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2012-13 BOWL GAMES SYSTEM

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Posted: #201
Quote Originally Posted by gratefulbets:

TB +9 W

Jax +10 W

Car -4 P

KC -3.5 L

Bal -3 W

NYG -2

SF -5

KC should have been a W....the secondary cost us
 
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Posted: #202
GRATEFUL... simply put...YOU"RE THE BEST 'CAPPER ON COVERS..BAR NONE!! keep it up...aren't u something like 34-8 the lst 3 wks??  can't wait to see what you've got for us on tues....sounds like you're from the sf bay area if you're a hour and half flight from LV...thxs. again and we're all GREATFUL...OR GRATEFUL...
 
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Posted: #203
Thanks Grateful. 

Luckily I only played a small amount on NYG. 
 
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Posted: #204
TB +9 W

Jax +10 W

Car -4 P

KC -3.5 L

Bal -3 W

NYG -2 L

SF -5 W
 
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Posted: #205
Simply remarkable. Thanks again for sharing your opinions.

GL
 
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Posted: #206
any plays on the Tuesday game
 
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Posted: #207
I just returned  from Vegas where I made 11 bets. I started out with 15 plays but after further review I eliminated some potential concerns, something that I failed to do last week that cost me 3 losses (QB issues for Utah and Boise,  and laying money on Temple with an 0-7 vs conf.). 

Here are the plays that my system picked, but I am NOT playing: 

Mass +17…bottom of the conference
UK +3.5...bottom of the conference
UtSt -20.5…QB replaced

Mississippi -3…not available at the Vegas books today

Week 14 plays
I've included the maximum line for my system picks to still be played, so you can see how much room you have for line changes.

Miss -3  ~ -7 (QB has the flu, so check on his condition)

Tol -7.5  ~ -9

FAU -28 ~ -35

Fres -7.5 ~ -14

Mizz -4 ~ -6.5

VaTc -13 ~ -17

Baylor -12 ~ -16

KsSt -16 ~ -21

Wisc -24 ~ -30

ArkSt  +6 ~ +2

N.Tx  -4.5 ~ -5.5

Clem +5.5 ~ +2

The first line amount is what I got in Vegas, the second line  amount is the maximum you can bet to stay within my system values.
GL
 
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Posted: #208
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

any plays on the Tuesday game

NIU was very close to a play…34 would have qualified it and I had hoped the line would move down but instead it went up to 35. A half point might seem like a negligible amount  esp. with a 35 point spread, but that's the beauty of this system, it keeps me from making losing plays, so far, and this would have been one. 
 
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Posted: #209
Sorry, what team is Mizz ?
 
Mizz -4 ~ -6.5
 
Thanks

 
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Posted: #210
Sorry, what team is Mizz ?

https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/teams/team119.html
 
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Posted: #211
Quote Originally Posted by Luckydan:

Simply remarkable. Thanks again for sharing your opinions.

GL
These aren't opinions, theses are facts, derived from stats. My opinions are not worth betting.  
 
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Posted: #212
Anything in nfl this week?   Thanks!!!!
 
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Posted: #213
Thank you Grateful for sharing.  First time follower.  BOL
 
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Posted: #214
ADDING:

FloridaSt -27.5 ~ -34
 
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Posted: #215
What book do you usually place your bet with in Vegas?
 
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Posted: #216
anything for NFL grateful 
 
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Posted: #217
Grateful...

did u ever explain how u get A values and B values to make your comparisons.   
 
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Posted: #218
if u dont wanna post how u get your values can u send them to us individually.    would love to help ya out so ur not doing all the work
 
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Posted: #219
What book do you usually place your bet with in Vegas?

I'm using multiple books to avoid the $10k CTR . It's a bit of a hassle to go to 4 or 5 books, and I may just capitulate, but I'd like to know the actual extent of these reports before I do sign up.

did u ever explain how u get A values and B values to make your comparisons.   
Go back to the beginning of this thread, or the other BOWL threads I started last 2 years…the basics are explained in there.  I will not give any more info regarding this system…there's enough there to get you started and winning. What I am playing now in regular season, and NFL, I just tweaked this year from that same info. It's taken me 9 years and many 100's of hours to get to this point, which is the basics of that system I detailed.


 
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Posted: #220
NFL week # 13

System plays

Tenn +3.5

Jax +7

Car -7.5

Miami +2.5

Buff -3.5

NE -7
 
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Posted: #221
did u ever explain how u get A values and B values to make your comparisons.  

check out my thread from 2011, there is a post there that gives a general explanation:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101225138
 
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Posted: #222
No turkey day games....     alright....lets go Ole Miss!
 
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Posted: #223

I remember you briefly giving a vague description of the A and B values, but I forgot you were keeping your true way a secret, rightfully so.

I don't know how complex the system truly may be but trying to figure out what has taken you 10 years to do I wont figure out over night.   You did give out the A and B values to bowl games last year, correct?

I was attempting the Miss/Miss St game tonight using your description using Covers PF/PA, Home/Away  Saragin/ESPN RPI and noting that Ole Miss has not had an away game since October 5?  

 
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Posted: #224
Quote Originally Posted by gratefulbets:

NFL week # 13

System plays

Tenn +3.5

Jax +7

Car -7.5

Miami +2.5

Buff -3.5

NE -7


Thanks for posting these selections. Can you pass on the maximum numbers that still fall within your system values like you did the college plays?

Gracias.

GL
 
 
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Posted: #225
Quote Originally Posted by Luckydan:



Thanks for posting these selections. Can you pass on the maximum numbers that still fall within your system values like you did the college plays?

Gracias.

GL

Tenn +3.5 ~ pk

Jax +7 ~ +5

Car -7.5 ~ -7.5 (at max)

Miami +2.5 ~ -7 (that's right, Miami should be favored, but weather not included)

Buff -3.5 ~ -8

NE -7 ~ -7 (at max)
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