AL Sweep Chase, Home stand chase

I don't know if anyone remembers my sweep chase system last year that pretty much flamed out, but I have looked back at it and think using better selection it can be profitable.

I have narrowed it down to simply playing on AL teams completing a home sweep to win at least one game in their subsequent series.

49-2 for 2010

47-1 for 2009

I have looked at NL and it is not nearly as good.  I also looked at playing on teams at home coming off a road sweep and looked pretty good but would have added only 15 plays or so per year and caused 2 extra losses last year.  I included Interleague play and it did result in one of the losses in that OAK swept an IL game last year only to lose their next homestand.

-Any play above -150 will be played on the RL

-I will use aggressive labouchere money management

-This year will be the trial run.  Hopefully we can pick up a few units on this

AL Homestand Chase

Play on teams meeting criteria in a four game chase on a homestand of 6 games or more.  Will play RL on any play of -150 or higher.  Many of these will be on dogs.

217-6 over last 3 seasons

77-0 in 2008

90-3 in 2009

60-3 in 2010

Once again we will use aggressive labby on 4 lines.

This year will be a trial run.  Will post all the plays here with updated lines.

Plays for 4/4

AL Home Sweep: 0-0-0  (3 gm chase, G1= , G2= , G3= , L= )

Series #1 (G1) 8:05      sea @ TEX RL +130  to win 1U

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 0-0-0  (4 gm, G1= ,G2= ,G3= , G4= , L= )

Series#1 (G1)  3:05     det @ BAL -121        to win 1U

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Line 2 of Post 1 should read:

I have narrowed it down to simply playing on AL teams completing a home sweep to win at least one game in their next series at home.

Plays for 4/4

AL Home Sweep: 1-0-0 (+1U) (3 gm chase, G1=1 , G2= , G3= )

Series #1 (G1) 8:05      sea @ TEX RL +130  to win 1U 

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 1-0-0 (+1U) (4 gm, G1= ,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#1 (G1)  3:05     det @ BAL -121        to win 1U

x-5-5-x     +10

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/8

AL Home Sweep: 1-0-0 (+1U) (3 gm chase, G1=1 , G2= , G3= )

Series #2,3 (G1) pending      laa @ TEX, bal @ CLE

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 1-0-0 (+1U) (4 gm, G1= ,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#2 (G1)  2:05     nyy @ BOS -124        tracking only

Series#3 (G1) 3:05      kc @ DET RL            to win 1U

x-5-5-x     +10

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Not actually playing on BOS but they do meet criteria.

Plays for 4/8

AL Home Sweep: 1-0-0 (+1U) (3 gm chase, G1=1 , G2= , G3= )

Series #2,3 (G1) pending      laa @ TEX, bal @ CLE

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 3-0-0 (+2U) (4 gm, G1= 3,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#2 (G1)  2:05     nyy @ BOS -124      tracking only

Series#3 (G1) 3:05      kc @ DET RL+130       to win 1U

x-x-x-x     +10

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/15

AL Home Sweep: 1-0-0 (+1U) (3 gm chase, G1=1 , G2= , G3= )

Series #2 (G1) 7:05        bal @ CLE -103   to win 1U

pending      laa @ TEX

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 3-0-0 (+2U) (4 gm, G1= 3,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#4 (G1)  7:05          sea @ KC -125    4-14

5-5-5-5    

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

-sorry everyone did not get out of work in time to post the play.  Looks good.  I will include it in the record but not units won/lost due to the delayed post

Plays for 4/15

AL Home Sweep: 2-0 (+2U) (3 gm chase, G1=2 , G2= , G3= )

Series #2 (G1) 7:05        bal @ CLE -103   to win 1U

pending      laa @ TEX

x-x-x-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 4-0 (+3U) (4 gm, G1= 4,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#4 (G1)  7:05          sea @ KC -125    4-14 

x-5-5-x    

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/18

AL Home Sweep: 2-0 (+2U) (3 gm chase, G1=2 , G2= , G3= )

Series #3 (G1) 7:05        laa @ TEX -145, RL?   to win 1U

pending      kc @ CLE

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 4-0 (+3U) (4 gm, G1= 4,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#5 (G1)  8:05          laa @ TEX RL 

Series#6 (G1) 7:05           min @ BAL -113

-both to win 1U   

x-5-5-x    

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/18

AL Home Sweep: 3-0 (+3U) (3 gm chase, G1=3 , G2= , G3= )

