8:05          was @ STL -145, -160         

 

        

2 GameSeries

Interleague Series   (0-0)    (G1=, G2=, G3=)        

 

**meet o/u filter of 9+

TR diffs(for reference only)

Series Prices (for future reference only)

Game 1 wins = 15

Game 2 wins = 9

Game 3 wins =2

*Losses = 1

+4.9 U aggressive labby updated 4/17 PM

Labby Lines

G1's: 5-5-17-14-                -31

G2's: 5-5-22-17             -44, +29

G3's: x-5-34-x 

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