With all DUE Respect Lipps and I RESPECT you as a poster on this board. You are dead Wrong. Go into any Las Vegas sportsbook when NBA starts and at most you buy 1 point actually only a few books are at that any more, most are + 1/2 point thats it. You cannot buy that 1 or 1/2 on a line at -3 or + 3 Its not allowed.
Why the Bookies caught up with that NBA system and tanked it. Its only a matter of time before on-line books due the same we have maybe 1 to 2 years left and that is over.
In my opinion and its only mine. I personally do not think any system with at least 1000- 1500 out-comes can even be considered a True working system that can out-perform long-term variance it wont happen.
What everyone misses on this subject is that without a working model you have nothing ??? 1 or 2 years of back-testing C,mon that isnt even enough to map anything out at all. Proof. JM 2 years ago got his ass kicked on his MLB why ??? Because he thought that his back-tested model for a couple of years would work ?? IT DIDNT..............
I am not saying chae systems do not work. Tod from PSIC is a living proof that solid systems work. Without knowing any of his details, I would bet that his back-testing is years at least 7 years or more. You can take short-term wins and think it will equate into long-term winnings. It dont happen.
Look at it this way ? Please tell us all the system sellers that have had 5 years of winnings ???
Only 1 that I know of ........Thats Tod. Thats it ?
JM for sure hasnt at all. Coach Thompson a Dear friend of mine he is a great guy same thing happend to him this year in MLB and he had a system that was back-tested for over 10 years and guess what ??? It failed Huge until he made adjustments and came out above even at the end of the season this year.
My point is that you guys are wagering on systems that you really have no business wagering on ?? The out-comes have not stood the test of time.
Perfect example without going into too much detail in the early 1990"s there was a very large money making system in the american league in MLB its was a Cash Cow. What happend it crashed and burned and all the guys whom followed it for a few years wound up giving back all of their profits. What happend Once again Variance caught up with them.
NHL is a very shaky sport from ownership to the front office all the way down to the bookies. All they have to do is adjust lines in a flcik of a switch and YOU ARE DEAD.
There are about a handfull of systems that have stood the test of time. NBA East-West and 3 others that really dont circulate on the boards as they are kept under wraps very tightly. Are they the Holy grail no. However they have won for years.
Watch what happens with JM"S NFL crap he has out this season that is a SUCKER SYSTEM....... 2 series loses and You are wiped out...............
Here is my thoughts Play with Caution....................
Anybody can post numbers up on a website,It doesn"t mean they are the Correct ?
And for the Record I do think Kong is a straight shooter.
I wish everyone the best of winnings.
BK
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