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a system i've been using (sounds too logical to be true?)

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Posted: #26
baltimore as the main pick.  =)
 
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Posted: #27
awesome. thank you. :)
 
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Posted: #28
seattle would be good today actually.

toronto couldnt hit the ball yesterday and had a ton of strikeouts.  no walks too.

i would actually say seattle.  play both. take whatever you wouldve bet and divide by 2 and play half each on baltimore and seattle.  

or parlay them 
 
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Posted: #29
anyone play seattle last nite?  they hit the RUN LINE.  payout was like +145 or something  unreal.  
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by emceemiko:

seattle would be good today actually.

toronto couldnt hit the ball yesterday and had a ton of strikeouts.  no walks too.

"i would actually say seattle.  play both. take whatever you wouldve bet and divide by 2 and play half each on baltimore and seattle."  

 "parlay them" 
solid call!; a twin WIN
 
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Posted: #31
both SEA & BAL hit on the RL last night, paying huge dividends on the twin parlay WIN 
 
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Posted: #32
I played Det RL yesterday based on their results from Wednesday and it worked out well.

Same situation for the LAD today. 12 hits yesterday generating 6 runs. Good cluster hitting for those of you that read J.Keri. Will be on them today vs the Brew Crew.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:

I played Det RL yesterday based on their results from Wednesday and it worked out well.

Same situation for the LAD today. 12 hits yesterday generating 6 runs. Good cluster hitting for those of you that read J.Keri. Will be on them today vs the Brew Crew.

the only worry is the brewers had 9 hits yesterday.  so i wouldnt play it .  but if u play it hopefully it hits

i am playing the red sox
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by BigTenWatto:

I played Det RL yesterday based on their results from Wednesday and it worked out well.

Same situation for the LAD today. 12 hits yesterday generating 6 runs. Good cluster hitting for those of you that read J.Keri. Will be on them today vs the Brew Crew.

also, for LAD - most of the 12 hits were by 3 players.  most of the team couldnt hit.  
 
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Posted: #35
sox are my pick too. the batting averages of mil/lad were too close for me. gl
 
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Posted: #36
thinking about conservatively chasing this loss. i see washington with a batting average difference of .150 and all but the 8 and 9 spots having at least 1 hit. is that your pick also, emceemiko? what's usually the minimum batting average difference you like to see? .150 isn't super impressive, compared to some other days.

i also like king felix as a dog and possibly the white sox.
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by Ordinaryday6:

thinking about conservatively chasing this loss. i see washington with a batting average difference of .150 and all but the 8 and 9 spots having at least 1 hit. is that your pick also, emceemiko? what's usually the minimum batting average difference you like to see? .150 isn't super impressive, compared to some other days.i also like king felix as a dog and possibly the white sox.


The only one that jumps out at me are the mariners and white sox but I'm not even that confident in either

An X factor I look at in addition lately has been strike outs. Because a non hit that was a strike out versus a non hit that was a ground out or fly ball into the outfield for me means the team can at least hit the ball. Strike outs for me if there a ton by the team indicate the team isn't reliable to hit well again te next day

This strike out factor is more of a gut check than any ratio analysis. For example, the white sox had 17 hits but they have a ton of strike outs too.

But they are the underdog so playing them straight up (without the RL) is the safest bet today

I would say the white sox

Are you sure you wanna chase? I'm not the biggest fan of chasing but in this system it's relatively more managable because all bet should have a positive value (payout of +120 as opposed to -110)

That's why only take dogs Straight up or favorites on the RL

Thoughts?
 
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Posted: #38
the main reason i questioned washington was because of gio.. he hasn't been great lately. washington has more strike outs than pit too.

i like seattle mainly because a. they do win the batting average ratio, b. price hasn't been that great, c. the tigers haven't been very good, d. the mariners are playing insane right now, and D. felix as a dog? too much to pass it up. they may lose, but still.

the sox' ratio is sick, but i don't really want to bet on danks. he's been terrible lately.

i know all of this goes outside of your system, but i've basically added your system into what i look at otherwise.

so i guess i've never really studied strikeout numbers specifically. looks like most teams from yesterday have around 6, sox have 10, wsh has 9, sea has 6. that's a good piece of logic, i like it.

i do some chasing, and the positive odds are one thing that makes me want to chase the losses in this system.

i think i'll hold off today though, because i'm only going to go with seattle, and because the day's overall numbers arent great, i'm going to go conservative on it. and the odds are low (i got +102). if we get a good play tomorrow i might throw up some extra on it. we'll see how today goes otherwise lol.

i have toronto elsewhere, so i'll just stay away from the sox today. bol tho!

i like talking this stuff out lol. it's fun and enlightening. 
 
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Posted: #39
haha bummer, nats came back to win and i didn't play it. i just played seattle. so my original picks are 1-2 for the day.

perhaps the moral of the story is you play the best fave you've got? lol. or not. just a thought.
 
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Posted: #40
for tomorrow, i see CLE and DET, though CLE had 11 strikeouts today.

SD would be my dog pick, though i have STL in a different system.
 
 
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Posted: #41
oh i'm a dork, would've lost anyway with the runline. nevermind.
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