Series #3 (G1) 7:05        laa @ TEX -145, RL?   to win 1U

pending      kc @ CLE

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 5-0 (+2.9U) (4 gm, G1= 5,G2= ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#5 (G1)  8:05          laa @ TEX RL   

Series#6 (G1) 7:05           min @ BAL -113 

-both to win 1U   

x-5-10-x     +10, -11

5-5-5-11

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/19

AL Home Sweep: 3-0 (+3U) (3 gm chase, G1=3 , G2= , G3= )

pending      kc @ CLE

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 5-0 (+4.5U) (4 gm, G1= 5,G2=1 ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#6 (G2) 7:05           min @ BAL -108 to win 1.6U

-both to win 1U   

x-5-10-x    

x-5-5-x                 +16

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/20

AL Home Sweep: 3-0 (+3U) (3 gm chase, G1=3 , G2= , G3= )

pending      kc @ CLE

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 6-0 (+4.5U) (4 gm, G1= 5,G2=1 ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#7 (G1) 7:05           nyy @ TOR +108 to win 1.5U

-both to win 1U   

x-5-10-x    

x-5-5-x                

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

We are waiting for CLE to start their series at home against KC to trigger a play.

I made a major mess up with the TOR play.  They were a play for tuesday night when they started the homestand.  They won in that game so there should not have been a play on them today or for the rest of the series.  Sorry for the confusion.  If it looks like I am messing something up I probably am.  My work schedule is extremely hectic which makes it hard to stay on top of some of this.  I thought TOR had lost last night when I posted the play.  I realized it earlier today, but of course had no ability to post that TOR was not a play.  I will record it as a Game 1 win for tracking purposes and deduct the 1.5U due to the messed up post.  I am not seeing any new series for tomorrow

Plays for 4/25

AL Home Sweep: 3-0 (+3U) (3 gm chase, G1=3 , G2= , G3= )

Series #4 (G1) 8:05            tor @ TEX RL    to win 1U

pending      kc @ CLE (4/26)

x-5-5-x

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 7-0 (+4.5U) (4 gm, G1= 6,G2=1 ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#8 (G1) 7:05           cws @ NYY RL to win 1.5U

-both to win 1U   

x-5-10-x    

x-5-5-x                

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

No worries B2W, to each their own.  I think the logic behind SBC system isn't horrible.  The problem is the guy is a scammer and stole his system from someone else. If you don't like chasing sweeps try the extended homestand plays....  I looked into these systems in the off season as a response to those wanting to make plays with lower odds.

GL as always

Plays for 4/25

AL Home Sweep: 3-0 (+2.2U) (3 gm chase, G1=3 , G2= , G3= )

Series #4 (G1) 8:05            tor @ TEX RL+130    to win 1U

pending      kc @ CLE (4/26)

x-5-9-x       -8

5-5-5-9

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 7-0 (+2.9U) (4 gm, G1= 6,G2=1 ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#8 (G1) 7:05           cws @ NYY RL to win 1.5U

-both to win 1U   

x-5-18-x     -16

x-5-13-x                

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

Plays for 4/26

AL Home Sweep: 3-0 (+2.2U) (3 gm chase, G1=3 , G2= , G3= )

Series #4 (G2) 8:05            tor @ TEX RL    to win 1.4U

Series#5 (G1) 7:05             kc @ CLE RL   to win 1.4U

Series#6 (G1) 7:05            sea @ DET +110 to win 1.4U

pending      kc @ CLE (4/26)

x-5-9-x      

5-5-5-9

5-5-5-5

AL Ext. Homestand: 7-0 (+2.9U) (4 gm, G1= 6,G2=1 ,G3= , G4=  )

Series#8 (G2) 7:05           cws @ NYY -130

- to win 1.8U   

x-5-18-x    

x-5-13-x                

5-5-5-5

5-5-5-5

C'mon Rizz... you've been posting the night before for the first 3 weeks... you have a little bumpy patch here... don't leave em hanging! Time to put some serious cashola on the Rangers and the NYY.... this is the kind of nightmare a system like this wishes away- the two biggest favorites in the AL are on the verge of getting swept at home after a sweep... This is what happens when I come along and start making a 1/4 play on something that sounded decent... now my 1/4 play is 3 full units- I feel bad to any $50 bettor- tonight will test your marbles.... I'm the kiss of death to any chase system- sorry.