73-32 Remarkably Simple NBA System

Through 105 system games this season, I’ve found a 70% NBA Against the Spread winner. 73 Wins and 32 Losses. I actually found this accidentally and just backtested the results on this season’s games so far. It’s remarkably simple once you understand it but at first it might not make sense. What we’re looking for are FAVORITES that were UNDERDOGS in their last game. Those teams pass the first test of the system. Once we have those teams we’re looking for the ones that the point spread from the last game to this game has shifted by MORE THAN 10 POINTS, which is confusing as hell to explain without an example:

Jan. 25 Spurs +1.5 at Mavericks (W)

Jan. 26 Spurs -9.5 vs. Suns (L)

In those back to back games the Spurs went from a DOG to a FAV and the spread moved by 11 points. If that’s still difficult to comprehend just remove the plus and minus and add the spreads together.

Now, when the Spurs line came out at -9.5 (or -9 for that matter) we had a system trigger. The system is to take the opposite ATS result of the previous game. Since the Spurs covered against the Mavericks, our bet would have been on the Suns +9.5. Like I said it’s fairly confusing at first glance but after a while you’re just looking for a FAV following a DOG and then it’s pretty easy. I’ll explain why this makes logical sense in the next post. BOL.

CAP

BCap;

If I understand the system correctly, wouldn't Det +8 @ Ind also be a play?  Ind was a dog in their last game by 5.5 and they covered.

Thanks for the work on this.  It looks promising.

I understand the original system, but can you give an example on the fade system.