Ive actually thot of something like this. But I didnt see it panning out in my mind.
The biggest reason is BECAUSE the linesmakers set Money Lines according to public perception. They are NOT neccessarily the best bets to win that day. Granted, taking Halliday is always a decent bet. But take a look @ Lackey this year. BOS is a play for you today. Lackey has been pummeled this year. But the Boston Offense is clicking. Prob a good play. as for SF, Lincecum has been lit up late too. But the NYM have not fire power @ this point. Withat being said...I hope u can get some good numbers outa this by trackin it. could help us all.
Good Luck man.
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Ive actually thot of something like this. But I didnt see it panning out in my mind.
The biggest reason is BECAUSE the linesmakers set Money Lines according to public perception. They are NOT neccessarily the best bets to win that day. Granted, taking Halliday is always a decent bet. But take a look @ Lackey this year. BOS is a play for you today. Lackey has been pummeled this year. But the Boston Offense is clicking. Prob a good play. as for SF, Lincecum has been lit up late too. But the NYM have not fire power @ this point. Withat being said...I hope u can get some good numbers outa this by trackin it. could help us all.
Thanks for the thoughts. I started kinda paying attention a few weeks ago and from what I could tell, a game 4 or D is as far as it got.
A couple of reasons I like it is, it's easy to follow and it's always a + money bet. But I did a few serious searches and couldn't find any info on anyone else doing it, which made me think it is probably a loser.
I also thought maybe the lines would get tighter later in the season and over-hyped teams would fall back and stop being big favorites.
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Thanks for the thoughts. I started kinda paying attention a few weeks ago and from what I could tell, a game 4 or D is as far as it got.
A couple of reasons I like it is, it's easy to follow and it's always a + money bet. But I did a few serious searches and couldn't find any info on anyone else doing it, which made me think it is probably a loser.
I also thought maybe the lines would get tighter later in the season and over-hyped teams would fall back and stop being big favorites.
I haven't given it much thought as far as rules go, so for tracking purposes I'm just going to go with the 2 biggest faves on any given day. Doesn't matter if it's -130 or -230.
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I haven't given it much thought as far as rules go, so for tracking purposes I'm just going to go with the 2 biggest faves on any given day. Doesn't matter if it's -130 or -230.
For the month of June, this would have produced a record of either 18-12 or 17-13, depending on how you played the games of June 1, when two teams were tied for the second-highest favorite. As I went back to calculate this, I noticed that you have to have some luck on your side. In a group of the four biggest favorites that are closely bunched (say, for example, -175, -173, -173 and -171), your top two picks could change quite frequently throughout the day. They might be Team A and B at 1 o'clock in the afternoon, then A and D an hour later, B and C an hour after that, etc. But at no time in June was there more than two losing days in a row, so this might show some promise.
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For the month of June, this would have produced a record of either 18-12 or 17-13, depending on how you played the games of June 1, when two teams were tied for the second-highest favorite. As I went back to calculate this, I noticed that you have to have some luck on your side. In a group of the four biggest favorites that are closely bunched (say, for example, -175, -173, -173 and -171), your top two picks could change quite frequently throughout the day. They might be Team A and B at 1 o'clock in the afternoon, then A and D an hour later, B and C an hour after that, etc. But at no time in June was there more than two losing days in a row, so this might show some promise.
FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5.
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FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5.
FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5.
4 game losing streak isnt bad....manage your money so you can lose 8, 9, 10 in a row....even if you are only betting small....u will profit every month !!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by onebadgolfer:
FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5.
4 game losing streak isnt bad....manage your money so you can lose 8, 9, 10 in a row....even if you are only betting small....u will profit every month !!!!
"FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."
Hmmm, this is bad news. 2 six day losing streaks is pretty much a bank roll killer.
If you started at $10 you could afford to chase it to a game 7 or so, but if you started at $50 you'd probably go broke.
I'm still going to track it for the rest of the season.
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"FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."
Hmmm, this is bad news. 2 six day losing streaks is pretty much a bank roll killer.
If you started at $10 you could afford to chase it to a game 7 or so, but if you started at $50 you'd probably go broke.
I'm still going to track it for the rest of the season.
The fact that it's a +money bet means you wouldn't have to double your bet until game 3 and you'd still show a small profit..But only a couple of bucks. (Starting at $10)
$10-$10-$20-$40-$80-$160
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The fact that it's a +money bet means you wouldn't have to double your bet until game 3 and you'd still show a small profit..But only a couple of bucks. (Starting at $10)
"FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."
Hmmm, this is bad news. 2 six day losing streaks is pretty much a bank roll killer.
If you started at $10 you could afford to chase it to a game 7 or so, but if you started at $50 you'd probably go broke.
I'm still going to track it for the rest of the season.
There were two FOUR-game losing streaks in May, not six games. What I might consider doing is to track this and start to play it after two straight losing days.
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Quote Originally Posted by Dutch1976:
"FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."
Hmmm, this is bad news. 2 six day losing streaks is pretty much a bank roll killer.
If you started at $10 you could afford to chase it to a game 7 or so, but if you started at $50 you'd probably go broke.
I'm still going to track it for the rest of the season.
There were two FOUR-game losing streaks in May, not six games. What I might consider doing is to track this and start to play it after two straight losing days.
10 20 40 80 160 300 600 1200. u need 2400 for 8 games. That would be a week straight of big favorites losing every day....not gonna happen, but u wont make alot of money.
30 60 120 240 480 900 1700...need 3800 dollars to start....got a week....but you will make 500-600 a month
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10 20 40 80 160 300 600 1200. u need 2400 for 8 games. That would be a week straight of big favorites losing every day....not gonna happen, but u wont make alot of money.
30 60 120 240 480 900 1700...need 3800 dollars to start....got a week....but you will make 500-600 a month
-"AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."
What does this mean exactly? It lost 5 days in a row and won on the 6th day? Or something like it lost 3 days in a row, won once and then lost 2.. for a total of six days?
BTW, Thanks for bringing some good info to the thread.
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-"AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."
What does this mean exactly? It lost 5 days in a row and won on the 6th day? Or something like it lost 3 days in a row, won once and then lost 2.. for a total of six days?
BTW, Thanks for bringing some good info to the thread.
4 game losing streak isnt bad....manage your money so you can lose 8, 9, 10 in a row....even if you are only betting small....u will profit every month !!!!
For 2 huge favorites in a parlay that pay barely over even money, a 4-game losing streak is AWFUL!
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Quote Originally Posted by lovethedough:
4 game losing streak isnt bad....manage your money so you can lose 8, 9, 10 in a row....even if you are only betting small....u will profit every month !!!!
For 2 huge favorites in a parlay that pay barely over even money, a 4-game losing streak is AWFUL!
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